{"id":53094,"date":"2025-10-02T16:45:44","date_gmt":"2025-10-02T13:45:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/?p=53094"},"modified":"2025-10-02T16:45:44","modified_gmt":"2025-10-02T13:45:44","slug":"bitcoin-october-rally-fed-expectations","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/bitcoin-october-rally-fed-expectations\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Prepares for October Rally Amid Fed Rate Expectations"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\"><strong>Bitcoin<\/strong> continues to gain attention after rising for the third consecutive month in September. Investors are now watching to see if the cryptocurrency can deliver positive returns for the seventh consecutive October. According to Matt Mena, crypto research strategist at 21Shares, expectations of a <strong>Fed rate cut<\/strong> could increase risk appetite and provide a favorable environment for Bitcoin.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_71 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 eztoc-toggle-hide-by-default' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/bitcoin-october-rally-fed-expectations\/#Fed_Rate_Policy_and_Bitcoin\" title=\"Fed Rate Policy and Bitcoin\u00a0\">Fed Rate Policy and Bitcoin\u00a0<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/bitcoin-october-rally-fed-expectations\/#October_and_Fourth_Quarter_Trends\" title=\"October and Fourth Quarter Trends\u00a0\">October and Fourth Quarter Trends\u00a0<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/bitcoin-october-rally-fed-expectations\/#Investor_Perspective_and_Technical_Outlook\" title=\"Investor Perspective and Technical Outlook\u00a0\">Investor Perspective and Technical Outlook\u00a0<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Fed_Rate_Policy_and_Bitcoin\"><\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Fed Rate Policy and Bitcoin<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">The ADP report showed that private-sector employers cut 32,000 jobs in September, surprising analysts and boosting expectations for a Fed rate reduction. The CME FedWatch tool indicates a 99% probability of a 25-basis-point cut on October 29. Mena stated, \u201cAs liquidity expectations rise, BTC tends to perform better; this provides advantages both as a digital gold hedge during economic uncertainty and as a high-beta asset when liquidity returns.\u201d<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Despite $2 billion in leveraged long positions last week, Bitcoin rose from around $108,000 to $118,000. The asset has gained 26% year-to-date. Meanwhile, a recent government shutdown could delay the release of the Labor Statistics Bureau\u2019s employment report. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Mena added, \u201cShort-term volatility from data interruptions and policy uncertainty is expected, but if the Fed proceeds with a rate cut in October and the dollar weakens, the environment becomes risk-on, historically supporting Bitcoin.\u201d<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-53095 \" src=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/bitcoin.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"845\" height=\"510\" srcset=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/bitcoin.png 1024w, https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/bitcoin-300x181.png 300w, https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/bitcoin-768x464.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 845px) 100vw, 845px\" \/><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"October_and_Fourth_Quarter_Trends\"><\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">October and Fourth Quarter Trends<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Historically, October is one of Bitcoin\u2019s strongest months. Last year, ETF approval developments and political events reinforced this trend. Grayscale research head Zach Pandl noted that if macro conditions persist and the Senate progresses on market structure legislation, BTC, ETH, and SOL could reach new highs in Q4.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Ether recently rose above $4,300 after falling to $3,800 last week. Despite 30% growth in 2025 so far, ETH has not mirrored Bitcoin\u2019s October gains. Pandl highlighted, \u201cThe biggest risk for both crypto and traditional markets is a hawkish pivot from the Fed. As long as rates move lower and the economy holds up, asset valuations should remain supported.\u201d<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Investor_Perspective_and_Technical_Outlook\"><\/span><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Investor Perspective and Technical Outlook<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Ledn CIO John Glover pointed out differing technical views on Bitcoin. While he anticipates <a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/bitcoin-breaks-120k-could-150k-be-next\/\">BTC<\/a> could reach $145,000 by year-end, some analysts believe the bull market ended near a $125,000 target. Glover stated, \u201cA dip to $100,000 or slightly below presents a buying opportunity. Once this bull cycle concludes, the bear market will begin.\u201d<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Key Takeaways for Bitcoin Investors:<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Fed rate cut expectations boost risk appetite<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span data-contrast=\"auto\">September gains provide a strong foundation for October<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Technical analysis suggests opportunities between $100,000\u2013$145,000<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Q4 historically represents Bitcoin\u2019s strongest period<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">As market conditions fluctuate, investors may find positive opportunities in October through increased liquidity and favorable risk sentiment.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2540\" data-end=\"2758\"><em>You can also freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, don\u2019t forget to follow us on our\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/coinengineernews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Telegram,\u00a0<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@CoinEngineer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">YouTube<\/a>,\u00a0and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/coinengineers\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Twitter<\/a>\u00a0channels for the latest\u00a0<a title=\"News\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/news\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"7\">news<\/a>\u00a0and updates.<\/em><\/p>\n<div class=\"blog-share text-center\"><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin continues to gain attention after rising for the third consecutive month in September. Investors are now watching to see if the cryptocurrency can deliver positive returns for the seventh consecutive October. According to Matt Mena, crypto research strategist at 21Shares, expectations of a Fed rate cut could increase risk appetite and provide a favorable<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":36,"featured_media":46490,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,2],"tags":[11192,61,842,23713,393,843,105,5337,9603,2231],"class_list":["post-53094","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-crypto-news","category-news","tag-altcoin-trends","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc-price","tag-coin-prices","tag-crypto","tag-eth-price","tag-ethereum","tag-fed-rate-cut","tag-investment-opportunities","tag-market-analysis"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin Prepares for October Rally Amid Fed Rate Expectations - Coin Engineer<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin could rise in October as Fed rate cut expectations and strong market trends boost investor confidence.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/bitcoin-october-rally-fed-expectations\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bitcoin Prepares for October Rally Amid Fed Rate Expectations - 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