{"id":54305,"date":"2025-10-16T14:00:06","date_gmt":"2025-10-16T11:00:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/?p=54305"},"modified":"2025-10-16T12:51:17","modified_gmt":"2025-10-16T09:51:17","slug":"does-bitcoin-need-a-new-catalyst-could-the-downtrend-deepen","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/does-bitcoin-need-a-new-catalyst-could-the-downtrend-deepen\/","title":{"rendered":"Does Bitcoin Need a New Catalyst? Could the Downtrend Deepen?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-start=\"69\" data-end=\"341\"><a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/october-15-bitcoin-etf-see-outflows-as-eth-funds-stay-positive\/\"><strong>Bitcoin<\/strong>\u00a0<\/a>recent price movement shows signs of exhaustion, with the world\u2019s largest cryptocurrency struggling to maintain its <a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/while-bitcoin-and-altcoins-struggle-to-recover-from-the-crash-bnb-turns-bullish\/\"><strong>bullish<\/strong> <\/a>momentum. Analysts suggest that Bitcoin may need a fresh catalyst to reignite investor enthusiasm and push it toward new all-time highs.<\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_71 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 eztoc-toggle-hide-by-default' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/does-bitcoin-need-a-new-catalyst-could-the-downtrend-deepen\/#A_New_Trigger_Might_Be_Needed_to_Sustain_the_Rally\" title=\"A New Trigger Might Be Needed to Sustain the Rally\">A New Trigger Might Be Needed to Sustain the Rally<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/does-bitcoin-need-a-new-catalyst-could-the-downtrend-deepen\/#Volatile_Month_Ahead_and_Possible_Sideways_Consolidation\" title=\"Volatile Month Ahead and Possible Sideways Consolidation\">Volatile Month Ahead and Possible Sideways Consolidation<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/does-bitcoin-need-a-new-catalyst-could-the-downtrend-deepen\/#Rate_Cut_Expectations_Could_Provide_Support\" title=\"Rate Cut Expectations Could Provide Support\">Rate Cut Expectations Could Provide Support<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/does-bitcoin-need-a-new-catalyst-could-the-downtrend-deepen\/#Positive_Outlook_Toward_Year-End\" title=\"Positive Outlook Toward Year-End\">Positive Outlook Toward Year-End<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2 data-start=\"343\" data-end=\"403\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"A_New_Trigger_Might_Be_Needed_to_Sustain_the_Rally\"><\/span>A New Trigger Might Be Needed to Sustain the Rally<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"404\" data-end=\"771\">According to a recent on-chain analysis, if Bitcoin fails to reclaim the $117,100 resistance level, the market could face a deeper contraction toward the lower end of its trading range. Currently hovering around $110,840 \u2014 roughly 5% below that threshold \u2014 Bitcoin\u2019s inability to stay above this zone has historically led to prolonged mid- or long-term corrections.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"773\" data-end=\"927\">Experts note that many long-term holders have been realizing profits in recent weeks, a potential signal of waning demand and reduced market confidence.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"929\" data-end=\"995\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Volatile_Month_Ahead_and_Possible_Sideways_Consolidation\"><\/span>Volatile Month Ahead and Possible Sideways Consolidation<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"996\" data-end=\"1294\">Hyblock Capital CEO Shubh Varma anticipates a turbulent month ahead for Bitcoin, with price fluctuations likely to occur between $116,000 and $120,000. He adds that consolidation \u2014 a period of sideways movement \u2014 appears to be the most probable scenario following the recent sharp market decline.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1296\" data-end=\"1599\">Despite the uncertainty, some key indicators remain positive. Varma points out that U.S.-based spot Bitcoin ETFs continue to record healthy inflows. Before the latest downturn, these funds saw nine consecutive days of inflows totaling nearly $5.96 billion, reflecting sustained institutional interest.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"1601\" data-end=\"1654\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Rate_Cut_Expectations_Could_Provide_Support\"><\/span>Rate Cut Expectations Could Provide Support<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"1655\" data-end=\"2050\">Market optimism is also being fueled by expectations of continued rate cuts from the U.S. Federal Reserve. Historically, lower interest rates have boosted demand for risk assets like Bitcoin, as investors move away from traditional fixed-income investments. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, markets currently price in a 95.7% probability of another rate cut at the Fed\u2019s October 29 meeting.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"2052\" data-end=\"2094\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Positive_Outlook_Toward_Year-End\"><\/span>Positive Outlook Toward Year-End<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"2095\" data-end=\"2413\">Matt Mena, a crypto research strategist at 21Shares, believes the overall setup for digital assets is becoming \u201cincreasingly constructive\u201d heading into year-end. He notes that easing monetary policy, alongside growing institutional demand, could pave the way for Bitcoin to move toward $150,000 in the coming months.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2415\" data-end=\"2656\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\">Meanwhile, some analysts remain even more bullish. BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes and Unchained\u2019s Joe Burnett project that Bitcoin could reach $250,000 by the end of 2025, driven by macroeconomic tailwinds and accelerating structural demand.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2415\" data-end=\"2656\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\"><em class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_processed\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">You can also freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, don\u2019t forget to follow us on our\u00a0<a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/coinengineernews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">Telegram,\u00a0<\/a><a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@CoinEngineer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">YouTube<\/a>,\u00a0and\u00a0<a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/coinengineers\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">Twitter<\/a>\u00a0channels for\u00a0<\/em><em class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_processed\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">the latest\u00a0<a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" title=\"News\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/news\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"7\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">news<\/a>\u00a0and updates.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin\u00a0recent price movement shows signs of exhaustion, with the world\u2019s largest cryptocurrency struggling to maintain its bullish momentum. Analysts suggest that Bitcoin may need a fresh catalyst to reignite investor enthusiasm and push it toward new all-time highs. A New Trigger Might Be Needed to Sustain the Rally According to a recent on-chain analysis, if<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":29,"featured_media":47933,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,2],"tags":[15232,61,477,60,1589,11802,22690],"class_list":["post-54305","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-crypto-news","category-news","tag-bear","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-analysis","tag-btc","tag-bull","tag-crash","tag-fall"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Does Bitcoin Need a New Catalyst? 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