{"id":50660,"date":"2025-09-10T11:30:42","date_gmt":"2025-09-10T08:30:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/?p=50660"},"modified":"2025-09-10T11:08:52","modified_gmt":"2025-09-10T08:08:52","slug":"critical-expectations-from-fitch-and-jpmorgan-ahead-of-the-feds-rate-meeting","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/critical-expectations-from-fitch-and-jpmorgan-ahead-of-the-feds-rate-meeting\/","title":{"rendered":"Critical Expectations from Fitch and JPMorgan Ahead of the Fed\u2019s Rate Meeting!"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>As the U.S. <strong>Federal Reserve<\/strong> (<strong>Fed<\/strong>) prepares for its September rate meeting, <strong>Fitch Ratings<\/strong> and <strong>JPMorgan<\/strong> have released their latest forecasts, signaling that the likelihood of a rate cut is increasing.<\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_71 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 eztoc-toggle-hide-by-default' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/critical-expectations-from-fitch-and-jpmorgan-ahead-of-the-feds-rate-meeting\/#JPMorgan_25_bps_Cut_Expected_in_September\" title=\"JPMorgan: 25 bps Cut Expected in September\">JPMorgan: 25 bps Cut Expected in September<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/critical-expectations-from-fitch-and-jpmorgan-ahead-of-the-feds-rate-meeting\/#Fitch_Faster_Cuts_Could_Be_on_the_Horizon\" title=\"Fitch: Faster Cuts Could Be on the Horizon\">Fitch: Faster Cuts Could Be on the Horizon<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/critical-expectations-from-fitch-and-jpmorgan-ahead-of-the-feds-rate-meeting\/#Bottom_Line\" title=\"Bottom Line\">Bottom Line<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2 data-start=\"390\" data-end=\"438\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"JPMorgan_25_bps_Cut_Expected_in_September\"><\/span>JPMorgan: 25 bps Cut Expected in September<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"439\" data-end=\"629\">JPMorgan projects that the Fed will cut rates by 25 basis points at the September meeting. The bank expects August CPI to come in at 2.9% year-over-year, with core CPI at 3.1%.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"631\" data-end=\"762\">However, JPMorgan warned that stronger-than-expected inflation data could push the first rate cut to October or December instead.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"764\" data-end=\"825\">The bank outlined the following potential market scenarios:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li data-start=\"829\" data-end=\"887\">Core CPI above 0.40% \u2192 S&amp;P 500 could fall 5\u20132%<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"890\" data-end=\"956\">Core CPI between 0.35\u20130.40% \u2192 S&amp;P 500 may decline 5\u20131%<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"959\" data-end=\"1020\">Core CPI below 0.25% \u2192 S&amp;P 500 may rally 25\u20131.75%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-start=\"1022\" data-end=\"1096\">JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon highlighted ongoing economic weakness, stating:<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1100\" data-end=\"1195\">\u201cI think the Fed will cut rates, but the decision may not be purely driven by economic data.\u201d<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"1197\" data-end=\"1245\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Fitch_Faster_Cuts_Could_Be_on_the_Horizon\"><\/span>Fitch: Faster Cuts Could Be on the Horizon<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"1246\" data-end=\"1449\">Credit rating agency Fitch Ratings also pointed to growing signs of a slowdown in the U.S. economy. The agency emphasized that a weakening labor market could force the Fed to act more aggressively.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1451\" data-end=\"1482\">Fitch\u2019s expectations include:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li data-start=\"1486\" data-end=\"1534\">25 bps cuts in September and December 2025<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"1537\" data-end=\"1572\">Three additional cuts in 2026<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-start=\"1574\" data-end=\"1723\">Fitch also noted that the European Central Bank (ECB) is unlikely to pursue further cuts, which may limit the U.S. dollar\u2019s recovery potential.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"1725\" data-end=\"1742\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Bottom_Line\"><\/span>Bottom Line<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"1743\" data-end=\"1952\">Both JPMorgan and Fitch agree that the Fed is heading toward rate cuts. However, the timing will largely depend on inflation trends, labor market data, and global economic conditions in the months ahead.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0You can also freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, don\u2019t forget to follow us on our\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/coinengineernews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Telegram,\u00a0<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@CoinEngineer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">YouTube<\/a>,\u00a0and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/coinengineers\">Twitter<\/a>\u00a0channels for the latest news and updates.<\/p>\n<div class=\"blog-share text-center\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"blog-share text-center\"><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) prepares for its September rate meeting, Fitch Ratings and JPMorgan have released their latest forecasts, signaling that the likelihood of a rate cut is increasing. JPMorgan: 25 bps Cut Expected in September JPMorgan projects that the Fed will cut rates by 25 basis points at the September meeting. The<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":37,"featured_media":31793,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[657,2],"tags":[192,393,5384,840,847,58,5760],"class_list":["post-50660","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-en","category-news","tag-blockchain","tag-crypto","tag-crypto-investment","tag-crypto-market","tag-crypto-news","tag-cryptocurrency","tag-digital-assets"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Critical Expectations from Fitch and JPMorgan Ahead of the Fed\u2019s<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"As the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) prepares for its September rate meeting, Fitch Ratings and JPMorgan have released their latest forecasts,\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, 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