{"id":51666,"date":"2025-09-19T16:00:45","date_gmt":"2025-09-19T13:00:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/?p=51666"},"modified":"2025-09-19T14:55:04","modified_gmt":"2025-09-19T11:55:04","slug":"how-could-bitcoin-fall-in-the-next-bear-market-analysts-weigh-in","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/how-could-bitcoin-fall-in-the-next-bear-market-analysts-weigh-in\/","title":{"rendered":"How Could Bitcoin Fall in the Next Bear Market? Analysts Weigh In"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-start=\"265\" data-end=\"590\">The <strong>cryptocurrency<\/strong> market has remained highly volatile throughout the second half of 2025, sparking debates among analysts about where <a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/bitcoin-options-expiry-105500-risk-glassnode\/\"><strong>Bitcoin<\/strong> <\/a>could be headed next. <strong>Benjamin Cowen,<\/strong> founder of Into The Cryptoverse, believes historical patterns suggest that Bitcoin could face a drawdown of up to 70% in the next bear market.<\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_71 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 eztoc-toggle-hide-by-default' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/how-could-bitcoin-fall-in-the-next-bear-market-analysts-weigh-in\/#Lessons_From_Previous_Market_Cycles\" title=\"Lessons From Previous Market Cycles\">Lessons From Previous Market Cycles<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/how-could-bitcoin-fall-in-the-next-bear-market-analysts-weigh-in\/#From_250K_to_75K\" title=\"From $250K to $75K?\">From $250K to $75K?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/how-could-bitcoin-fall-in-the-next-bear-market-analysts-weigh-in\/#Spotting_the_Market_Top_Wont_Be_Easy\" title=\"Spotting the Market Top Won\u2019t Be Easy\">Spotting the Market Top Won\u2019t Be Easy<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/how-could-bitcoin-fall-in-the-next-bear-market-analysts-weigh-in\/#Ethereums_Brighter_Outlook_Toward_Cycle_End\" title=\"Ethereum\u2019s Brighter Outlook Toward Cycle End\">Ethereum\u2019s Brighter Outlook Toward Cycle End<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/how-could-bitcoin-fall-in-the-next-bear-market-analysts-weigh-in\/#What_Other_Experts_Are_Saying\" title=\"What Other Experts Are Saying\">What Other Experts Are Saying<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2 data-start=\"592\" data-end=\"632\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Lessons_From_Previous_Market_Cycles\"><\/span>Lessons From Previous Market Cycles<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"633\" data-end=\"737\">Looking back at Bitcoin\u2019s past, Cowen highlighted how severe the declines have been in earlier cycles:<\/p>\n<ul data-start=\"739\" data-end=\"867\">\n<li data-start=\"739\" data-end=\"786\">\n<p data-start=\"741\" data-end=\"786\">Around 94% during the first major cycle<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"787\" data-end=\"826\">\n<p data-start=\"789\" data-end=\"826\">Roughly 87% in the second cycle<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"827\" data-end=\"867\">\n<p data-start=\"829\" data-end=\"867\">About 77% in the most recent one<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-start=\"869\" data-end=\"1016\">While this doesn\u2019t guarantee that the next pullback will reach 70%, Cowen emphasizes that history is a reminder for investors to remain cautious.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"1018\" data-end=\"1042\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"From_250K_to_75K\"><\/span>From $250K to $75K?<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"1043\" data-end=\"1301\">Some Bitcoin proponents, including BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes, predict that BTC could climb to $250,000 by the end of the year. However, if Cowen\u2019s projection plays out, such a peak could be followed by a steep decline toward the $75,000 range.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1303\" data-end=\"1487\">Cowen explained that if Bitcoin surges strongly in Q4, he would likely lock in profits and move into stablecoins\u2014potentially waiting until mid-2026 before re-entering the market.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"1489\" data-end=\"1531\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Spotting_the_Market_Top_Wont_Be_Easy\"><\/span>Spotting the Market Top Won\u2019t Be Easy<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"1532\" data-end=\"1639\">Cowen warned that a final rally could still be ahead, but pinpointing the exact top is nearly impossible:<\/p>\n<blockquote data-start=\"1641\" data-end=\"1725\">\n<p data-start=\"1643\" data-end=\"1725\">\u201cEveryone will be euphoric at the peak, and no one will say, \u2018this is the top.\u2019\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p data-start=\"1727\" data-end=\"1836\">This sentiment highlights how quickly momentum can shift, often catching overconfident investors off guard.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"1838\" data-end=\"1887\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Ethereums_Brighter_Outlook_Toward_Cycle_End\"><\/span>Ethereum\u2019s Brighter Outlook Toward Cycle End<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"1888\" data-end=\"2025\">While warning of a possible deep correction for Bitcoin, Cowen sees a more favorable setup for Ethereum (ETH) as the cycle matures.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2027\" data-end=\"2262\">He noted that ETH might underperform BTC in the short term but is likely to outshine Bitcoin toward the end of the cycle. The ETH\/BTC ratio has already gained more than 8.5% over the past 30 days, reflecting growing strength.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"2264\" data-end=\"2298\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_Other_Experts_Are_Saying\"><\/span>What Other Experts Are Saying<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"2299\" data-end=\"2422\">Not all market watchers share Cowen\u2019s cautious outlook. A range of industry leaders have put forward their own forecasts:<\/p>\n<ul data-start=\"2424\" data-end=\"2778\">\n<li data-start=\"2424\" data-end=\"2505\">\n<p data-start=\"2426\" data-end=\"2505\">Matt Hougan (Bitwise CIO): Expects 2026 to be an up year for Bitcoin.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"2506\" data-end=\"2651\">\n<p data-start=\"2508\" data-end=\"2651\">Steven McClurg (Canary Capital CEO): Believes BTC could rise to the $140K\u2013$150K range this year before a bear market arrives in 2026.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"2652\" data-end=\"2778\">\n<p data-start=\"2654\" data-end=\"2778\">Michael Saylor (MicroStrategy Executive Chairman): Declared earlier this year that \u201ccrypto winter is not coming back.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-start=\"2797\" data-end=\"3094\"><em>You can also freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, don\u2019t forget to follow us on our\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/coinengineernews\">Telegram<\/a>,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@CoinEngineer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">YouTube<\/a>,\u00a0and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/coinengineers\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Twitter<\/a>\u00a0channels for the latest\u00a0<a title=\"News\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/news\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"7\">news<\/a>\u00a0and updates.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The cryptocurrency market has remained highly volatile throughout the second half of 2025, sparking debates among analysts about where Bitcoin could be headed next. Benjamin Cowen, founder of Into The Cryptoverse, believes historical patterns suggest that Bitcoin could face a drawdown of up to 70% in the next bear market. Lessons From Previous Market Cycles<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":29,"featured_media":48905,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,2],"tags":[2545,15232,7523,61,2624,9071,1589,58,24014,1770],"class_list":["post-51666","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-crypto-news","category-news","tag-arthur-hayes","tag-bear","tag-benjamin-cowen","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitmex","tag-btc-analysis","tag-bull","tag-cryptocurrency","tag-cryptoverse","tag-ethereum-eth"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>How Could Bitcoin Fall in the Next Bear Market? Analysts Weigh In - Coin Engineer<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"As the cryptocurrency continues to experience strong volatility, analysts are sharing different scenarios for the future of Bitcoin (BTC).\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/how-could-bitcoin-fall-in-the-next-bear-market-analysts-weigh-in\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"How Could Bitcoin Fall in the Next Bear Market? 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