{"id":34892,"date":"2025-01-15T09:55:24","date_gmt":"2025-01-15T06:55:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/?p=34892"},"modified":"2025-01-15T09:24:59","modified_gmt":"2025-01-15T06:24:59","slug":"goldman-sachs-and-bank-of-america-revise-fed-expectations","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/goldman-sachs-and-bank-of-america-revise-fed-expectations\/","title":{"rendered":"Goldman Sachs and Bank of America Revise Fed Expectations"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Bank of America<\/strong>, <strong>Citigroup<\/strong>, and <strong>Goldman Sachs<\/strong> economists revised their predictions for the Fed&#8217;s interest rate cuts this year after the stronger-than-expected <strong>U.S. December nonfarm payroll data<\/strong>. The unexpectedly high job growth figures have led some Wall Street banks to alter their <strong>rate cut<\/strong> expectations.<\/p>\n<p>Previously anticipating two 25-basis-point cuts this year, <strong>Bank of America<\/strong> announced it now expects no rate cuts. The bank highlighted the risk of the Fed\u2019s next move being a hike rather than a cut.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Citigroup<\/strong> maintains its forecast of five 25-basis-point rate cuts but shifted the timeline, expecting cuts to start in <strong>May<\/strong> rather than January. Meanwhile, <strong>Goldman Sachs<\/strong> lowered its forecast to two rate cuts this year, down from three.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/geoim.bloomberght.com\/2025\/01\/10\/ver1736532152\/3739029_816x459.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1104\" height=\"621\" \/><\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_71 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 eztoc-toggle-hide-by-default' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/goldman-sachs-and-bank-of-america-revise-fed-expectations\/#Bank_of_America_Insights\" title=\"Bank of America Insights\">Bank of America Insights<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/goldman-sachs-and-bank-of-america-revise-fed-expectations\/#December_Nonfarm_Payroll_Data_Impact\" title=\"December Nonfarm Payroll Data Impact\">December Nonfarm Payroll Data Impact<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Bank_of_America_Insights\"><\/span>Bank of America Insights<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Aditya Bhave and his team at <strong>Bank of America<\/strong> stated, \u201cFollowing the robust December nonfarm payroll report, we believe the cutting cycle is over.\u201d They also noted that if <strong>core PCE inflation<\/strong> surpasses 3% or inflation expectations rise, the Fed might consider raising rates instead.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><strong><em>You Might Be Interested In: <a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/elon-musk-talks-about-the-name-of-a-new-memecoin\/\">Elon Musk Talks About the Name of a New Memecoin!<\/a><\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p>Andrew Hollenhorst and Veronica Clark from <strong>Citigroup<\/strong> dismissed concerns about the Fed refraining from cuts or even considering rate hikes this year. They emphasized that while employment is stronger than expected, both price and wage inflation are decreasing, enabling officials to feel comfortable implementing rate cuts.<\/p>\n<p>Led by Jan Hatzius, <strong>Goldman Sachs<\/strong> economists projected rate cuts in June and December this year and again in June 2026. However, they revised their previous forecast of cuts in March, June, and September, now estimating a terminal rate of 3.5% &#8211; 3.75%.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"December_Nonfarm_Payroll_Data_Impact\"><\/span>December Nonfarm Payroll Data Impact<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>The <strong>U.S. December nonfarm payroll<\/strong> figure came in at <strong>256,000<\/strong>, significantly exceeding expectations. This led to a reduction in <strong>rate cut<\/strong> expectations, with markets now pricing in just 30 basis points of cuts by the end of 2025. The mid-year cut expectation has been postponed to September.<\/p>\n<p>Since September, the Fed has reduced its policy rate by 100 basis points to the range of <strong>4.25% &#8211; 4.5%<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><em>You can also freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, don\u2019t forget to follow us on our\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/coinengineernews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><strong>Telegram,\u00a0<\/strong><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@CoinEngineer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><strong>YouTube<\/strong><\/a>,\u00a0and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/coinengineers\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><strong>Twitter<\/strong><\/a>\u00a0channels for the latest\u00a0<a title=\"News\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/news\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"7\">news<\/a>\u00a0and updates.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bank of America, Citigroup, and Goldman Sachs economists revised their predictions for the Fed&#8217;s interest rate cuts this year after the stronger-than-expected U.S. December nonfarm payroll data. The unexpectedly high job growth figures have led some Wall Street banks to alter their rate cut expectations. Previously anticipating two 25-basis-point cuts this year, Bank of America<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":28,"featured_media":32389,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10,657,2],"tags":[7944,11032,10317,3341,1180,2345,2302,11033],"class_list":["post-34892","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economy-news","category-en","category-news","tag-bank-of-america","tag-citigroup","tag-fed-rate-cuts","tag-goldman-sachs","tag-inflation","tag-interest-rates","tag-monetary-policy","tag-u-s-nonfarm-payroll"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Goldman Sachs and Bank of America Revise Fed Expectations - Coin Engineer<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/goldman-sachs-and-bank-of-america-revise-fed-expectations\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Goldman Sachs and Bank of America Revise Fed Expectations - Coin Engineer\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Bank of America, Citigroup, and Goldman Sachs economists revised their predictions for the Fed&#8217;s interest rate cuts this year after the stronger-than-expected U.S. December nonfarm payroll data. 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