Bitcoin Quickly Recovers Morning Losses

Early Monday, Bitcoin fell to around $85,000 due to short-term uncertainty and thinning liquidity in the markets. However, the decline was short-lived. Trump’s remarks that relations with China are “very strong” eased geopolitical concerns and rapidly restored investor confidence.

Riding this wave of optimism, Bitcoin regained the momentum it had lost in the morning and fully recovered to $88,000, maintaining the uptrend that began over the weekend from the $80,000 level.

Synchronized Rally Across Global Markets

Trump’s statements boosted not only Bitcoin but also broader financial markets.

Key highlights of the day:

• S&P 500 up 1.5%
• Nasdaq up nearly 2%
• Total crypto market up 2.2%

Most of the top 100 cryptocurrencies closed the day with single-digit gains. Altcoins — known for reacting quickly when risk appetite rises — showed notable intraday recoveries. Analysts note that this synchronized rally indicates investors are clearly pricing in optimism around both macroeconomic developments and diplomatic signals.

Trump’s “Very Good” Comment Boosts Market Sentiment

Trump’s post on Truth Social became the key driver of the day. He described the meeting as:

• “Very good”
• Noted that progress was made on many fronts
• Stated that reciprocal state visits are being planned
• Emphasized that “relations with China are extremely strong”

Markets interpreted this positive diplomatic tone as a sign that upcoming developments in trade, technology, and capital flows could be more constructive. As a result, demand for risk assets surged quickly. The same optimism helped Bitcoin reverse its early drop within hours.

Overall Assessment

Bitcoin’s rapid rebound from $85,000 to $88,000 once again demonstrates how strongly diplomatic developments can influence crypto markets. The optimistic signals from the Trump–Xi meeting triggered widespread gains across both digital assets and equities. Whether this diplomatic atmosphere continues in the coming days will play an important role in determining Bitcoin’s next move.

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Bessent emphasized that they are currently working on an agreement that encompasses a very solid framework. He also mentioned that significant progress has been made during multiple negotiations held in Kuala Lumpur, and that the necessary conditions for the leaders to sit at the table are being established.

Meanwhile, Donald Trump is expected to meet with China President Xi Jinping in the coming days. Trump stated that he believes an agreement will be signed during this meeting. The signing of such a deal is expected to bring some relief to the markets.

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What Will Be Discussed During the Meeting?

It is clear that many issues will be addressed in the talks, but some topics require particular attention and decisive actions. Examples include:

• Tariffs
• Rare Earth Minerals
• Agricultural Imports
• Fentanyl Production

According to sources such as Reuters and SCMP, the outcome of this agreement is expected to ease the pressure on global markets. The ongoing trade tension seems to be gradually giving way to stability. It appears that a potential settlement is not far off. Global markets are responding positively to the expectations surrounding the deal; however, experts emphasize that the true picture will only emerge after the final text of the agreement is revealed.

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Taking this dynamic into account, Trump warned, “If China doesn’t trade with us, they will be in big trouble.” This statement carries a strong diplomatic message — an attempt to signal that the U.S. can build alternative markets to counter China’s influence.

Tariff Pressure and Reciprocal Moves

Things are far from simple on the economic front. Trump announced plans to impose a 100% tariff on Chinese goods starting November 1 in response to China’s export restrictions on rare earth elements. China, on the other hand, has taken a firm stance and is preparing countermeasures.

This situation creates a tension line between Trump’s strategy of “using China’s fear to bring them to the table” and China’s resistance moves. Yet Trump remains confident, saying, “China respects us right now.” Naturally, such tariffs will impact not only China’s economy but also global companies. A Reuters analysis revealed that global companies are facing costs exceeding $35 billion due to these tariffs. In other words, aggressive economic pressure mechanisms are pushing trade relations into a fragile balance.

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China Visit Planned for 2026

Perhaps the most notable announcement from Trump was that he had been invited to China and plans to visit in early 2026. The visit is reportedly aimed at achieving a “fair trade deal” with Xi Jinping. This trip is not just a symbolic diplomatic step but also carries concrete expectations. Trump aims to establish an environment of compromise that could weaken China’s control over rare earth resources and lead to the gradual withdrawal of tariffs on Chinese goods. A potential deal could boost trade volumes for both nations, but it would need to be managed with a “win-win” approach.

In recent days, Trump also made striking comments about Taiwan, saying he does not believe China intends to invade the island. However, this issue remains one of the most sensitive topics overshadowing bilateral relations.

While China views Taiwan as part of its “motherland,” the U.S. and some allies support Taiwan’s democratic government. In this scenario, trade negotiations and security concerns become deeply intertwined. Trump prefers to emphasize U.S. military superiority, stating, “No one can compete with us in this regard.” Yet, even though he claims there will be no invasion, Taiwan will inevitably remain on the discussion table between the two powers.

Possible Developments and Risks

Positive Scenario: A concrete agreement could be signed between Trump and Xi. China may show flexibility regarding rare earth export restrictions, while the U.S. could gradually lift tariffs. This would ease pressure on global supply chains and provide some relief for corporations.

Risky Scenario: If China fails to meet Trump’s expectations, the 100% tariffs will take effect, further escalating tensions. Meanwhile, if the Taiwan issue turns into a crisis, diplomatic tensions could rise sharply — affecting not only the U.S. and China but also the entire Asia-Pacific region.

World Trade Organization (WTO) Director-General Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala has called for de-escalation between the U.S. and China, warning that a long-term “decoupling” between the two economies would harm global growth. This situation concerns not only Trump’s strategy but also the broader stability of the global economic system.

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A Tough Week for Crypto Markets

Over the past week, nearly all major cryptocurrencies have recorded losses. The downturn was initially triggered by Trump’s threat to impose tariffs of up to 100% on Chinese imports, raising fears of a renewed trade war. Yet, Trump later hinted at a more flexible stance that could shift the market narrative.

On Friday, Trump revealed that he will meet Chinese President Xi Jinping within two weeks, emphasizing that current tariffs are “not sustainable.” When asked whether the high tariffs on Chinese goods would remain in place, Trump simply replied, “No.” His comments were enough to spark a short-lived recovery across global markets, including crypto.

Trump and White House Seeks to Ease Tensions

White House economic advisor Kevin Hassett echoed a conciliatory tone, stating, “We are not at war with China.” Hassett added that he believes both nations will return to a more constructive relationship and acknowledged that some of China’s recent actions had been disappointing.

Market Reaction and Outlook

Following Trump’s statements, crypto markets showed modest signs of recovery. Bitcoin rose 0.84% within the hour, suggesting cautious optimism among traders. Analysts, however, warn that it is still too early to confirm a sustained rebound.

The latest developments highlight the growing correlation between macroeconomic uncertainty and crypto market performance. If Trump’s softer rhetoric toward China translates into tangible policy adjustments, investor sentiment could improve in the short term—potentially offering much-needed relief to a market battered by recent volatility.

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The delegation included US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, and Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, meeting China’s Vice Premier He Lifeng. The talks center around rare earth exports from China and Beijing’s access to advanced US technologies, particularly semiconductor chips.

Tariff Truce At Risk?

Although a temporary tariff truce was brokered in Geneva last month, accusations of non-compliance have followed quickly. Greer claimed China failed to remove export restrictions on rare earth magnets. Meanwhile, Beijing argued the US violated the agreement by halting sales of chip design software, discouraging the use of components from Huawei, and restricting student visas.

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The US had reduced tariffs on Chinese goods to 30% while China lowered its rates to 10%, both agreeing on a 90-day period to negotiate a full deal. Yet, both sides have since accused one another of backtracking.

Leadership Dialogue Offers Hope

The current meeting follows a rare phone call between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping—the first direct contact since the trade war began in February. Trump described it as “a very good talk,” adding that Xi agreed to resume trade in rare earth materials.

However, White House Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett told CBS News that while exports have resumed, they still fall short of what was agreed in Geneva.

Economic Stakes Are Global

With China responsible for mining 69% of the world’s rare earth elements—used in everything from smartphones to electric vehicles—any shift in supply dynamics will ripple across global markets.

Prior to this round of talks, He Lifeng also met with UK Chancellor Rachel Reeves, discussing closer cooperation on finance and economics.

Meanwhile, Trump‘s aggressive trade policy has raised concerns among economists. The OECD recently revised its global growth forecast downward to 2.9%, citing rising trade barriers.

New data from Beijing revealed May exports rose 4.8% year-over-year, while imports fell 3.4%—a much steeper decline than expected.

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Trump remarked Tuesday that the 145% tariffs imposed on Chinese goods were “very high” and would “come down substantially.” “They won’t go to zero, but they’ll be much lower,” he added.

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The comments calmed global markets that had been rattled by Trump’s hardline trade stance, and China responded by reaffirming its openness to dialogue. “There are no winners in trade wars,” said Foreign Ministry spokesman Guo Jiakun. “The door for talks is wide open.”

However, on Thursday, China’s Commerce Ministry stated that no trade talks had taken place yet and labeled reports of ongoing negotiations as “groundless and without factual basis.”

Other Key Developments:

• President Xi Jinping warned that trade wars “harm the global economic order.”
• Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent indicated in a closed-door meeting that a de-escalation was likely.
• White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt said, “The U.S. is doing very well on a potential deal with China.”
• Japan is reportedly preparing to send a second envoy to Washington as part of tariff discussions.

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Xi Jinping Urges EU to Unite

Chinese President Xi Jinping addressed the European Union, calling for collective resistance against the “bullying” trade behavior of the US. Xi emphasized that “no one wins in a tariff war,” underlining the need for multilateral cooperation.

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Despite heightened tensions, Donald Trump expressed hope for a resolution. “I believe we can find a solution that benefits both sides,” he said, keeping the door open for negotiations.

Investors Rush to Safe Havens

As uncertainty rises, investors are turning to safe-haven assets. Gold has hit an all-time high, while bitcoin and other crypto assets are back in the spotlight.

Arthur Hayes suggests that if China weakens the yuan, it could trigger a significant capital inflow into bitcoin. Similar patterns occurred in 2013, 2015, and 2019, possibly setting the stage for a 2025 bull run.

European Markets Take a Hit

Major European stock indices like FTSE 100, Cac 40, and DAX fell sharply following the tariff announcement. Experts attribute this to fears of declining corporate profits due to escalating trade tensions.

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Bitcoin’s Price Action and Selling Pressure

On February 9, Bitcoin dropped to $94,726, marking its lowest level in over a week, before making a strong recovery above $95,000.

According to André Dragosch, head of research at Bitwise Europe, Bitcoin experienced the highest level of selling pressure since the collapse of Three Arrows Capital (3AC) in 2022.

“We have just reached the highest amount of selling pressure on Bitcoin spot exchanges since the collapse of 3AC in June 2022. Yet, the price is still close to $100,000.”

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This indicates that the market still has strong buying support, helping Bitcoin withstand the intense selling pressure.

Bitcoin’s Critical Support and Resistance Levels

Market analysts suggest that if Bitcoin drops below $93,000, it could trigger a wave of liquidations. According to CoinGlass data, a break below this level would liquidate $1.7 billion worth of leveraged long positions across all exchanges.

Ryan Lee, chief analyst at Bitget Research, stated that if Bitcoin falls below $93,000, it could drop further to $91,500. If the selling pressure persists, Bitcoin may even decline below $90,000 due to increasing global economic uncertainty.

Key Technical Levels for Bitcoin:

• Resistance Levels: $98,200 – $104,200
• Support Levels: $95,800 – $92,000

Global Trade Wars and Their Impact on Bitcoin

Bitcoin’s price movements are directly influenced by global trade wars. The new tariffs imposed by the United States and China are causing investor anxiety, increasing pressure on the crypto market.

Furthermore, the scheduled meeting between U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping to discuss trade relations has been postponed, adding to market uncertainty. According to a Wall Street Journal report on February 4, the meeting date remains uncertain.

Bitcoin is struggling to hold key support levels. A four-hour close above $98,200 could trigger a rapid move toward $104,000. However, if it drops below $93,000, strong selling pressure could push the price down to the $90,000 level.

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