{"id":54967,"date":"2025-10-23T16:00:32","date_gmt":"2025-10-23T13:00:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/?p=54967"},"modified":"2025-10-23T14:50:43","modified_gmt":"2025-10-23T11:50:43","slug":"vaneck-shares-bitcoin-btc-predictions-what-caused-the-drop","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/vaneck-shares-bitcoin-btc-predictions-what-caused-the-drop\/","title":{"rendered":"VanEck Shares Bitcoin (BTC) Predictions! What Caused the Drop?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-start=\"90\" data-end=\"491\">Investment management firm <a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/vaneck-registers-lido-staked-ethereum-etf-in-delaware\/\"><strong data-start=\"117\" data-end=\"127\">VanEck<\/strong> <\/a>has shared its latest insights on <a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/million-dollar-outflow-from-bitcoin\/\"><strong>Bitcoin<\/strong><\/a>\u00a0sharp October decline, describing the move as a \u201cliquidity-driven mid-cycle correction.\u201d In a recent market report, analysts Nathan Frankovitz and Matthew Sigel explained that \u201cleverage levels have normalized, on-chain activity is picking up, and the macro role of digital assets continues to strengthen.\u201d<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"493\" data-end=\"650\">Currently, Bitcoin is trading about 14% below its all-time high, struggling to recover after the major leverage flush that occurred earlier this month.<\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_71 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 eztoc-toggle-hide-by-default' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/vaneck-shares-bitcoin-btc-predictions-what-caused-the-drop\/#A_Healthy_Correction_Not_a_Bear_Market\" title=\"A Healthy Correction, Not a Bear Market\">A Healthy Correction, Not a Bear Market<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/vaneck-shares-bitcoin-btc-predictions-what-caused-the-drop\/#VanEck_Betting_Against_Bitcoin_Is_Risky\" title=\"VanEck: Betting Against Bitcoin Is Risky\">VanEck: Betting Against Bitcoin Is Risky<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/vaneck-shares-bitcoin-btc-predictions-what-caused-the-drop\/#Volatility_Persists_Despite_Bullish_Outlook\" title=\"Volatility Persists Despite Bullish Outlook\">Volatility Persists Despite Bullish Outlook<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2 data-start=\"657\" data-end=\"704\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"A_Healthy_Correction_Not_a_Bear_Market\"><\/span>A Healthy Correction, Not a Bear Market<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"706\" data-end=\"1059\">According to VanEck, Bitcoin\u2019s latest pullback is part of a natural market cycle rather than the start of a prolonged downturn. The firm noted that leverage levels sit around the 61st percentile of historical averages, while Bitcoin remains at one-year lows relative to gold, indicating that excessive bearish sentiment has not yet taken hold.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1061\" data-end=\"1479\">VanEck\u2019s report highlighted that global M2 money supply growth explains more than half of Bitcoin\u2019s price variance. Data from MacroMicro shows that global M2 has expanded by 6.8% since the start of the year, as central banks continue to inject liquidity into the economy. The analysts added that global liquidity, leverage dynamics, and on-chain activity remain key drivers of Bitcoin\u2019s price action.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1481\" data-end=\"1738\">Furthermore, since October 2020, nearly 73% of Bitcoin\u2019s price movements have been linked to changes in futures open interest, while strong correlations between blockchain revenues and token prices continue to signal real network adoption.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"1745\" data-end=\"1793\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"VanEck_Betting_Against_Bitcoin_Is_Risky\"><\/span>VanEck: Betting Against Bitcoin Is Risky<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"1795\" data-end=\"1902\">VanEck emphasized that shorting Bitcoin amid rapid fiat currency debasement carries significant risk.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1904\" data-end=\"2210\">\u201cWith Bitcoin now accounting for roughly 2% of global money supply, we believe digital assets will play an increasingly vital role in diversified portfolios,\u201d the report stated. \u201cHolding less than 2% of Bitcoin or other digital assets effectively represents a short position against the asset class.\u201d<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"2217\" data-end=\"2268\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Volatility_Persists_Despite_Bullish_Outlook\"><\/span>Volatility Persists Despite Bullish Outlook<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"2270\" data-end=\"2621\">Several market strategists agree that the bull market remains intact, though heightened volatility is likely in the short term. Investor Ted Pillows noted that U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent expects lower inflation next month, meaning that the upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) report could underperform market expectations.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2623\" data-end=\"2833\">\u201cHigh inflation tends to pressure crypto assets by fueling tighter monetary policy expectations. However, if CPI data comes in lower than anticipated, the crypto market could stage a strong rebound,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2835\" data-end=\"3071\">Echoing the sentiment, MN Fund founder Micha\u00ebl van de Poppe added, \u201cMarkets will likely remain choppy until the next major macro event \u2014 CPI. That data will determine Bitcoin\u2019s direction and shape the Fed\u2019s next policy decisions.\u201d<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2835\" data-end=\"3071\"><em>You can also freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, don\u2019t forget to follow us on our\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/coinengineernews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Telegram,\u00a0<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@CoinEngineer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">YouTube<\/a>,\u00a0and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/coinengineers\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Twitter<\/a>\u00a0channels for the latest\u00a0<a title=\"News\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/news\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"7\">news<\/a>\u00a0and updates.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Investment management firm VanEck has shared its latest insights on Bitcoin\u00a0sharp October decline, describing the move as a \u201cliquidity-driven mid-cycle correction.\u201d In a recent market report, analysts Nathan Frankovitz and Matthew Sigel explained that \u201cleverage levels have normalized, on-chain activity is picking up, and the macro role of digital assets continues to strengthen.\u201d Currently, Bitcoin<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":29,"featured_media":38234,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,2],"tags":[61,477,60,1589,22690,5863],"class_list":["post-54967","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-crypto-news","category-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-analysis","tag-btc","tag-bull","tag-fall","tag-rise"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>VanEck Shares Bitcoin (BTC) Predictions! 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