Why Gold and Silver Are Rising

Platinum and palladium also climbed, testing three-week peaks, with platinum reaching $2,244.85 per ounce and palladium $1,811.37 per ounce. These gains reflect both trade uncertainty and geopolitical risks.

The US has temporarily imposed a 10% global import tariff, with plans to raise it to 15% according to White House officials. The Supreme Court had previously struck down parts of former President Donald Trump’s measures, creating confusion over tariff policy. Investors have turned to gold in Asian markets to hedge this uncertainty.

Gold had reached its highest three-week level earlier in the day, but profit-taking pushed it down, closing the previous session more than 1% lower. Analysts note that gold’s upward potential remains as long as US fiscal and trade policy uncertainty persists. Analyst Rodda said, “The potential for further gains in gold remains high, especially if US fiscal and foreign policy actions continue.”

Two US Federal Reserve officials said there are no short-term plans to change monetary policy. According to CME FedWatch, the market currently expects three 25-basis-point rate cuts this year.

Geopolitical Developments Driving Metal Prices

Geopolitical developments are also affecting metals. President Trump’s Tuesday remarks outlining potential action against Iran and preventing nuclear weapons created market volatility. Sources close to the talks indicate Iran is nearing an agreement to purchase anti-ship missiles from China. Iran and the US will hold the third round of nuclear talks in Geneva on Thursday.

Metal Futures – Spot and Futures (February 25, 2026)

• Palladium: $1,837, +19.3 (+1.06%), volume: 608

• Gold: $5,213.5, +37.2 (+0.72%), volume: 25,101

• Platinum: $2,282.9, +95.6 (+4.37%), volume: 4,974

• Silver: $90.47, +2.964 (+3.39%), volume: 7,174

• Copper: $5.963, +0.033 (+0.55%), volume: 2,120

Spot silver rose to $89.92 per ounce, a three-week high, following Monday’s two-week peak. Platinum and palladium showed similar momentum.

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This was not merely a technical legal dispute. It quietly redraws the boundary between presidential power and congressional authority over taxation and trade. And in Washington, those boundaries matter more than ever when trillions in global commerce are involved.

Why the Court intervened: A clear limit on executive authority

The US Constitution explicitly grants Congress the authority to impose tariffs and regulate trade. However, the Trump administration relied on IEEPA, a law designed to allow the president to respond to “unusual and extraordinary threats” during national emergencies.

The Supreme Court focused on that distinction. The justices concluded that while IEEPA allows economic regulation in emergencies, it does not explicitly authorize the president to impose sweeping global tariffs affecting nearly all imported goods.

This interpretation aligns with the Court’s broader approach in recent years. Under what is often referred to as the “major questions doctrine,” the Court has emphasized that policies with vast economic and political consequences require clear authorization from Congress, not unilateral executive action.

Which tariffs were struck down and which remain

Importantly, the ruling does not invalidate all tariffs imposed during Trump’s administration.

Two major categories were directly affected. The first involves country-based “reciprocal tariffs,” which ranged from a baseline of approximately 10% on most countries to as high as 34% on imports from China. These tariffs were central to the administration’s broader trade confrontation strategy.

The second category includes 25% tariffs imposed on certain goods from Canada, China, and Mexico. The administration justified these measures as part of efforts to combat fentanyl trafficking and related national security concerns.

However, tariffs imposed under different legal authorities, including those targeting steel and aluminum imports, remain in effect. In other words, the ruling limits the legal mechanism used, not the entire trade strategy itself.

The $130 billion question: Will businesses receive refunds?

According to US Customs and Border Protection data, the now-invalidated tariffs generated approximately $130 billion in revenue. That number alone highlights the enormous financial implications of the Court’s decision.

Businesses that paid these tariffs may now seek refunds. Importers across multiple industries—including manufacturing, consumer goods, and wholesale distribution—could potentially recover billions of dollars.

Such refund claims typically involve lengthy legal and administrative processes. But even the possibility of reimbursement has already begun influencing corporate expectations and financial planning.

Market reaction: Risk assets find support

Financial markets responded quickly to the ruling. Companies heavily dependent on imported goods saw improved outlooks as expectations shifted toward lower import costs.

Lower tariff burdens could ease pricing pressures across supply chains. That, in turn, may reduce inflationary pressure on certain goods, at least in the near term.

The US dollar, meanwhile, faces a more complex outlook. Reduced tariffs may weaken certain structural trade advantages, potentially placing modest downward pressure on the currency over time.

Risk-sensitive assets, including equities and cryptocurrencies, tend to benefit when trade tensions ease. Early market signals suggest that investors are beginning to price in a less restrictive trade environment, though uncertainty remains.

The administration may pursue alternative tariff paths

Despite the setback, the Trump administration retains options. Officials may attempt to reintroduce tariffs using alternative legal authorities that more clearly authorize such actions.

This means the broader trade conflict framework is not necessarily over. Instead, the legal pathway has narrowed, forcing future tariff decisions to rely more directly on congressional authorization or different statutory tools.

Washington’s institutional balance has shifted, at least for now. The Supreme Court has reinforced the constitutional role of Congress in shaping trade policy, while placing meaningful limits on emergency executive economic authority.

Following the decision, global trade expectations began adjusting almost immediately. Import cost projections shifted downward, while uncertainty surrounding future tariff strategies remains elevated.

Markets are recalibrating in real time. The immediate tone suggests relief, but the longer-term trajectory will depend heavily on how policymakers respond.

One thing is already clear: the Supreme Court has reshaped the legal foundation of US tariff policy. And that shift will influence executive power, global trade, and financial markets for years to come.

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According to Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards, long-term holders—known in crypto circles as “OGs”—have been systematically selling their BTC holdings to institutions. “They’re dumping on Wall Street,” Edwards said, explaining the persistent selling pressure.

New Cohorts Absorb the Sell-Off

Edwards highlighted that the six-month BTC holder group has absorbed nearly all of the supply sold by long-term holders over the last 18 months. This new cohort includes recent corporate entrants like Cardone Capital, ProCap (which is going public), Panther Metals, and Green Minerals.

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He believes these firms will spark a “massive Bitcoin treasury flywheel,” eventually overtaking the ETF narrative as more companies jump in to accumulate BTC.

Short-Term Caution Ahead of Economic Triggers

Meanwhile, BTSE’s Jeff Mei noted that traders are locking in profits ahead of the July 9 tariff deadline, fearing unresolved trade tensions. He added that more public companies are starting to accumulate Bitcoin, though their impact may take time to materialize.

Han Xu from HashKey Capital pointed out that macroeconomic risks—such as tariff negotiations and budget legislation in the U.S.—are making investors cautious. Any unexpected developments “could trigger a sell-off,” he warned.

Despite these concerns, Bitcoin remains in a tight trading range between $102,000 and $110,000. On Monday, BTC briefly touched $108,750—its highest in two weeks—but failed to break resistance.

Notably, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have seen over $3.2 billion in inflows in the past two weeks, with zero outflow days, and more Bitcoin treasury firms are appearing each week.

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The extended exemptions cover various categories such as specific textile products, electronic components, and some agricultural goods. This move provides United States businesses with additional time to reorganize supply chains and find alternative sources. It has especially eased short-term cost pressures for companies operating in the clean energy sector. 

United States Trade Talks and Next Steps 

This news comes amid ongoing trade talks between the United States and China. The White House says President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping are scheduled to have a phone conversation this week. 

A US trade court ruled on Wednesday that Trump exceeded his authority in imposing tariffs on imports from China and other countries. The court stated that these tariffs could not be enforced under the emergency powers law. However, within 24 hours, a federal appeals court suspended the ruling to review the government’s appeal. Thus, the tariffs were temporarily reinstated. The appeals court requested responses by June 5 from plaintiffs and by June 9 from the government. 

Experts say such exemptions provide a “breathing room” for trade negotiations but agree that more comprehensive agreements are needed for long-term solutions. 

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“If you’re mining Bitcoin, you already understand why this asset is valuable long-term,” Glover stated. “You don’t want to sell it.”

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This debt-based approach is similar to strategies used by companies like MicroStrategy, which raise capital through debt and equity to acquire BTC and profit from the currency divergence.

Rising Competition, Falling Margins

The BTC mining hashprice, a key profitability metric, has plummeted due to increasing network difficulty. As more powerful machines are deployed, costs rise and profit margins shrink.

Adding to the pressure, U.S. trade tariffs on tech imports are inflating prices of essential mining equipment like ASICs. These conditions threaten the viability of smaller operators in the sector.

In March 2025, miners collectively sold 40% of their mined supply—marking a trend reversal since the April 2024 halving and the highest monthly liquidation rate since October 2024.

BTC-Backed Loans May Be A Lifeline

In such a climate, Bitcoin-backed loans could be a strategic lifeline. They offer operational liquidity without sacrificing long-term asset value.

As Glover noted, “If you believe BTC will rise, why sell it now and lose future upside?”

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Trump emphasized that the Chinese side had reached out multiple times, signaling a willingness to resume talks. When asked whether negotiations were continuing despite active tariffs, he responded, “Of course.” Although he did not confirm direct communication with Chinese President Xi Jinping, he hinted at upcoming contact by saying, “I will be speaking soon.”

90-Day Pause: Not Related to Bond Market

Shortly after these statements, Trump made another headline-grabbing comment: “We’re implementing a 90-day pause until I get the numbers I want. This pause is not because of the bond market,” he said, drawing further attention. This move has introduced temporary uncertainty in the markets, prompting investors to reconsider their strategies.

When asked about possible retaliatory measures if China raises tariffs, Trump replied, “At some point, people just don’t want to buy anymore. That’s why I don’t want to raise them further,” signaling a reluctance to escalate the trade war.

Markets on Edge Amid U.S. Tariff Uncertainty

These developments indicate that we are entering a critical phase in U.S.-China trade relations. A possible agreement in the next 3 to 4 weeks could significantly impact not only the two economies but also global markets. Trump’s emphasis on the “numbers I want” suggests that specific economic targets are being pursued ahead of any final deal.

In conclusion, the 90-day pause and the expectation of a possible agreement mean that investors will closely monitor markets in the coming weeks. Tariff policies and key economic indicators will likely dominate financial discussions during this time.

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