{"id":48701,"date":"2025-08-22T15:00:45","date_gmt":"2025-08-22T12:00:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/?p=48701"},"modified":"2025-08-22T14:15:22","modified_gmt":"2025-08-22T11:15:22","slug":"crypto-markets-feds-pce-data-rate-expectations","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/crypto-markets-feds-pce-data-rate-expectations\/","title":{"rendered":"Crypto and Markets Eye PCE Data: What Are Rate Expectations?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\"><strong>Crypto market<\/strong> volatility shows investors\u2019 confidence in a September <strong>Fed rate cut<\/strong> is weakening. Recent <a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/fed-minutes-released-inflation-concerns-persist-bitcoin-reacts-first\/\"><strong>FOMC minutes<\/strong><\/a> revealed most members view inflation risks as heavier than the labor market weakness. <strong>U.S. PPI<\/strong> rose 0.9% in July, pushing core PPI to 3.7%. Meanwhile, institutions and investors lost confidence in a Fed rate cut this September.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Prediction markets like Kalshi indicate declining bets on a 25-basis-point rate cut while wagers on unchanged rates are increasing. Currently, 68% of investors expect a 25-basis-point cut in September, though this share is decreasing. Conversely, 34% predict no change in Fed rates. This trend adds uncertainty to the markets.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\"><strong>CME FedWatch<\/strong> shows a 79% chance for a <strong>25-basis-point<\/strong> cut in September. Down from 99%, investors now expect two rate cuts this year instead of three. This shift encourages more cautious market behavior and delays investment decisions.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\"> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-48702 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/fed-faiz-kalshi.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"895\" height=\"459\" srcset=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/fed-faiz-kalshi.png 895w, https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/fed-faiz-kalshi-300x154.png 300w, https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/fed-faiz-kalshi-768x394.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 895px) 100vw, 895px\" \/><\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Investors Await PCE Data While Bitcoin Holds Support<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Crypto investors closely monitor the <a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/fed-chair-powells-remarks-could-shape-markets-today\/\"><strong>Fed\u2019s<\/strong><\/a> preferred inflation gauge, <strong>PCE data<\/strong>. In June, U.S. PCE inflation rose 2.6% year-over-year, exceeding May\u2019s upwardly revised 2.4% estimate. These figures will be crucial for the Fed\u2019s September decisions, with results scheduled for August 29.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Bitcoin finds support near $112,000, and analysts suggest buying on dips. Michael van de Poppe notes that BTC follows classical price movements. He recommends accumulating if prices fall below $110,000. Rekt Capital recalls Bitcoin fell 29% in 2017 and 25% in 2021. Over the last 24 hours, BTC dropped 0.31% to $112,892. Trading volume fell 10%, signaling reduced investor interest.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">This uncertainty and volatility affect global markets and encourage cautious investor behavior. All eyes remain on the August 29 PCE release. Fed Chair Powell\u2019s Jackson Hole speech and rising U.S. 10-year Treasury yields, alongside the <strong>DXY dollar index<\/strong> hitting 98.34, continue to influence market dynamics.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\"> You can also freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, don\u2019t forget to follow us on our\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/coinengineernews\"><strong>Telegram,\u00a0<\/strong><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@CoinEngineer\"><strong>YouTube<\/strong><\/a>,\u00a0and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/coinengineers\"><strong>Twitter<\/strong><\/a>\u00a0channels for the latest news and updates.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Crypto market volatility shows investors\u2019 confidence in a September Fed rate cut is weakening. Recent FOMC minutes revealed most members view inflation risks as heavier than the labor market weakness. U.S. PPI rose 0.9% in July, pushing core PPI to 3.7%. Meanwhile, institutions and investors lost confidence in a Fed rate cut this September.\u00a0 Prediction<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":36,"featured_media":42302,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,2],"tags":[16428,840,640,12993,2345,9417,13533,22677,12601,1333],"class_list":["post-48701","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-crypto-news","category-news","tag-bitcoin-support","tag-crypto-market","tag-fed","tag-fomc-meeting","tag-interest-rates","tag-investor-sentiment","tag-pce-inflation","tag-rate-forecast","tag-us-markets","tag-volatility"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Crypto and Markets Eye PCE Data: What Are Rate Expectations? - Coin Engineer<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Investors track Fed\u2019s PCE data as uncertainty rises. 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