{"id":47998,"date":"2025-08-14T16:46:55","date_gmt":"2025-08-14T13:46:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/?p=47998"},"modified":"2025-08-14T16:46:55","modified_gmt":"2025-08-14T13:46:55","slug":"headwinds-in-the-market-after-ppi-data-rate-cut-expectations-decline","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/headwinds-in-the-market-after-ppi-data-rate-cut-expectations-decline\/","title":{"rendered":"Headwinds in the Market After PPI Data: Rate Cut Expectations Decline!"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-start=\"74\" data-end=\"374\">The latest <strong data-start=\"85\" data-end=\"115\">Producer Price Index (<a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/us-ppi-jobless-claims-market-impact\/\">PPI<\/a>)<\/strong> and jobless claims data from the U.S. have weakened market expectations for a rate cut. The released figures revealed that inflationary pressures remain above forecasts, reducing the likelihood of the Fed delivering an aggressive rate cut in the near term.<\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_71 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 eztoc-toggle-hide-by-default' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/headwinds-in-the-market-after-ppi-data-rate-cut-expectations-decline\/#Data_Above_Expectations\" title=\"Data Above Expectations\">Data Above Expectations<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/headwinds-in-the-market-after-ppi-data-rate-cut-expectations-decline\/#Decline_in_Rate_Cut_Probabilities\" title=\"Decline in Rate Cut Probabilities\">Decline in Rate Cut Probabilities<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/headwinds-in-the-market-after-ppi-data-rate-cut-expectations-decline\/#Sharp_Drop_in_Bitcoin\" title=\"Sharp Drop in Bitcoin\">Sharp Drop in Bitcoin<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/headwinds-in-the-market-after-ppi-data-rate-cut-expectations-decline\/#105_Billion_in_Positions_Liquidated_in_the_Last_24_Hours\" title=\"$1.05 Billion in Positions Liquidated in the Last 24 Hours!\">$1.05 Billion in Positions Liquidated in the Last 24 Hours!<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/headwinds-in-the-market-after-ppi-data-rate-cut-expectations-decline\/#US_Stocks_Open_Lower\" title=\"U.S. Stocks Open Lower!\">U.S. Stocks Open Lower!<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2 data-start=\"376\" data-end=\"405\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Data_Above_Expectations\"><\/span>Data Above Expectations<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<ul data-start=\"407\" data-end=\"586\">\n<li data-start=\"407\" data-end=\"477\">\n<p data-start=\"409\" data-end=\"477\">U.S. Initial Jobless Claims: 224K (Forecast: 225K, Previous: 226K)<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"478\" data-end=\"531\">\n<p data-start=\"480\" data-end=\"531\">Annual PPI: 3.3% (Forecast: 2.5%, Previous: 2.3%)<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"532\" data-end=\"586\">\n<p data-start=\"534\" data-end=\"586\">Monthly PPI: 0.9% (Forecast: 0.2%, Previous: 0.0%)<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-start=\"588\" data-end=\"760\">The fact that both annual and monthly <strong data-start=\"626\" data-end=\"633\">PPI<\/strong> came in significantly higher than expected has reinforced the market perception that \u201cinflation is still not under control.\u201d<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"762\" data-end=\"801\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Decline_in_Rate_Cut_Probabilities\"><\/span>Decline in Rate Cut Probabilities<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"803\" data-end=\"913\">According to Polymarket data, rate cut probabilities for the September 17, 2025 FOMC meeting are as follows:<\/p>\n<ul data-start=\"915\" data-end=\"973\">\n<li data-start=\"915\" data-end=\"934\">\n<p data-start=\"917\" data-end=\"934\">50+ bps cut: 5%<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"935\" data-end=\"954\">\n<p data-start=\"937\" data-end=\"954\">25 bps cut: 75%<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"955\" data-end=\"973\">\n<p data-start=\"957\" data-end=\"973\">No change: 19%<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-165532 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/faiz-indirimi-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"922\" height=\"367\" \/><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"975\" data-end=\"1145\">These figures show that after the <strong>PPI<\/strong> release, the likelihood of a strong 50 basis point cut has weakened considerably, creating a more cautious outlook in the markets.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"1147\" data-end=\"1174\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Sharp_Drop_in_Bitcoin\"><\/span>Sharp Drop in Bitcoin<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"1176\" data-end=\"1449\">This negative macroeconomic sentiment also spilled over into <strong data-start=\"1237\" data-end=\"1248\">Bitcoin<\/strong> prices. The leading cryptocurrency fell 3.51%, dropping below $119,000. Rising inflation data and the decreased likelihood of a more dovish Fed stance have increased selling pressure on risk assets.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1176\" data-end=\"1449\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-165531 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/bitcoin.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1281\" height=\"572\" \/><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1451\" data-end=\"1601\">Short-term market volatility is expected to continue, with investors closely monitoring both inflation indicators and statements from Fed officials.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"1603\" data-end=\"1668\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"105_Billion_in_Positions_Liquidated_in_the_Last_24_Hours\"><\/span>$1.05 Billion in Positions Liquidated in the Last 24 Hours!<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"1670\" data-end=\"1994\">In the past 24 hours, heightened volatility in the crypto market has led to more than $1.05 billion in liquidations. Of this, $781.97 million came from <strong data-start=\"1822\" data-end=\"1830\">long<\/strong> positions and $270.19 million from <strong data-start=\"1866\" data-end=\"1875\">short<\/strong> positions. This highlights the severe losses for leveraged traders and the sharp moves occurring in both directions.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1670\" data-end=\"1994\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-165535 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/likidasyon.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"554\" height=\"353\" \/><\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"1996\" data-end=\"2025\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"US_Stocks_Open_Lower\"><\/span>U.S. Stocks Open Lower!<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"2027\" data-end=\"2310\">U.S. equities started the day slightly in the red. At the open, the <strong data-start=\"2095\" data-end=\"2108\">Dow Jones<\/strong> index was down 0.07%, the <strong data-start=\"2135\" data-end=\"2146\">S&amp;P 500<\/strong> fell 0.30%, and the tech-heavy <strong data-start=\"2178\" data-end=\"2188\">Nasdaq<\/strong> slipped 0.31%. This weak opening reflects investors\u2019 cautious stance regarding economic data and rate cut expectations.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2312\" data-end=\"2514\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\">This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Markets carry high risks, and you should always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2312\" data-end=\"2514\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\"><em>Also, you can freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, please follow us on our\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/coinengineernews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>Telegram<\/strong>,\u00a0<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@CoinEngineer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>YouTube\u00a0<\/strong><\/a>and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/coinengineers\"><strong>Twitter<\/strong><\/a>\u00a0channels for the latest news and updates.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The latest Producer Price Index (PPI) and jobless claims data from the U.S. have weakened market expectations for a rate cut. The released figures revealed that inflationary pressures remain above forecasts, reducing the likelihood of the Fed delivering an aggressive rate cut in the near term. Data Above Expectations U.S. Initial Jobless Claims: 224K (Forecast:<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":29,"featured_media":48000,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10,2],"tags":[61,552,22373,60,1885,640,12862,2068,9730,2359,577,5339,8132,2487,2360,13943,7827],"class_list":["post-47998","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economy-news","category-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-price","tag-bps-cut","tag-btc","tag-dow-jones","tag-fed","tag-jobless-claims","tag-leverage","tag-liquidations","tag-long","tag-nasdaq","tag-ppi","tag-rate-cut","tag-sp-500","tag-short","tag-u-s-stocks","tag-us-data"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Headwinds in the Market After PPI Data: Rate Cut Expectations Decline! - Coin Engineer<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The latest Producer Price Index (PPI) and jobless claims data from the U.S. have weakened market expectations for a rate cut.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/headwinds-in-the-market-after-ppi-data-rate-cut-expectations-decline\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Headwinds in the Market After PPI Data: Rate Cut Expectations Decline! 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