{"id":30187,"date":"2024-09-30T21:11:30","date_gmt":"2024-09-30T18:11:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/?p=30187"},"modified":"2024-09-30T21:21:06","modified_gmt":"2024-09-30T18:21:06","slug":"jerome-powell-fed-signals-careful-rate-policy-ahead","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/jerome-powell-fed-signals-careful-rate-policy-ahead\/","title":{"rendered":"Jerome Powell: Fed Signals Careful Rate Policy Ahead"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>On Monday, <strong>Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell<\/strong> underlined that the recent half-percentage-point interest rate reduction should not be interpreted as indicating that the Fed will keep acting aggressively going forward. Speaking at a Nashville event, <strong>Powell<\/strong> pointed out that the central bank&#8217;s activities will be guided by economic data since future decisions will strike a mix between inflation control and labor market support.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;<em>Looking forward, if the economy evolves broadly as expected, policy will move over time toward a more neutral stance. But we are not on any preset course<\/em>,&#8221; <strong>Powell<\/strong> said during his speech at the National Association for Business Economics. <em>&#8220;The risks are two-sided, and we will continue to make our decisions meeting by meeting.&#8221;<\/em><\/p>\n<p>The declaration conforms to the recent Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decision of a 50 basis point reduction in the Fed&#8217;s main overnight borrowing rate. Previously only observed during crises like the COVID-19 epidemic and the 2008 global financial meltdown, this represented a rare occurrence of such a significant rate decrease.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Powell<\/strong> clarified that this action was a required &#8220;recalibration&#8221; of policy meant to better match present economic reality. The Fed has been concentrated on lowering rising inflation since March 2022; now, focus has turned to a labor market that, although still strong, has exhibited indications of slowing down over the past year.<\/p>\n<p><em>&#8220;That decision reflects our growing confidence that, with an appropriate recalibration of our policy stance, strength in the labor market can be maintained in an environment of moderate economic growth and inflation moving sustainably down to our objective,&#8221;<\/em> <strong>Powell<\/strong> added.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Powell<\/strong> noted that although the job market is slowing, the Fed does not think a greater drop in employment is required to lower inflation to the 2% target.<\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_71 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 eztoc-toggle-hide-by-default' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/jerome-powell-fed-signals-careful-rate-policy-ahead\/#Cautious_Moves_Ahead\" title=\"Cautious Moves Ahead\">Cautious Moves Ahead<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/jerome-powell-fed-signals-careful-rate-policy-ahead\/#Q_A_Session_with_Jerome_Powell\" title=\"Q&amp;A Session with Jerome Powell\">Q&amp;A Session with Jerome Powell<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Cautious_Moves_Ahead\"><\/span>Cautious Moves Ahead<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><strong>Powell<\/strong> reaffirmed that, in line with his past attitude of adaptability, no future rate decisions have been decided upon already. With predictions of a quarter-point rate drop, market indicators point to the Fed maybe leaning toward a more cautious approach at its next November 6\u20137 meeting. Still, traders predict a possible half-point reduction in December.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Powell<\/strong> alluded to indications that inflation is still down and voiced hope for the resilience of the American economy. Reported annually at 2.2%, August inflation came close to the 2% target set by the Fed. Still, core inflation\u2014which ignores erratic energy and food prices\u2014remains somewhat high at 2.7%.<\/p>\n<p>Rising by another 0.5%, in August housing-related expenses remain a difficulty. <strong>Powell<\/strong> said that although home inflation is dropping down, the rate of drop has been moderate.<\/p>\n<p><em>&#8220;Housing services inflation continues to decline, but sluggishly,<\/em>&#8221; <strong>Powell<\/strong> noted. &#8220;<em>The growth rate in rents charged to new tenants remains low. As long as that remains the case, housing services inflation will continue to decline.&#8221;<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Powell<\/strong> expressed hope that additional disinflation may be on call when more general economic conditions stabilize.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Q_A_Session_with_Jerome_Powell\"><\/span>Q&amp;A Session with Jerome Powell<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>During the Q&amp;A portion of his speech, Jerome Powell addressed several key topics ranging from economic data to the Fed\u2019s future monetary policy. Here are the highlights:<\/p>\n<p><strong>Labor Market and GDP Data<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Powell pointed out that, compared to GDP statistics, the labor market usually provides a more realistic real-time view of economic circumstances. He underlined the need for studying labor statistics, particularly in lean times.<\/p>\n<p><em>&#8220;There\u2019s more support for thinking that the GDP readings that we get are solid,&#8221; Powell remarked, adding, &#8220;It helps at the margin. That\u2019s not going to stop us from looking very carefully at the labor market, though.&#8221;<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Monetary Policy and Interest Rate Cuts<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Powell clarified that should the economy show as predicted, the Fed may cut two more 25 basis points before the end of the year, thereby totaling 50 basis points. He did, however, also point out that arriving data would determine the pace of these reduction.<\/p>\n<p><em>&#8220;From a base case standpoint, we\u2019re looking at it as a process that will play out over some time, not something that we need to go fast on,&#8221;<\/em> Powell said.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Productivity and Savings Rate Revisions<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Powell also covered the recent changes to data on savings rate and productivity that have brightened economic possibilities. The updated savings rate, he observed, indicates that consumer spending may keep at a reasonable pace, reducing negative risks.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;<em>A higher savings rate suggests that spending can continue at a healthy level,&#8221;<\/em> Powell explained. Additionally, he commented on productivity gains, cautioning that it is still too early to tell if the pickup is sustainable.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_processed\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">You can also freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, don\u2019t forget to follow us on our\u00a0<a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/coinengineernews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\"><strong class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_processed\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">Telegram,\u00a0<\/strong><\/a><a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@CoinEngineer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\"><strong class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_processed\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">YouTube<\/strong><\/a>,\u00a0and\u00a0<a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/coinengineers\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\"><strong class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_processed\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">Twitter<\/strong><\/a>\u00a0channels for\u00a0<\/em><em class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_processed\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">the latest\u00a0<a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" title=\"News\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/news\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"7\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">news<\/a>\u00a0and updates.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On Monday, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell underlined that the recent half-percentage-point interest rate reduction should not be interpreted as indicating that the Fed will keep acting aggressively going forward. Speaking at a Nashville event, Powell pointed out that the central bank&#8217;s activities will be guided by economic data since future decisions will strike a<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":30188,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[640,4118,8838],"class_list":["post-30187","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-fed","tag-jerome-powell","tag-jerome-powell-fed"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Jerome Powell: Fed Signals Careful Rate Policy Ahead - Coin Engineer<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/jerome-powell-fed-signals-careful-rate-policy-ahead\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Jerome Powell: Fed Signals Careful Rate Policy Ahead - Coin Engineer\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"On Monday, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell underlined that the recent half-percentage-point interest rate reduction should not be interpreted as indicating that the Fed will keep acting aggressively going forward. 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