{"id":44874,"date":"2025-06-23T21:30:22","date_gmt":"2025-06-23T18:30:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/?p=44874"},"modified":"2025-06-23T21:04:59","modified_gmt":"2025-06-23T18:04:59","slug":"what-will-happen-to-oil-and-markets-after-trumps-attack-on-iran","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/what-will-happen-to-oil-and-markets-after-trumps-attack-on-iran\/","title":{"rendered":"What Will Happen to Oil and Markets After Trump\u2019s Attack on Iran?\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Following the attack on Iran\u2019s nuclear facilities by <strong>US President Trump<\/strong>, the expected major fluctuations in global markets did not occur. <strong>On June 21<\/strong>, Trump announced airstrikes on Iran\u2019s nuclear sites in Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan. However, the market reaction remained limited.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Although<strong> US stock markets<\/strong> opened with declines, losses were quickly recovered. <strong>Oil and gold<\/strong> prices initially rose but then fell back. The global <strong>MSCI<\/strong> index only dropped by<strong> 0.12%<\/strong>. Safe-haven assets showed mixed performance: the <strong>Japanese yen lost 0.64%<\/strong> against the dollar, while gold prices slightly decreased. Experts attribute the market calmness to expectations that the military intervention will not be prolonged. The <strong>Trump administration<\/strong> is keeping its military actions against Iran limited and deterrent. The prevailing belief is that the regional conflict will not escalate.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_71 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 eztoc-toggle-hide-by-default' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/what-will-happen-to-oil-and-markets-after-trumps-attack-on-iran\/#Geopolitical_Risks_Are_Controlled_by_Markets\" title=\"Geopolitical Risks Are Controlled by Markets\u00a0\">Geopolitical Risks Are Controlled by Markets\u00a0<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/what-will-happen-to-oil-and-markets-after-trumps-attack-on-iran\/#Irans_Countermeasures_and_the_Strait_of_Hormuz_Risk\" title=\"Iran\u2019s Countermeasures and the Strait of Hormuz Risk\u00a0\">Iran\u2019s Countermeasures and the Strait of Hormuz Risk\u00a0<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/what-will-happen-to-oil-and-markets-after-trumps-attack-on-iran\/#Three_Possible_Scenarios_for_Oil_Prices_According_to_Analysts\" title=\"Three Possible Scenarios for Oil Prices According to Analysts\u00a0\">Three Possible Scenarios for Oil Prices According to Analysts\u00a0<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/what-will-happen-to-oil-and-markets-after-trumps-attack-on-iran\/#Long-Term_Positive_Outlook_for_US_Stocks\" title=\"Long-Term Positive Outlook for US Stocks\u00a0\">Long-Term Positive Outlook for US Stocks\u00a0<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Geopolitical_Risks_Are_Controlled_by_Markets\"><\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Geopolitical Risks Are Controlled by Markets<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">According to Dan Ives from Wedbush, the removal of <strong>Iran\u2019s nuclear threat<\/strong> is positive for the market. At this stage, the possibility of the Iran-Israel conflict turning into a regional war is considered low. Therefore, markets are not panicking.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Peter Boockvar, investment officer at <strong>Bleakley Financial Group<\/strong>, states that market stability will be maintained if Iran ends its military nuclear program. Iran is not expected to take actions that would disrupt global oil supply. Michael Hartnett, strategist at <strong>Bank of America<\/strong>, says <a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/trump-peace-between-israel-and-iran-will-be-achieved-soon\/\"><strong>Trump<\/strong><\/a> does not want gas prices to remain above $4. It is also predicted that Trump will continue to pressure Russia and Saudi Arabia to increase oil production.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Irans_Countermeasures_and_the_Strait_of_Hormuz_Risk\"><\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Iran\u2019s Countermeasures and the Strait of Hormuz Risk<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\"><strong>Despite Iran\u2019s parliament<\/strong> deciding to close the Strait of Hormuz, market concerns remain limited. Experts emphasize that the likelihood of Iran implementing this threat is low. <strong>Marko Papic from GeoMacro Strategy<\/strong> says Iran\u2019s countermeasures will be limited. If the <strong>Strait of Hormuz<\/strong> is closed, oil prices would surge above $100, panic would ensue in markets, and stocks could fall more than <strong>10%<\/strong>. However, this scenario is considered unlikely.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">In the past, Iran has made similar threats but did not close the strait. Papic notes that Iran is aware of the heavy retaliation that would come from the US.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Three_Possible_Scenarios_for_Oil_Prices_According_to_Analysts\"><\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Three Possible Scenarios for Oil Prices According to Analysts<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Morgan Stanley analyst Martijn Rats outlines three scenarios shaping oil prices:<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Oil flow continues uninterrupted, Brent crude falls to around<strong> $60<\/strong>.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Iran\u2019s oil exports decline significantly, eliminating global oversupply, prices hover between<strong> $75-80<\/strong>.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Expanded conflict threatens Gulf oil exports, prices could rise to <strong>$140<\/strong> as in 2022.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Whether price movements are temporary or permanent is critical. Recently, WTI oil prices rose by 10%, Brent crude by <strong>18%<\/strong>.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Long-Term_Positive_Outlook_for_US_Stocks\"><\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Long-Term Positive Outlook for US Stocks<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Ed Yardeni, founder of <strong>Yardeni Research<\/strong>, states that geopolitical developments will not change the long-term upward trend of US stock markets. Trump\u2019s limited military intervention increases market confidence. Yardeni suggests the destruction of Iran\u2019s nuclear sites could create structural changes in the <strong>Middle East<\/strong>. Short-term uncertainty and volatility are possible, but market confidence could strengthen over time.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The expectation that Iran will respond limitedly and that the conflict can be controlled keeps investors cautiously optimistic.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><em>You can also freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, don\u2019t forget to follow us on our\u00a0<span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/coinengineernews\">Telegram<\/a><span style=\"color: #000000;\">,<\/span>\u00a0<a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@CoinEngineer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">YouTube<\/a><\/span><span style=\"color: #000000;\">,<\/span>\u00a0and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/coinengineers\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">Twitter<\/span><\/a>\u00a0channels for the latest<span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">\u00a0<a style=\"color: #0000ff;\" title=\"News\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/news\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"7\">news<\/a><\/span>\u00a0and updates.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Following the attack on Iran\u2019s nuclear facilities by US President Trump, the expected major fluctuations in global markets did not occur. On June 21, Trump announced airstrikes on Iran\u2019s nuclear sites in Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan. However, the market reaction remained limited.\u00a0 Although US stock markets opened with declines, losses were quickly recovered. Oil and<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":36,"featured_media":44875,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10,657,2],"tags":[19018,15710,19014,19013,19020,5397,18116,19016,19017,9490,18232,19015,2635,19019],"class_list":["post-44874","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economy-news","category-en","category-news","tag-brent-crude-price","tag-geopolitical-risk","tag-global-oil-prices","tag-iran-nuclear-attack","tag-iran-us-relations","tag-market-volatility","tag-middle-east-conflict","tag-oil-price-scenarios","tag-oil-supply-disruption","tag-safe-haven-assets","tag-strait-of-hormuz","tag-trump-military-action","tag-us-stock-market","tag-wti-oil-trends"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>What Will Happen to Oil and Markets After Trump\u2019s Attack on Iran?\u00a0 - Coin Engineer<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/what-will-happen-to-oil-and-markets-after-trumps-attack-on-iran\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"What Will Happen to Oil and Markets After Trump\u2019s Attack on Iran?\u00a0 - Coin Engineer\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Following the attack on Iran\u2019s nuclear facilities by US President Trump, the expected major fluctuations in global markets did not occur. On June 21, Trump announced airstrikes on Iran\u2019s nuclear sites in Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan. However, the market reaction remained limited.\u00a0 Although US stock markets opened with declines, losses were quickly recovered. 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