{"id":47774,"date":"2025-08-11T12:30:31","date_gmt":"2025-08-11T09:30:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/?p=47774"},"modified":"2025-08-11T12:18:40","modified_gmt":"2025-08-11T09:18:40","slug":"has-bitcoin-four-year-cycle-ended-analysis","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/has-bitcoin-four-year-cycle-ended-analysis\/","title":{"rendered":"Has the Four-Year Bitcoin Cycle Really Ended? Analysis"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\"><strong>Bitcoin<\/strong> historical four-year market cycle following <strong>halving events<\/strong> has recently become a topic of intense debate. The rise in institutional investments strengthens the view that this model might have come to an end. Writer and investor Jason Williams noted on X that the top 100 Bitcoin treasury companies hold around 1 million BTC. Williams argued this marks the end of the four-year cycle.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Matthew Hougan, CIO of Bitwise Asset Management, offered a similar perspective. Hougan stated that it is still too early to declare the cycle over without positive returns by 2026. However, he believes the cycle will eventually end in the long term. Historically, <a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/the-200000-dream-for-bitcoin-reality-or-headline-game\/\"><strong>BTC<\/strong><\/a> price peaks occurred in <strong>2013, 2017<\/strong>, and 2021 after halving events. Analysts expect a similar scenario in 2025.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Pierre Rochard, CEO of <strong>Bitcoin Bond Company<\/strong>, suggested the four-year cycles might have ended. Rochard pointed out that 95% of Bitcoin\u2019s supply has already been mined. He also noted that the impact of halvings on trading volume has diminished. Demand now mainly comes from retail investors, wealth management platforms adding <strong>ETPs<\/strong>, and corporate treasuries.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Macroeconomics and Institutional Capital Impact<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Martin Burgherr, Head of Client Coverage at Sygnum Bank, said the halving cycle remains an important reference. However, macroeconomic conditions, institutional capital flows, regulatory developments, and <a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/spot-bitcoin-ethereum-etfs-inflows-august-2025\/\"><strong>ETF<\/strong><\/a> adoption have become equally influential on the market. Burgherr emphasized that the four-year framework is no longer the sole determinant.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">In contrast, crypto analyst CRYPTOBIRB rejected claims that the four-year cycle has ended. He stated that ETFs increase market correlation, thus reinforcing this cycle. He also reminded that halving cycles are mathematically programmed and unchangeable.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Seamus Rocca, CEO of Xapo Bank, similarly affirmed that the cycles still hold validity. Rocca said that despite institutional presence, Bitcoin\u2019s cyclical nature continues. The debate is expected to become clearer with the anticipated price movements in 2025.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\"> <em>You can also freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, don\u2019t forget to follow us on our\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/coinengineernews\">Telegram<\/a>,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@CoinEngineer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">YouTube<\/a>,\u00a0and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/coinengineers\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Twitter<\/a>\u00a0channels for the latest\u00a0<a title=\"News\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/news\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"7\">news<\/a>\u00a0and updates.<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin historical four-year market cycle following halving events has recently become a topic of intense debate. The rise in institutional investments strengthens the view that this model might have come to an end. Writer and investor Jason Williams noted on X that the top 100 Bitcoin treasury companies hold around 1 million BTC. Williams argued<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":36,"featured_media":46319,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[11341,1049,7969,9769,11247,22235,9838,22236],"class_list":["post-47774","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-crypto-news","tag-bitcoin-cycle","tag-bitcoin-price-prediction","tag-bitcoin-supply","tag-crypto-market-trends","tag-etf-adoption","tag-halving-impact","tag-institutional-bitcoin","tag-macroeconomics-crypto"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Has the Four-Year Bitcoin Cycle Really Ended? Analysis - Coin Engineer<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Experts debate if Bitcoin historic four-year halving cycle has ended amid growing institutional investments and changing market dynamics.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/has-bitcoin-four-year-cycle-ended-analysis\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Has the Four-Year Bitcoin Cycle Really Ended? Analysis - Coin Engineer\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Experts debate if Bitcoin historic four-year halving cycle has ended amid growing institutional investments and changing market dynamics.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/has-bitcoin-four-year-cycle-ended-analysis\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Coin Engineer\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-08-11T09:30:31+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-08-11T09:18:40+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/taslak-ce-2025-07-17T143459.556-1024x576.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1024\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"576\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Yeliz Akmaca\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Yeliz Akmaca\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/has-bitcoin-four-year-cycle-ended-analysis\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/has-bitcoin-four-year-cycle-ended-analysis\/\",\"name\":\"Has the Four-Year Bitcoin Cycle Really Ended? Analysis - Coin Engineer\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/has-bitcoin-four-year-cycle-ended-analysis\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/has-bitcoin-four-year-cycle-ended-analysis\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/taslak-ce-2025-07-17T143459.556.png\",\"datePublished\":\"2025-08-11T09:30:31+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-08-11T09:18:40+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/5f900e6c865999388c1ea494e5953442\"},\"description\":\"Experts debate if Bitcoin historic four-year halving cycle has ended amid growing institutional investments and changing market dynamics.\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/has-bitcoin-four-year-cycle-ended-analysis\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/has-bitcoin-four-year-cycle-ended-analysis\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/has-bitcoin-four-year-cycle-ended-analysis\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/taslak-ce-2025-07-17T143459.556.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/taslak-ce-2025-07-17T143459.556.png\",\"width\":1920,\"height\":1080,\"caption\":\"Global Bitcoin legality map 2025\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/has-bitcoin-four-year-cycle-ended-analysis\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Has the Four-Year Bitcoin Cycle Really Ended? Analysis\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/\",\"name\":\"Coin Engineer\",\"description\":\"Btc, Coins, Pre-Sale, DeFi, NFT\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/5f900e6c865999388c1ea494e5953442\",\"name\":\"Yeliz Akmaca\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/b399e2146177639d343205648bae3bdb3cd7bb9d02c7186f71149c7122151b69?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/b399e2146177639d343205648bae3bdb3cd7bb9d02c7186f71149c7122151b69?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"caption\":\"Yeliz Akmaca\"},\"url\":\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/author\/cmyelizz\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Has the Four-Year Bitcoin Cycle Really Ended? Analysis - Coin Engineer","description":"Experts debate if Bitcoin historic four-year halving cycle has ended amid growing institutional investments and changing market dynamics.","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/has-bitcoin-four-year-cycle-ended-analysis\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Has the Four-Year Bitcoin Cycle Really Ended? Analysis - Coin Engineer","og_description":"Experts debate if Bitcoin historic four-year halving cycle has ended amid growing institutional investments and changing market dynamics.","og_url":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/has-bitcoin-four-year-cycle-ended-analysis\/","og_site_name":"Coin Engineer","article_published_time":"2025-08-11T09:30:31+00:00","article_modified_time":"2025-08-11T09:18:40+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1024,"height":576,"url":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/taslak-ce-2025-07-17T143459.556-1024x576.png","type":"image\/png"}],"author":"Yeliz Akmaca","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Yeliz Akmaca","Est. reading time":"2 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/has-bitcoin-four-year-cycle-ended-analysis\/","url":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/has-bitcoin-four-year-cycle-ended-analysis\/","name":"Has the Four-Year Bitcoin Cycle Really Ended? Analysis - Coin Engineer","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/has-bitcoin-four-year-cycle-ended-analysis\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/has-bitcoin-four-year-cycle-ended-analysis\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/taslak-ce-2025-07-17T143459.556.png","datePublished":"2025-08-11T09:30:31+00:00","dateModified":"2025-08-11T09:18:40+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/5f900e6c865999388c1ea494e5953442"},"description":"Experts debate if Bitcoin historic four-year halving cycle has ended amid growing institutional investments and changing market dynamics.","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/has-bitcoin-four-year-cycle-ended-analysis\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/has-bitcoin-four-year-cycle-ended-analysis\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/has-bitcoin-four-year-cycle-ended-analysis\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/taslak-ce-2025-07-17T143459.556.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/taslak-ce-2025-07-17T143459.556.png","width":1920,"height":1080,"caption":"Global Bitcoin legality map 2025"},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/has-bitcoin-four-year-cycle-ended-analysis\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Has the Four-Year Bitcoin Cycle Really Ended? Analysis"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/#website","url":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/","name":"Coin Engineer","description":"Btc, Coins, Pre-Sale, DeFi, NFT","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":"required name=search_term_string"}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/5f900e6c865999388c1ea494e5953442","name":"Yeliz Akmaca","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/b399e2146177639d343205648bae3bdb3cd7bb9d02c7186f71149c7122151b69?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/b399e2146177639d343205648bae3bdb3cd7bb9d02c7186f71149c7122151b69?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"Yeliz Akmaca"},"url":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/author\/cmyelizz\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47774","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/36"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47774"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47774\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":47775,"href":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47774\/revisions\/47775"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/46319"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47774"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47774"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47774"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}