{"id":47890,"date":"2025-08-13T10:25:04","date_gmt":"2025-08-13T07:25:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/?p=47890"},"modified":"2025-08-13T10:25:04","modified_gmt":"2025-08-13T07:25:04","slug":"pantera-bitcoin-prediction-2025-halving-cycle","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/pantera-bitcoin-prediction-2025-halving-cycle\/","title":{"rendered":"2022 Warning Comes True in 2025: Pantera\u2019s Bitcoin Prediction!"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\"><strong>Pantera Capital<\/strong> CEO Dan Morehead hit his 2025 target with a <strong>Bitcoin<\/strong> bottom prediction he made in <strong>2022<\/strong>. With his forecast for August 11, 2025, materializing, Morehead silenced cycle skeptics. The company\u2019s <strong>halving cycle-based<\/strong> strategy clearly demonstrated the impact of Bitcoin\u2019s supply schedule on pricing.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_71 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 eztoc-toggle-hide-by-default' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/pantera-bitcoin-prediction-2025-halving-cycle\/#Halving_Cycle_and_2025_Bitcoin_Price\" title=\"Halving Cycle and 2025 Bitcoin Price\u00a0\">Halving Cycle and 2025 Bitcoin Price\u00a0<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/pantera-bitcoin-prediction-2025-halving-cycle\/#Will_Institutional_Adoption_Change_the_Cycles\" title=\"Will Institutional Adoption Change the Cycles?\u00a0\">Will Institutional Adoption Change the Cycles?\u00a0<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Halving_Cycle_and_2025_Bitcoin_Price\"><\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Halving Cycle and 2025 Bitcoin Price<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">In November 2022, Pantera Capital published an analysis mapping <strong>Bitcoin\u2019s post-halving<\/strong> rallies. The analysis showed that returns decline in each four-year period. Considering the typical time between market bottoms and post-halving rallies, the firm predicted that BTC would reach $117,482 on August 11, 2025. According to Coin Metrics data, Bitcoin closed above $119,000 on that date.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Bitbo data shows that when Pantera made its prediction, Bitcoin was trading below $16,000. Since then, BTC\u2019s price has risen more than 660%, approaching the $120,000 mark. This rally once again confirmed the predictive power of Bitcoin\u2019s four-year cycle.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-47891 \" src=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/bitcoin-4-year-1024x585.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"753\" height=\"430\" srcset=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/bitcoin-4-year-1024x585.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/bitcoin-4-year-300x171.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/bitcoin-4-year-768x439.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/bitcoin-4-year-1536x878.jpeg 1536w, https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/bitcoin-4-year-2048x1170.jpeg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 753px) 100vw, 753px\" \/><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Will_Institutional_Adoption_Change_the_Cycles\"><\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Will Institutional Adoption Change the Cycles?<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">However, some analysts argue that institutional adoption will alter this classic cycle. Since January 2024, <strong>US spot Bitcoin <a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/ethereum-on-track-for-6800-on-etf-records-and-on-chain\/\">ETFs<\/a><\/strong> have become the fastest-growing ETFs in history. According to Bitbo, <strong>ETFs<\/strong> currently hold 7.1% of the total supply, or approximately 1.491 million BTC. In addition, public and private companies hold another 1.36 million BTC.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Author and investor Jason Williams cited the rise in Bitcoin treasury-holding companies as evidence that \u201cthe four-year cycle is over.\u201d Bitcoin advocate Pierre Rochard stated that halvings no longer impact trading volume. According to Rochard, 95% of <strong>BTC\u2019s supply<\/strong> has already been mined, and market liquidity now comes mainly from <strong>OG investors<\/strong>, spot retail demand, ETPs, and corporate treasuries.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-47892 \" src=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/bitcoin-2022-1024x785.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"792\" height=\"607\" srcset=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/bitcoin-2022-1024x785.png 1024w, https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/bitcoin-2022-300x230.png 300w, https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/bitcoin-2022-768x589.png 768w, https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/bitcoin-2022.png 1084w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 792px) 100vw, 792px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Finally, <strong>Pantera Capital<\/strong> revealed in its blockchain newsletter that it has invested more than <strong>$300 million<\/strong> to date in Digital Asset Treasury (DAT) companies that hold large crypto reserves. The firm stated that DATs increase the number of tokens per share by generating yield, offering higher return potential than direct token holding or ETFs.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\"> <em>You can also freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, don\u2019t forget to follow us on our\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/coinengineernews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>Telegram,\u00a0<\/strong><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@CoinEngineer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>YouTube<\/strong><\/a>,\u00a0and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/coinengineers\"><strong>Twitter<\/strong><\/a>\u00a0channels for the latest news and updates.<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Pantera Capital CEO Dan Morehead hit his 2025 target with a Bitcoin bottom prediction he made in 2022. With his forecast for August 11, 2025, materializing, Morehead silenced cycle skeptics. The company\u2019s halving cycle-based strategy clearly demonstrated the impact of Bitcoin\u2019s supply schedule on pricing.\u00a0 Halving Cycle and 2025 Bitcoin Price\u00a0 In November 2022, Pantera<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":36,"featured_media":36671,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[657,2],"tags":[22312,17149,21846,22316,22313,22315,22314],"class_list":["post-47890","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-en","category-news","tag-bitcoin-halving-analysis","tag-btc-price-prediction-2025","tag-crypto-market-cycles","tag-market-cycle","tag-pantera-capital-forecast","tag-pantera-prediction","tag-spot-bitcoin-etfs-growth"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>2022 Warning Comes True in 2025: Pantera\u2019s Bitcoin Prediction! - Coin Engineer<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Pantera Capital\u2019s 2022 Bitcoin prediction for August 2025 came true, with BTC surpassing $119K, proving the power of the halving cycle.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/pantera-bitcoin-prediction-2025-halving-cycle\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"2022 Warning Comes True in 2025: Pantera\u2019s Bitcoin Prediction! 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