{"id":52432,"date":"2025-09-26T14:00:34","date_gmt":"2025-09-26T11:00:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/?p=52432"},"modified":"2025-09-26T12:55:48","modified_gmt":"2025-09-26T09:55:48","slug":"bitcoin-hits-4-week-low-what-does-the-data-show","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/bitcoin-hits-4-week-low-what-does-the-data-show\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Hits 4-Week Low! What Does the Data Show?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-start=\"273\" data-end=\"504\"><a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/bitcoin-ethereum-options-expiry-21-billion\/\"><strong>Bitcoin<\/strong> <\/a>has entered a cooling phase, falling to its lowest level in four weeks as long-term holders take profits and <strong>ETF<\/strong> inflows slow down. On-chain data highlights increasing signals of potential cycle fatigue across the market.<\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_71 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 eztoc-toggle-hide-by-default' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/bitcoin-hits-4-week-low-what-does-the-data-show\/#Long-Term_Holders_Lock_in_Massive_Profits\" title=\"Long-Term Holders Lock in Massive Profits\">Long-Term Holders Lock in Massive Profits<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/bitcoin-hits-4-week-low-what-does-the-data-show\/#Breaking_Below_112K_Testing_Key_Support_Levels\" title=\"Breaking Below $112K: Testing Key Support Levels\">Breaking Below $112K: Testing Key Support Levels<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/bitcoin-hits-4-week-low-what-does-the-data-show\/#Are_We_Entering_a_Cooling_Phase\" title=\"Are We Entering a Cooling Phase?\">Are We Entering a Cooling Phase?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/bitcoin-hits-4-week-low-what-does-the-data-show\/#Stress_Signals_Loss-Making_Sales_on_the_Rise\" title=\"Stress Signals: Loss-Making Sales on the Rise\">Stress Signals: Loss-Making Sales on the Rise<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/bitcoin-hits-4-week-low-what-does-the-data-show\/#Whats_Next_for_Bitcoin\" title=\"What\u2019s Next for Bitcoin?\">What\u2019s Next for Bitcoin?<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2 data-start=\"511\" data-end=\"557\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Long-Term_Holders_Lock_in_Massive_Profits\"><\/span>Long-Term Holders Lock in Massive Profits<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"559\" data-end=\"820\">Recent on-chain metrics reveal that long-term investors have realized profits on 3.4 million BTC in recent weeks. This magnitude of profit-taking has historically aligned with previous cycle tops, raising concerns that the market could be losing momentum.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"822\" data-end=\"984\">At the same time, spot Bitcoin ETF inflows have decelerated, showing weaker-than-expected demand following the U.S. Federal Reserve\u2019s recent interest rate cuts.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"991\" data-end=\"1044\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Breaking_Below_112K_Testing_Key_Support_Levels\"><\/span>Breaking Below $112K: Testing Key Support Levels<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"1046\" data-end=\"1189\">Bitcoin dipped below the critical $112,000 mark, sliding as low as $108,700 according to Coinbase data \u2014 its lowest level in a month.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1191\" data-end=\"1404\">The $107,500 level, last tested in early September, is once again coming into focus. Analysts warn that renewed selling pressure around this area could trigger stop-loss cascades, accelerating downside momentum.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"1411\" data-end=\"1448\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Are_We_Entering_a_Cooling_Phase\"><\/span>Are We Entering a Cooling Phase?<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"1450\" data-end=\"1740\">Profit-to-loss ratios show that more than 90% of moved coins were in profit at three different points in this cycle. Historically, such extremes have marked major market peaks. Analysts suggest that a cooling phase may now be unfolding as the market digests these profit-taking waves.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"1747\" data-end=\"1797\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Stress_Signals_Loss-Making_Sales_on_the_Rise\"><\/span>Stress Signals: Loss-Making Sales on the Rise<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"1799\" data-end=\"1991\">Some investors have started selling their Bitcoin at a loss. The Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) has been hovering close to 1 \u2014 a critical level that often signals stress in the market.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1993\" data-end=\"2196\">Historically, SOPR dips below 1 during bull runs have indicated seller exhaustion and preceded rebounds. In contrast, rejections at or above 1 in bear markets often pointed to renewed selling pressure.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2198\" data-end=\"2410\">Additionally, the Short-Term Holder Net Unrealized Profit\/Loss (NUPL) indicator is approaching zero, suggesting newer investors may be cutting losses quickly \u2014 a dynamic that could fuel forced liquidations.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"2417\" data-end=\"2446\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Whats_Next_for_Bitcoin\"><\/span>What\u2019s Next for Bitcoin?<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"2448\" data-end=\"2590\">Unless institutional demand and retail participation converge again, analysts caution that the risk of a deeper correction remains elevated.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2592\" data-end=\"2882\">Still, some market voices remain optimistic. With macroeconomic pressures expected to ease later this year, a Q4 recovery is seen as a possibility. In the short term, however, reclaiming $115,000 will be crucial for restoring market confidence and re-establishing upward momentum.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2592\" data-end=\"2882\"><em>You can also freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, don\u2019t forget to follow us on our\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/coinengineernews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Telegram,\u00a0<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@CoinEngineer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">YouTube<\/a>,\u00a0and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/coinengineers\">Twitter<\/a>\u00a0channels for the latest news and updates.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin has entered a cooling phase, falling to its lowest level in four weeks as long-term holders take profits and ETF inflows slow down. On-chain data highlights increasing signals of potential cycle fatigue across the market. Long-Term Holders Lock in Massive Profits Recent on-chain metrics reveal that long-term investors have realized profits on 3.4 million<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":29,"featured_media":38509,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,2],"tags":[61,477,60,297,640,3774,1615],"class_list":["post-52432","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-crypto-news","category-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-analysis","tag-btc","tag-etf","tag-fed","tag-on-chain","tag-technical-analysis"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin Hits 4-Week Low! 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