{"id":54724,"date":"2025-10-21T14:00:02","date_gmt":"2025-10-21T11:00:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/?p=54724"},"modified":"2025-10-21T12:57:34","modified_gmt":"2025-10-21T09:57:34","slug":"what-could-trigger-the-next-crypto-bear-market-analyst-warns","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/what-could-trigger-the-next-crypto-bear-market-analyst-warns\/","title":{"rendered":"What Could Trigger the Next Crypto Bear Market? Analyst Warns!"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-start=\"83\" data-end=\"438\">According to crypto analyst Willy Woo, the next <strong>cryptocurrency<\/strong> bear market could be far more severe than previous cycles. Unlike past downturns tied to <a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/massive-outflow-from-crypto-etfs-bitcoin-and-ethereum-under-pressure\/\"><strong>Bitcoin<\/strong> <\/a>halving events or changes in global money supply, Woo believes the next crash could be driven by a global business cycle downturn \u2014 something the crypto industry has never faced before.<\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_71 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 eztoc-toggle-hide-by-default' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/what-could-trigger-the-next-crypto-bear-market-analyst-warns\/#A_Cycle_Never_Seen_in_Bitcoins_History\" title=\"A Cycle Never Seen in Bitcoin\u2019s History\">A Cycle Never Seen in Bitcoin\u2019s History<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/what-could-trigger-the-next-crypto-bear-market-analyst-warns\/#Business_Cycles_and_the_Liquidity_Effect\" title=\"Business Cycles and the Liquidity Effect\">Business Cycles and the Liquidity Effect<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/what-could-trigger-the-next-crypto-bear-market-analyst-warns\/#Rising_Risks_for_the_Next_Cycle\" title=\"Rising Risks for the Next Cycle\">Rising Risks for the Next Cycle<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h3 data-start=\"445\" data-end=\"490\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"A_Cycle_Never_Seen_in_Bitcoins_History\"><\/span>A Cycle Never Seen in Bitcoin\u2019s History<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"492\" data-end=\"808\">Historically, Bitcoin\u2019s market movements have been shaped by two overlapping cycles: the four-year Bitcoin halving cycle and the expansion of global M2 money supply. Central banks have historically injected liquidity into the economy in four-year intervals, which has coincided with Bitcoin\u2019s bull markets.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"810\" data-end=\"1279\">However, Woo argues that the upcoming bear market will be shaped by a \u201ccycle people have forgotten\u201d \u2014 the business cycle. \u201cThe last major business cycle contractions occurred in 2001 and 2008, before Bitcoin even existed,\u201d Woo noted. This means that Bitcoin\u2019s behavior during a traditional economic recession has yet to be tested. He added, \u201cIf we get a business cycle downturn like 2001 or 2008, it will show whether Bitcoin acts more like tech stocks or like gold.\u201d<\/p>\n<h3 data-start=\"1286\" data-end=\"1332\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Business_Cycles_and_the_Liquidity_Effect\"><\/span>Business Cycles and the Liquidity Effect<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"1334\" data-end=\"1659\">A business cycle downturn, also known as a recession, occurs when GDP declines, unemployment rises, and consumer spending weakens \u2014 signaling a contraction in economic activity. Woo emphasized that crypto markets do not operate in isolation; they are deeply influenced by liquidity conditions in the global economy.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1661\" data-end=\"2054\">For instance, during the dot-com crash of 2001, U.S. stock markets fell by over 50% in two years. Similarly, the 2008 financial crisis triggered a 56% plunge in the S&amp;P 500, driven by collapsing credit markets and widespread financial instability. These events show how powerful liquidity shocks can reshape entire asset classes \u2014 including, potentially, digital assets like Bitcoin.<\/p>\n<h3 data-start=\"2061\" data-end=\"2098\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Rising_Risks_for_the_Next_Cycle\"><\/span>Rising Risks for the Next Cycle<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"2100\" data-end=\"2483\">The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) tracks employment, income, industrial production, and retail sales to identify potential recessions. Although there was a brief pandemic-related downturn in 2020, no major recession appears imminent at the moment. Still, persistent trade tariffs and slowing global growth could weigh on markets throughout the first half of 2026.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2485\" data-end=\"2707\">Woo concluded that markets are inherently speculative \u2014 they price in future expectations, including money supply shifts. \u201cEither Bitcoin is signaling that global markets have peaked, or it\u2019s about to catch up,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2709\" data-end=\"2866\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\">In other words, the fate of the next crypto bear market may not hinge solely on Bitcoin\u2019s halving cycles but on the broader rhythm of the global economy.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2709\" data-end=\"2866\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\">You can also freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, don\u2019t forget to follow us on our\u00a0<a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/coinengineernews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">Telegram,\u00a0<\/a><a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@CoinEngineer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">YouTube<\/a>,\u00a0and\u00a0<a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/coinengineers\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">Twitter<\/a>\u00a0channels for the latest news and updates.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>According to crypto analyst Willy Woo, the next cryptocurrency bear market could be far more severe than previous cycles. Unlike past downturns tied to Bitcoin halving events or changes in global money supply, Woo believes the next crash could be driven by a global business cycle downturn \u2014 something the crypto industry has never faced<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":29,"featured_media":54725,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,2],"tags":[15232,61,60,1589,11802,22690,14585],"class_list":["post-54724","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-crypto-news","category-news","tag-bear","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-bull","tag-crash","tag-fall","tag-m2-money-supply"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>What Could Trigger the Next Crypto Bear Market? 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