{"id":47044,"date":"2025-07-30T13:48:05","date_gmt":"2025-07-30T10:48:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/?p=47044"},"modified":"2025-07-30T13:48:05","modified_gmt":"2025-07-30T10:48:05","slug":"markets-on-edge-ahead-of-fed-decision-what-to-expect-tonight","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/markets-on-edge-ahead-of-fed-decision-what-to-expect-tonight\/","title":{"rendered":"Markets on Edge Ahead of Fed Decision: What to Expect Tonight"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-start=\"401\" data-end=\"691\">The <a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/trump-fed-rate-cut-pressure-july-2025\/\"><strong>U.S. Federal Reserve<\/strong><\/a> is set to announce its latest interest rate decision later today, and global markets are watching closely. From <strong data-start=\"538\" data-end=\"549\">Bitcoin<\/strong> to <strong>Treasury bonds<\/strong>, equities to commodities, every asset class is poised for potential movement depending on what the Fed says\u2014or doesn\u2019t say.<\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_71 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 eztoc-toggle-hide-by-default' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/markets-on-edge-ahead-of-fed-decision-what-to-expect-tonight\/#No_Change_in_Rates_Anticipated\" title=\"No Change in Rates Anticipated\">No Change in Rates Anticipated<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/markets-on-edge-ahead-of-fed-decision-what-to-expect-tonight\/#Inflation_Still_a_Wild_Card\" title=\"Inflation Still a Wild Card\">Inflation Still a Wild Card<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/markets-on-edge-ahead-of-fed-decision-what-to-expect-tonight\/#Divisions_Within_the_Fed\" title=\"Divisions Within the Fed\">Divisions Within the Fed<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/markets-on-edge-ahead-of-fed-decision-what-to-expect-tonight\/#Political_Tension_Powell_vs_Trump\" title=\"Political Tension: Powell vs. Trump\">Political Tension: Powell vs. Trump<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/markets-on-edge-ahead-of-fed-decision-what-to-expect-tonight\/#Calm_Before_the_Storm_in_the_Markets\" title=\"Calm Before the Storm in the Markets\">Calm Before the Storm in the Markets<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h3 data-start=\"693\" data-end=\"727\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"No_Change_in_Rates_Anticipated\"><\/span>No Change in Rates Anticipated<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"729\" data-end=\"955\">Since the start of the year, the Fed has maintained its interest rates, and analysts expect this stance to continue tonight. Market pricing currently reflects a <strong data-start=\"890\" data-end=\"909\">98% probability<\/strong> that the central bank will hold rates steady.<\/p>\n<h3 data-start=\"957\" data-end=\"988\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Inflation_Still_a_Wild_Card\"><\/span>Inflation Still a Wild Card<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"990\" data-end=\"1334\">Although inflation showed signs of retreat in 2023, a <strong data-start=\"1044\" data-end=\"1071\">50 basis point rate cut<\/strong> in September 2024 was followed by a renewed uptick in price pressures, with inflation rising back to around 3%. Recent data shows it has eased slightly to <strong data-start=\"1227\" data-end=\"1235\">2.7%<\/strong>, but trade tensions and tariff-related uncertainty could keep inflation elevated in the near term.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1336\" data-end=\"1487\">Fed Chair <strong data-start=\"1346\" data-end=\"1363\">Jerome Powell<\/strong> has repeatedly emphasized that ongoing tariff concerns are a key reason for the central bank\u2019s cautious approach to easing.<\/p>\n<h3 data-start=\"1489\" data-end=\"1517\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Divisions_Within_the_Fed\"><\/span>Divisions Within the Fed<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"1519\" data-end=\"1801\">Consensus remains elusive inside the Fed itself. According to major U.S. financial outlets, figures like <strong data-start=\"1624\" data-end=\"1646\">Christopher Waller<\/strong> and <strong data-start=\"1651\" data-end=\"1670\">Michelle Bowman<\/strong> believe it\u2019s time to begin cutting rates. Meanwhile, others argue that no reductions should take place at all throughout <strong data-start=\"1792\" data-end=\"1800\">2025<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1803\" data-end=\"1959\">The \u201cdot plot\u201d released in June reflected expectations for <strong data-start=\"1862\" data-end=\"1879\">two rate cuts<\/strong> in 2025. However, no updated projections are expected during tonight\u2019s meeting.<\/p>\n<h3 data-start=\"1961\" data-end=\"2000\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Political_Tension_Powell_vs_Trump\"><\/span>Political Tension: Powell vs. Trump<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"2002\" data-end=\"2297\">At 18:00 UTC,<strong> Fed Chair Powell<\/strong> will take the stage for his press conference\u2014but interest isn\u2019t limited to monetary policy. The <strong data-start=\"2144\" data-end=\"2193\">restoration budget<\/strong> for the Fed&#8217;s headquarter<strong data-start=\"2144\" data-end=\"2193\">s<\/strong> has sparked controversy in Washington, and some speculate it could even jeopardize Powell\u2019s leadership.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2299\" data-end=\"2566\">Last week, <strong data-start=\"2310\" data-end=\"2336\">President Donald Trump<\/strong> visited the Fed building and publicly questioned the project\u2019s cost. The tension between the two was noticeable during the visit, though it reportedly cooled off when Trump remarked, \u201cAll I really want from him is lower rates\u2026\u201d<\/p>\n<h3 data-start=\"2568\" data-end=\"2608\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Calm_Before_the_Storm_in_the_Markets\"><\/span>Calm Before the Storm in the Markets<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"2610\" data-end=\"2933\">Markets remain unusually quiet in the lead-up to the announcement. <strong data-start=\"2677\" data-end=\"2688\">Bitcoin<\/strong> is holding steady around <strong data-start=\"2714\" data-end=\"2726\">$118,000<\/strong>, and volatility across digital assets has dropped significantly in recent days. U.S. Treasury yields are also little changed, reflecting market uncertainty about future rate directions and inflation trends.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p data-start=\"2610\" data-end=\"2933\"><em class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_processed\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">You can also freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, don\u2019t forget to follow us on our\u00a0<a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/coinengineernews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\"><strong class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_processed\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">Telegram,\u00a0<\/strong><\/a><a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@CoinEngineer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\"><strong class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_processed\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">YouTube<\/strong><\/a>,\u00a0and\u00a0<a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/coinengineers\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\"><strong class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_processed\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">Twitter<\/strong><\/a>\u00a0channels for the latest\u00a0<a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" title=\"News\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/news\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"7\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">news<\/a>\u00a0and updates.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The U.S. Federal Reserve is set to announce its latest interest rate decision later today, and global markets are watching closely. From Bitcoin to Treasury bonds, equities to commodities, every asset class is poised for potential movement depending on what the Fed says\u2014or doesn\u2019t say. No Change in Rates Anticipated Since the start of the<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":29,"featured_media":32071,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10,2],"tags":[61,21616,640,5867,2029,2297,8132,9718,3310],"class_list":["post-47044","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economy-news","category-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-christopher-waller","tag-fed","tag-interest-rate","tag-michelle-bowman","tag-powell","tag-rate-cut","tag-treasury-bonds","tag-trump"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Markets on Edge Ahead of Fed Decision: What to Expect Tonight - Coin Engineer<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The U.S. Federal Reserve (FED) is set to announce its latest interest rate decision later today, and global markets are watching closely.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/markets-on-edge-ahead-of-fed-decision-what-to-expect-tonight\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Markets on Edge Ahead of Fed Decision: What to Expect Tonight - 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