{"id":51931,"date":"2025-09-22T13:00:49","date_gmt":"2025-09-22T10:00:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/?p=51931"},"modified":"2025-09-22T12:53:44","modified_gmt":"2025-09-22T09:53:44","slug":"uptober-hopes-fading-crypto-markets-turn-red-ahead-of-october","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/uptober-hopes-fading-crypto-markets-turn-red-ahead-of-october\/","title":{"rendered":"\u201cUptober\u201d Hopes Fading? Crypto Markets Turn Red Ahead of October"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-start=\"272\" data-end=\"561\">As October approaches, one of the biggest questions for crypto investors is whether the long-anticipated \u201c<strong><a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/bitcoin-set-for-a-good-monthly-close-as-uptober-ends\/\">Uptober<\/a><\/strong>\u201d <strong>rally <\/strong>will materialize this year. Historically, October has been one of <strong>Bitcoin\u2019s<\/strong> strongest months \u2014 but this week\u2019s sharp market pullback has cast doubt on that narrative.<\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_71 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 eztoc-toggle-hide-by-default' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/uptober-hopes-fading-crypto-markets-turn-red-ahead-of-october\/#October_A_Historically_Bullish_Month\" title=\"October: A Historically Bullish Month\">October: A Historically Bullish Month<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/uptober-hopes-fading-crypto-markets-turn-red-ahead-of-october\/#Rate_Cut_Speculation_and_Liquidity_Outlook\" title=\"Rate Cut Speculation and Liquidity Outlook\">Rate Cut Speculation and Liquidity Outlook<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/uptober-hopes-fading-crypto-markets-turn-red-ahead-of-october\/#Not_Everyone_Is_Convinced\" title=\"Not Everyone Is Convinced\">Not Everyone Is Convinced<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/uptober-hopes-fading-crypto-markets-turn-red-ahead-of-october\/#Current_Market_Snapshot\" title=\"Current Market Snapshot\">Current Market Snapshot<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2 data-start=\"563\" data-end=\"605\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"October_A_Historically_Bullish_Month\"><\/span>October: A Historically Bullish Month<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"607\" data-end=\"871\">According to CoinGlass data, Bitcoin has posted gains in 10 out of the past 12 Octobers since 2013. This track record earned the month its nickname, \u201cUptober.\u201d The last time Bitcoin recorded a loss in October was back in 2018, when the asset dropped by 3.8%.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"873\" data-end=\"941\">In bull market years, October rallies have been especially strong:<\/p>\n<ul data-start=\"942\" data-end=\"989\">\n<li data-start=\"942\" data-end=\"965\">\n<p data-start=\"944\" data-end=\"965\">2017: +48% gain<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"966\" data-end=\"989\">\n<p data-start=\"968\" data-end=\"989\">2021: +40% gain<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-start=\"991\" data-end=\"1112\">If a similar performance occurs this year, Bitcoin could potentially surge toward $165,000 from its current levels.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"1114\" data-end=\"1161\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Rate_Cut_Speculation_and_Liquidity_Outlook\"><\/span>Rate Cut Speculation and Liquidity Outlook<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"1163\" data-end=\"1465\">Investor Kyle Chass\u00e9 pointed out that expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut next month have climbed to 92%, based on CME futures. He argued that easing monetary policy is already priced in and that additional liquidity could serve as critical fuel for Bitcoin and the broader crypto sector.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1467\" data-end=\"1716\">Meanwhile, analyst <em data-start=\"1486\" data-end=\"1497\">Sykodelic<\/em> suggested that markets may first dip lower before a strong October rebound. They highlighted $112,500 as a key level, suggesting that once reached, the path to new highs and the next euphoric phase could open up.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1718\" data-end=\"1944\">BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes echoed this liquidity narrative, noting that once the U.S. Treasury General Account (TGA) \u2014 which recently surpassed $850 billion \u2014 finishes replenishment, the \u201cup only\u201d phase could resume.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"1946\" data-end=\"1976\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Not_Everyone_Is_Convinced\"><\/span>Not Everyone Is Convinced<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"1978\" data-end=\"2333\">Despite the optimism surrounding \u201cUptober,\u201d some analysts remain cautious. Augustine Fan, Head of Insights at SignalPlus, warned that low implied volatility, weak inflow momentum, and profit-taking behavior could limit the scale of any potential rally. He emphasized that long-term investors may need to wait longer before seeing new all-time highs.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2335\" data-end=\"2620\">Similarly, BTSE COO Jeff Mei expressed skepticism, pointing to macroeconomic uncertainty and September\u2019s relatively stable markets as reasons why this year\u2019s Uptober rally may not play out as expected. However, he added that a more aggressive Fed stimulus plan could shift sentiment.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"2622\" data-end=\"2650\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Current_Market_Snapshot\"><\/span>Current Market Snapshot<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"2652\" data-end=\"2825\">Crypto markets started the week with heavy losses. The total market capitalization shrank by $80 billion within hours, as Bitcoin slid to a 12-day low of $114,270.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2827\" data-end=\"2945\">Ethereum also felt the pressure, losing over 4% and falling below $4,300, marking its lowest point in two weeks.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2827\" data-end=\"2945\"><em>Also, in the comment section, you can freely share your comments and opinions about the topic. Additionally, don\u2019t forget to follow us on\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/coinengineernews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>Telegram<\/strong><\/a>,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@CoinEngineer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>YouTube<\/strong><\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/coinengineers\"><strong>Twitter<\/strong><\/a>\u00a0for the latest news and updates.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As October approaches, one of the biggest questions for crypto investors is whether the long-anticipated \u201cUptober\u201d rally will materialize this year. Historically, October has been one of Bitcoin\u2019s strongest months \u2014 but this week\u2019s sharp market pullback has cast doubt on that narrative. October: A Historically Bullish Month According to CoinGlass data, Bitcoin has posted<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":29,"featured_media":34840,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,2],"tags":[61,393,105,8927,7135,5863,8880],"class_list":["post-51931","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-crypto-news","category-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-crypto","tag-ethereum","tag-october","tag-rally","tag-rise","tag-uptober"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>\u201cUptober\u201d Hopes Fading? 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