{"id":48601,"date":"2025-08-21T15:00:41","date_gmt":"2025-08-21T12:00:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/?p=48601"},"modified":"2025-08-21T13:06:24","modified_gmt":"2025-08-21T10:06:24","slug":"glassnode-bitcoin-4-year-cycle-might-still-be-intact","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/glassnode-bitcoin-4-year-cycle-might-still-be-intact\/","title":{"rendered":"Glassnode: Bitcoin 4-Year Cycle Might Still Be Intact"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-start=\"211\" data-end=\"441\"><strong>Onchain<\/strong> analytics firm <strong data-start=\"234\" data-end=\"247\">Glassnode<\/strong> suggests that recent <a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/redemptions-alarm-in-spot-etfs-bitcoin-and-ethereum-shaken-on-august-20\/\"><strong data-start=\"269\" data-end=\"280\">Bitcoin<\/strong> <\/a>price movements still mirror past patterns and may be following the traditional 4-year halving cycle, despite claims that institutional demand could break it.<\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_71 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 eztoc-toggle-hide-by-default' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/glassnode-bitcoin-4-year-cycle-might-still-be-intact\/#Is_the_Bitcoin_Cycle_Still_Alive\" title=\"Is the Bitcoin Cycle Still Alive?\">Is the Bitcoin Cycle Still Alive?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/glassnode-bitcoin-4-year-cycle-might-still-be-intact\/#Weakening_Demand_and_ETF_Outflows\" title=\"Weakening Demand and ETF Outflows\">Weakening Demand and ETF Outflows<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/glassnode-bitcoin-4-year-cycle-might-still-be-intact\/#Could_the_Next_Peak_Come_in_October\" title=\"Could the Next Peak Come in October?\">Could the Next Peak Come in October?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/glassnode-bitcoin-4-year-cycle-might-still-be-intact\/#Contrasting_Views_Is_the_Cycle_Over\" title=\"Contrasting Views: Is the Cycle Over?\">Contrasting Views: Is the Cycle Over?<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2 data-start=\"448\" data-end=\"486\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Is_the_Bitcoin_Cycle_Still_Alive\"><\/span>Is the Bitcoin Cycle Still Alive?<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"488\" data-end=\"741\">While many analysts argue that growing institutional participation could end the classic <strong>halving cycle<\/strong>, Glassnode takes a different stance. According to the firm, Bitcoin\u2019s current trajectory continues to show strong similarities to historical cycles.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"743\" data-end=\"920\">Glassnode highlights that the latest 55-day period resembles earlier \u201ceuphoric phases,\u201d which may indicate that the market is already in the later stages of its current cycle.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"927\" data-end=\"965\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Weakening_Demand_and_ETF_Outflows\"><\/span>Weakening Demand and ETF Outflows<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"967\" data-end=\"1131\">The report also points to signs of fading demand. Spot <strong data-start=\"1022\" data-end=\"1037\">Bitcoin ETF<\/strong> products have recorded nearly $975 million in outflows over the past four trading sessions.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1133\" data-end=\"1406\">After hitting a fresh high of $124,128 on August 14, Bitcoin corrected by 8.3%, trading around $113,940. As demand cools, traders appear to be shifting toward riskier <strong data-start=\"1300\" data-end=\"1311\">altcoin<\/strong> positions. Open interest briefly hit a record $60 billion before correcting by $2.5 billion.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"1413\" data-end=\"1454\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Could_the_Next_Peak_Come_in_October\"><\/span>Could the Next Peak Come in October?<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"1456\" data-end=\"1685\">If Bitcoin continues to follow its historical path, Glassnode believes a new market peak could arrive as early as October. In previous cycles, particularly in 2018 and 2022, cycle tops occurred just 2\u20133 months after cycle lows.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1687\" data-end=\"1883\">Crypto analyst <strong data-start=\"1702\" data-end=\"1718\">Rekt Capital<\/strong> also noted in July that if the current cycle follows the 2020 pattern, the market could reach its peak in October \u2014 roughly 550 days after the April 2024 halving.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"1890\" data-end=\"1932\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Contrasting_Views_Is_the_Cycle_Over\"><\/span>Contrasting Views: Is the Cycle Over?<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"1934\" data-end=\"2121\">Not everyone agrees with Glassnode\u2019s perspective. Some argue that large-scale <strong data-start=\"2012\" data-end=\"2019\">BTC<\/strong> accumulation by public companies and strong ETF demand could disrupt the traditional 4-year rhythm.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2123\" data-end=\"2418\">Investor Jason Williams pointed out that the top 100 corporate treasuries now hold nearly 1 million Bitcoin, suggesting this cycle may unfold differently. Similarly, <strong>Bitwise<\/strong> CIO <strong>Matt Hougan<\/strong> declared that the \u201cBitcoin cycle is dead,\u201d predicting the next major rally might not arrive until 2026.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2123\" data-end=\"2418\"><cite>You can present your thoughts as comments about the topic. Moreover, you can follow us on<\/cite><strong><cite><a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/coinengineernews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Telegram<\/a>,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/coinengineers\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Twitter<\/a>, and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@CoinEngineer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">YouTube <\/a><\/cite><\/strong><cite>channels for the kind of news<\/cite><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Onchain analytics firm Glassnode suggests that recent Bitcoin price movements still mirror past patterns and may be following the traditional 4-year halving cycle, despite claims that institutional demand could break it. Is the Bitcoin Cycle Still Alive? While many analysts argue that growing institutional participation could end the classic halving cycle, Glassnode takes a different<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":29,"featured_media":37909,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,2],"tags":[61,1149,60,2319,22626,7456,2779,7101,1662],"class_list":["post-48601","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-crypto-news","category-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitwise","tag-btc","tag-glassnode","tag-halving-cycle","tag-matt-hougan","tag-onchain","tag-rekt-capital","tag-spot-bitcoin-etf"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Glassnode: Bitcoin 4-Year Cycle Might Still Be Intact - Coin Engineer<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Glassnode suggests that recent Bitcoin price movements still mirror past patterns and may be following the traditional 4-year halving cycle.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/glassnode-bitcoin-4-year-cycle-might-still-be-intact\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Glassnode: Bitcoin 4-Year Cycle Might Still Be Intact - 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