{"id":40470,"date":"2025-04-19T14:00:33","date_gmt":"2025-04-19T11:00:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/?p=40470"},"modified":"2025-04-19T13:26:18","modified_gmt":"2025-04-19T10:26:18","slug":"lyn-alden-bitcoin-likely-to-end-the-year-higher-but-tariffs","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/lyn-alden-bitcoin-likely-to-end-the-year-higher-but-tariffs\/","title":{"rendered":"Lyn Alden: Bitcoin Likely to End the Year Higher, But Tariffs&#8230;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"\" data-start=\"223\" data-end=\"461\">Macroeconomist <strong data-start=\"238\" data-end=\"251\">Lyn Alden<\/strong> expects <a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/is-the-alleged-trump-dinner-for-trump-token-holders-real\/\"><strong data-start=\"260\" data-end=\"271\">Bitcoin<\/strong> <\/a>to end 2025 above its current price level. However, the <strong data-start=\"328\" data-end=\"351\">tariff announcement<\/strong> made by former U.S. President Donald Trump back in February led her to revise her year-end forecast downward.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"463\" data-end=\"701\">\u201cIf it weren\u2019t for the tariff situation, my price target would have been much higher,\u201d Alden said. Still, she believes <strong data-start=\"640\" data-end=\"700\">Bitcoin will close the year at a higher level than today<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_71 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 eztoc-toggle-hide-by-default' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/lyn-alden-bitcoin-likely-to-end-the-year-higher-but-tariffs\/#Liquidity_Could_Be_the_Key_Catalyst_for_Bitcoin\" title=\"Liquidity Could Be the Key Catalyst for Bitcoin\">Liquidity Could Be the Key Catalyst for Bitcoin<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/lyn-alden-bitcoin-likely-to-end-the-year-higher-but-tariffs\/#Bitcoin_May_Decouple_from_Nasdaq\" title=\"Bitcoin May Decouple from Nasdaq\">Bitcoin May Decouple from Nasdaq<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/lyn-alden-bitcoin-likely-to-end-the-year-higher-but-tariffs\/#Strong_Correlation_Between_Bitcoin_and_Global_Liquidity\" title=\"Strong Correlation Between Bitcoin and Global Liquidity\">Strong Correlation Between Bitcoin and Global Liquidity<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h3 class=\"\" data-start=\"703\" data-end=\"754\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Liquidity_Could_Be_the_Key_Catalyst_for_Bitcoin\"><\/span>Liquidity Could Be the Key Catalyst for Bitcoin<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"756\" data-end=\"1092\">According to Alden, a <strong data-start=\"778\" data-end=\"825\">strong liquidity boost in financial markets<\/strong> is essential for Bitcoin to reach more optimistic price targets. This scenario might be triggered by a major disruption in the U.S. bond market, prompting the <strong data-start=\"985\" data-end=\"1092\">Federal Reserve to implement yield curve control or initiate another round of quantitative easing (QE).<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"1094\" data-end=\"1391\">She also noted that crypto markets are more prone to volatility due to their <strong data-start=\"1171\" data-end=\"1197\">24\/7 trading structure<\/strong>, unlike traditional financial markets with limited hours. \u201cIf uncertainty builds over the weekend, some investors choose to sell their Bitcoin on Sunday to prepare for Monday,\u201d Alden explained.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"\" data-start=\"1393\" data-end=\"1429\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Bitcoin_May_Decouple_from_Nasdaq\"><\/span>Bitcoin May Decouple from Nasdaq<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"1431\" data-end=\"1679\">Alden emphasized that <strong data-start=\"1453\" data-end=\"1542\">Bitcoin doesn\u2019t necessarily have to move in sync with the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 index<\/strong>. In her view, events that damage Nasdaq&#8217;s profit margins but do not impact global liquidity could allow Bitcoin to chart its own course.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"1681\" data-end=\"1980\">To illustrate, she pointed to the global market environment between <strong data-start=\"1749\" data-end=\"1766\">2003 and 2007<\/strong>, when the U.S. dollar remained weak and capital flowed into <strong data-start=\"1827\" data-end=\"1870\">emerging markets, commodities, and gold<\/strong>. Alden believes a similar market cycle could once again <strong data-start=\"1927\" data-end=\"1944\">favor Bitcoin<\/strong> even if U.S. equities underperform.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"\" data-start=\"1982\" data-end=\"2041\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Strong_Correlation_Between_Bitcoin_and_Global_Liquidity\"><\/span>Strong Correlation Between Bitcoin and Global Liquidity<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"2043\" data-end=\"2410\">In a previous research report, Alden noted that <strong data-start=\"2091\" data-end=\"2203\">Bitcoin moved in the same direction as global M2 money supply 83% of the time over any given 12-month period<\/strong>. The study labeled Bitcoin as the <strong data-start=\"2238\" data-end=\"2283\">\u201cstrongest barometer of global liquidity\u201d<\/strong>, outperforming assets like the <strong data-start=\"2315\" data-end=\"2370\">S&amp;P 500 (SPX), gold, and global equity indices (VT)<\/strong> in terms of correlation with liquidity.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p class=\"\" data-start=\"2043\" data-end=\"2410\"><em>In the comment section, you can freely share your comments and\u00a0 opinions about the topic. Additionally, don\u2019 t forget to follow us on\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/coinengineernews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\"><strong>Telegram<\/strong>,\u00a0<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@CoinEngineer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\"><strong>YouTube<\/strong><\/a>,\u00a0and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/coinengineers\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><strong>Twitter<\/strong><\/a>\u00a0for the latest\u00a0<a title=\"News\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/news\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"7\">news<\/a>\u00a0and updates.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Macroeconomist Lyn Alden expects Bitcoin to end 2025 above its current price level. However, the tariff announcement made by former U.S. President Donald Trump back in February led her to revise her year-end forecast downward. \u201cIf it weren\u2019t for the tariff situation, my price target would have been much higher,\u201d Alden said. Still, she believes<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":29,"featured_media":33645,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[61,14573,7926,9512],"class_list":["post-40470","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-crypto-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-2025","tag-bitcoin-bull-run","tag-lyn-alden"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Lyn Alden: Bitcoin Likely to End the Year Higher, But Tariffs... - Coin Engineer<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/lyn-alden-bitcoin-likely-to-end-the-year-higher-but-tariffs\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Lyn Alden: Bitcoin Likely to End the Year Higher, But Tariffs... - Coin Engineer\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Macroeconomist Lyn Alden expects Bitcoin to end 2025 above its current price level. However, the tariff announcement made by former U.S. President Donald Trump back in February led her to revise her year-end forecast downward. \u201cIf it weren\u2019t for the tariff situation, my price target would have been much higher,\u201d Alden said. 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