{"id":22676,"date":"2024-06-12T21:30:44","date_gmt":"2024-06-12T18:30:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinengineer.io\/?p=22676"},"modified":"2024-06-12T17:58:30","modified_gmt":"2024-06-12T14:58:30","slug":"us-cpi-and-fed-meeting-things-to-consider-when-compensating-bitcoin-losses","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/us-cpi-and-fed-meeting-things-to-consider-when-compensating-bitcoin-losses\/","title":{"rendered":"US CPI and Fed Meeting: Things to Consider When Compensating Bitcoin Losses"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/bitcoin-analysts-warn-of-long-squeeze-this-week-eyes-key-data-releases\/\">Bitcoin<\/a> has come under pressure ahead of major events that could affect the Fed&#8217;s interest rate cut expectations.<\/p>\n<p>The dollar index and bitcoin depend on core inflation, housing rents and the Fed&#8217;s views on the inflation path. Investment banks expect a decrease in housing rents. A higher-than-expected CPI could shake risk assets. Wednesday could be a decisive day in the markets as the critical US consumer price index report is due to be released just hours before the Federal Reserve meets.<\/p>\n<p>The Labor Department&#8217;s CPI report will be released at 12:30 UTC and is expected to show the cost of living will rise 0.1% in May, following a 0.3% increase in April, according to FactSet. This would keep the annual inflation rate steady at 3.4%. At the same time, core inflation excluding volatile food and energy items is expected to increase by 0.3% in May, the same rate as in April.<\/p>\n<p>Then, at 18:00 UTC, the Fed is expected to keep its benchmark borrowing cost steady between 5.25% and 5.5% and release its interest rate dot chart. Inflation data is expected to influence dot chart projections and Powell&#8217;s post-meeting remarks.<\/p>\n<p>Here are the important factors that may affect the dollar index and bitcoin:<\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_71 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 eztoc-toggle-hide-by-default' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/us-cpi-and-fed-meeting-things-to-consider-when-compensating-bitcoin-losses\/#Core_Inflation_and_Rental_Price_Increase\" title=\"Core Inflation and Rental Price Increase\">Core Inflation and Rental Price Increase<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/us-cpi-and-fed-meeting-things-to-consider-when-compensating-bitcoin-losses\/#Fed_Statement\" title=\"Fed Statement\">Fed Statement<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Core_Inflation_and_Rental_Price_Increase\"><\/span>Core Inflation and Rental Price Increase<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>According to investment banks, the core CPI risk is stated to be on the downside. &#8220;Core price growth, excluding food and energy, is expected to slow to 3.5% (from 3.6% in April), with a more normal 0.2% monthly increase. Residential rent price growth is also expected to be lower than the core services non-rent measure that Fed policymakers watch closely.&#8221; with the monthly increase expected to slow,\u201d RBC economists say.<\/p>\n<p>According to ING, some economists predict that Owners&#8217; Equivalent Rent, which has a 40% weight in the core CPI basket, will finally fall. A possible easing in housing price pressures, one of the sources of stickiness in inflation in recent months, could revive expectations for a Fed interest rate cut, which could in turn lower the dollar. A weaker dollar often comes with a rally in risk assets like bitcoin.<\/p>\n<p>According to JPMorgan, the dollar will likely rise if monthly core CPI exceeds 0.4%.<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin has remained under pressure since Friday, losing more than 5% to around $67,350, according to CoinDesk data. The dollar index, an indicator that measures the value of the greenback against major currencies, increased by 1% to 105.20.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Fed_Statement\"><\/span>Fed Statement<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>A rate decision to remain as it stands is the most likely outcome, with the interest rate projection chart expected to show two rate cuts this year instead of three. Since Friday&#8217;s warmer-than-expected employment data, markets have ruled out more than two rate cuts this year.<\/p>\n<p>Therefore, the focus will be on the central bank&#8217;s view on the course of inflation. &#8220;If the Fed omits from its statement the sentence &#8216;In recent months, there has been no further progress toward the Committee&#8217;s 2% inflation target,&#8217; short-term U.S. [Treasury] yields and the dollar could decline,&#8221; ING said in a note to clients Wednesday morning.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cChairman Powell usually holds a dovish press conference, and the dollar has closed lower on the day of the last four FOMC meetings,\u201d ING reports. &#8220;We would need to see a shock of 0.4% monthly core CPI figure or a more hawkish Powell that would bring DXY to 105.90\/106.00 levels. We think this is unlikely.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>This year, while bitcoin generally experienced price declines before the Fed decision, it rose again after the decision.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><em>You can also freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, don\u2019t forget to follow us on our\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/coinengineernews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>Telegram,\u00a0<\/strong><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@CoinEngineer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>YouTube<\/strong><\/a>,\u00a0and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/coinengineers\"><strong>Twitter<\/strong><\/a>\u00a0channels for the latest news and updates.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin has come under pressure ahead of major events that could affect the Fed&#8217;s interest rate cut expectations. The dollar index and bitcoin depend on core inflation, housing rents and the Fed&#8217;s views on the inflation path. Investment banks expect a decrease in housing rents. A higher-than-expected CPI could shake risk assets. Wednesday could be<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":18279,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7,2],"tags":[6795,6797,640,6796],"class_list":["post-22676","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-market-analysis","category-news","tag-bitcoin-fed","tag-cpi-bitcoin","tag-fed","tag-fed-cpi"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>US CPI and Fed Meeting: Things to Consider When Compensating Bitcoin Losses - Coin Engineer<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/us-cpi-and-fed-meeting-things-to-consider-when-compensating-bitcoin-losses\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"US CPI and Fed Meeting: Things to Consider When Compensating Bitcoin Losses - Coin Engineer\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Bitcoin has come under pressure ahead of major events that could affect the Fed&#8217;s interest rate cut expectations. The dollar index and bitcoin depend on core inflation, housing rents and the Fed&#8217;s views on the inflation path. Investment banks expect a decrease in housing rents. A higher-than-expected CPI could shake risk assets. Wednesday could be\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/us-cpi-and-fed-meeting-things-to-consider-when-compensating-bitcoin-losses\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Coin Engineer\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-06-12T18:30:44+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-06-12T14:58:30+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/fed.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"674\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Tanju Akb\u0131y\u0131k\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Tanju Akb\u0131y\u0131k\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/us-cpi-and-fed-meeting-things-to-consider-when-compensating-bitcoin-losses\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/us-cpi-and-fed-meeting-things-to-consider-when-compensating-bitcoin-losses\/\",\"name\":\"US CPI and Fed Meeting: Things to Consider When Compensating Bitcoin Losses - Coin Engineer\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/us-cpi-and-fed-meeting-things-to-consider-when-compensating-bitcoin-losses\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/us-cpi-and-fed-meeting-things-to-consider-when-compensating-bitcoin-losses\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/fed.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-06-12T18:30:44+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-06-12T14:58:30+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/286f3a00b45c1661961e40ff0a1c7546\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/us-cpi-and-fed-meeting-things-to-consider-when-compensating-bitcoin-losses\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/us-cpi-and-fed-meeting-things-to-consider-when-compensating-bitcoin-losses\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/us-cpi-and-fed-meeting-things-to-consider-when-compensating-bitcoin-losses\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/fed.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/fed.jpg\",\"width\":1200,\"height\":674,\"caption\":\"FED Interest Rate\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/us-cpi-and-fed-meeting-things-to-consider-when-compensating-bitcoin-losses\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"US CPI and Fed Meeting: Things to Consider When Compensating Bitcoin Losses\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/\",\"name\":\"Coin Engineer\",\"description\":\"Btc, Coins, Pre-Sale, DeFi, NFT\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/286f3a00b45c1661961e40ff0a1c7546\",\"name\":\"Tanju Akb\u0131y\u0131k\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/a027c5acae1ab2c3649244f87d705ac7ee359dd7e3222b84cb1d32ba3a8d2e18?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/a027c5acae1ab2c3649244f87d705ac7ee359dd7e3222b84cb1d32ba3a8d2e18?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"caption\":\"Tanju Akb\u0131y\u0131k\"},\"url\":\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/author\/cetanju\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"US CPI and Fed Meeting: Things to Consider When Compensating Bitcoin Losses - Coin Engineer","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/us-cpi-and-fed-meeting-things-to-consider-when-compensating-bitcoin-losses\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"US CPI and Fed Meeting: Things to Consider When Compensating Bitcoin Losses - Coin Engineer","og_description":"Bitcoin has come under pressure ahead of major events that could affect the Fed&#8217;s interest rate cut expectations. The dollar index and bitcoin depend on core inflation, housing rents and the Fed&#8217;s views on the inflation path. Investment banks expect a decrease in housing rents. A higher-than-expected CPI could shake risk assets. Wednesday could be","og_url":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/us-cpi-and-fed-meeting-things-to-consider-when-compensating-bitcoin-losses\/","og_site_name":"Coin Engineer","article_published_time":"2024-06-12T18:30:44+00:00","article_modified_time":"2024-06-12T14:58:30+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1200,"height":674,"url":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/fed.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"Tanju Akb\u0131y\u0131k","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Tanju Akb\u0131y\u0131k","Est. reading time":"3 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/us-cpi-and-fed-meeting-things-to-consider-when-compensating-bitcoin-losses\/","url":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/us-cpi-and-fed-meeting-things-to-consider-when-compensating-bitcoin-losses\/","name":"US CPI and Fed Meeting: Things to Consider When Compensating Bitcoin Losses - Coin Engineer","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/us-cpi-and-fed-meeting-things-to-consider-when-compensating-bitcoin-losses\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/us-cpi-and-fed-meeting-things-to-consider-when-compensating-bitcoin-losses\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/fed.jpg","datePublished":"2024-06-12T18:30:44+00:00","dateModified":"2024-06-12T14:58:30+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/286f3a00b45c1661961e40ff0a1c7546"},"breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/us-cpi-and-fed-meeting-things-to-consider-when-compensating-bitcoin-losses\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/us-cpi-and-fed-meeting-things-to-consider-when-compensating-bitcoin-losses\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/us-cpi-and-fed-meeting-things-to-consider-when-compensating-bitcoin-losses\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/fed.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/fed.jpg","width":1200,"height":674,"caption":"FED Interest Rate"},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/us-cpi-and-fed-meeting-things-to-consider-when-compensating-bitcoin-losses\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"US CPI and Fed Meeting: Things to Consider When Compensating Bitcoin Losses"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/#website","url":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/","name":"Coin Engineer","description":"Btc, Coins, Pre-Sale, DeFi, NFT","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":"required name=search_term_string"}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/286f3a00b45c1661961e40ff0a1c7546","name":"Tanju Akb\u0131y\u0131k","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/a027c5acae1ab2c3649244f87d705ac7ee359dd7e3222b84cb1d32ba3a8d2e18?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/a027c5acae1ab2c3649244f87d705ac7ee359dd7e3222b84cb1d32ba3a8d2e18?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"Tanju Akb\u0131y\u0131k"},"url":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/author\/cetanju\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22676","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/6"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=22676"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22676\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":22678,"href":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22676\/revisions\/22678"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/18279"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=22676"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=22676"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=22676"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}