{"id":54583,"date":"2025-10-20T13:00:09","date_gmt":"2025-10-20T10:00:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/?p=54583"},"modified":"2025-10-20T12:51:44","modified_gmt":"2025-10-20T09:51:44","slug":"when-will-the-next-bitcoin-rally-begin-analysts-weigh-in","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/when-will-the-next-bitcoin-rally-begin-analysts-weigh-in\/","title":{"rendered":"When Will the Next Bitcoin Rally Begin? Analysts Weigh In"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-start=\"65\" data-end=\"466\">The <a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/crypto-giants-senate-defi-regulations-meeting\/\"><strong>crypto<\/strong> <\/a>market has been facing a challenging phase in recent weeks, and analysts suggest that the main reason behind this weakness lies in long-term <a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/bitcoin-gold-correlation-surprises-a-pattern-that-repeated-4-times-in-history-is-emerging-again\/\"><strong>Bitcoin<\/strong> <\/a>holders \u2014 often referred to as \u201cOGs\u201d \u2014 taking profits. On-chain data indicates that these seasoned investors have started moving their older coins back into circulation, with realized profits surging to nearly $1.7 billion per day.<\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_71 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 eztoc-toggle-hide-by-default' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/when-will-the-next-bitcoin-rally-begin-analysts-weigh-in\/#Long-Term_Holders_Are_Taking_Profits\" title=\"Long-Term Holders Are Taking Profits\">Long-Term Holders Are Taking Profits<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/when-will-the-next-bitcoin-rally-begin-analysts-weigh-in\/#Bitcoin_OGs_Are_Cashing_Out\" title=\"Bitcoin OGs Are Cashing Out\">Bitcoin OGs Are Cashing Out<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/when-will-the-next-bitcoin-rally-begin-analysts-weigh-in\/#Bitcoin_Maintains_Key_Support_Levels\" title=\"Bitcoin Maintains Key Support Levels\">Bitcoin Maintains Key Support Levels<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2 data-start=\"473\" data-end=\"519\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Long-Term_Holders_Are_Taking_Profits\"><\/span>Long-Term Holders Are Taking Profits<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"521\" data-end=\"788\">According to analyst James Check, the current stagnation in the crypto market has little to do with manipulation, \u201cpaper Bitcoin,\u201d or external suppression. Instead, he attributes the slowdown to what he calls \u201cgood old-fashioned selling\u201d by long-time investors.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"790\" data-end=\"1165\">Check emphasized that the extent of this sell-side pressure remains underappreciated, yet it continues to act as a strong source of resistance for Bitcoin\u2019s price. He pointed to on-chain data showing that the average age of spent coins has been increasing throughout this market cycle \u2014 clear evidence that long-term holders are the ones offloading their positions.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1167\" data-end=\"1566\">Additional data supports this trend: daily realized gains have climbed to $1.7 billion, while realized losses reached around $430 million, marking the third-highest level of the current cycle. Meanwhile, the \u201crevived supply\u201d \u2014 a metric tracking the movement of older, previously dormant coins \u2014 spiked to $2.9 billion per day, its second-highest level in this market phase.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"1573\" data-end=\"1610\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Bitcoin_OGs_Are_Cashing_Out\"><\/span>Bitcoin OGs Are Cashing Out<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"1612\" data-end=\"1946\">Crypto analyst Will Clemente noted that Bitcoin\u2019s relative weakness over the past year has largely been a result of supply moving from early adopters (OGs) to traditional financial players (TradFi). According to him, this dynamic is temporary and will likely fade in significance over the coming years as the market matures.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1948\" data-end=\"2458\">Echoing this sentiment, Galaxy Digital CEO Mike Novogratz commented that many early Bitcoin investors are finally taking profits after years of holding. \u201cThere are a lot of people in the Bitcoin world who\u2019ve been in for so long and finally decided they want to buy something tangible,\u201d he explained, referring to friends who have purchased yachts or even stakes in sports teams. Novogratz described this phase as a \u201chealthy rotation\u201d \u2014 a natural part of the market cycle following a long period of gains.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"2465\" data-end=\"2511\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Bitcoin_Maintains_Key_Support_Levels\"><\/span>Bitcoin Maintains Key Support Levels<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"2513\" data-end=\"2869\">Despite the selling pressure, Bitcoin managed to close the week holding a critical support level at $108,700, according to TradingView data. Analyst Rekt Capital highlighted the importance of maintaining this range, suggesting that \u201cif Bitcoin continues to stabilize here, the price could gradually climb beyond $120,000 in the coming weeks.\u201d<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2871\" data-end=\"3208\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\">At the time of writing, Bitcoin had reclaimed the $110,000 zone, though analysts caution that the next resistance level sits just above this range. For now, a sustained recovery seems unlikely until the wave of profit-taking from long-term holders subsides \u2014 but once it does, a new Bitcoin rally could be just around the corner.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2871\" data-end=\"3208\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\">You can also freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, don\u2019t forget to follow us on our\u00a0<a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/coinengineernews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">Telegram,\u00a0<\/a><a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@CoinEngineer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">YouTube<\/a>,\u00a0and\u00a0<a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/coinengineers\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">Twitter<\/a>\u00a0channels for the latest news and updates.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The crypto market has been facing a challenging phase in recent weeks, and analysts suggest that the main reason behind this weakness lies in long-term Bitcoin holders \u2014 often referred to as \u201cOGs\u201d \u2014 taking profits. On-chain data indicates that these seasoned investors have started moving their older coins back into circulation, with realized profits<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":29,"featured_media":38502,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,2],"tags":[61,477,60,1589,7135],"class_list":["post-54583","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-crypto-news","category-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-analysis","tag-btc","tag-bull","tag-rally"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>When Will the Next Bitcoin Rally Begin? Analysts Weigh In - Coin Engineer<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Cryptocurrency markets have been going through a rough patch in recent weeks. 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