{"id":55692,"date":"2025-10-31T18:15:55","date_gmt":"2025-10-31T15:15:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/?p=55692"},"modified":"2025-10-31T18:00:50","modified_gmt":"2025-10-31T15:00:50","slug":"why-ending-qt-and-cutting-rates-couldnt-save-bitcoin-btc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/why-ending-qt-and-cutting-rates-couldnt-save-bitcoin-btc\/","title":{"rendered":"Why Ending QT and Cutting Rates Couldn\u2019t Save Bitcoin (BTC)?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-start=\"67\" data-end=\"380\">Analysts suggest that if the <a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/will-the-fed-cut-interest-rates-in-december-critical-comments-from-experts\/\"><strong>Fed<\/strong> <\/a>continues to lower interest rates and global macroeconomic conditions remain favorable, <a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/while-bitcoin-and-ethereum-etfs-decline-solana-is-on-the-rise\/\"><strong>Bitcoin<\/strong> <\/a>(BTC) could reach a new all-time high by early 2026. However, recent market developments have painted a very different short-term picture, leaving many investors puzzled.<\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_71 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 eztoc-toggle-hide-by-default' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/why-ending-qt-and-cutting-rates-couldnt-save-bitcoin-btc\/#Market_Decline_Despite_Positive_Developments\" title=\"Market Decline Despite Positive Developments\">Market Decline Despite Positive Developments<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/why-ending-qt-and-cutting-rates-couldnt-save-bitcoin-btc\/#On-Chain_Data_Signaled_Weak_Institutional_Demand\" title=\"On-Chain Data Signaled Weak Institutional Demand\">On-Chain Data Signaled Weak Institutional Demand<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/why-ending-qt-and-cutting-rates-couldnt-save-bitcoin-btc\/#Feds_Cautious_Outlook_Shakes_Confidence\" title=\"Fed\u2019s Cautious Outlook Shakes Confidence\">Fed\u2019s Cautious Outlook Shakes Confidence<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/why-ending-qt-and-cutting-rates-couldnt-save-bitcoin-btc\/#Long-Term_Outlook_A_Healthy_Correction_Before_a_New_High\" title=\"Long-Term Outlook: A Healthy Correction Before a New High?\">Long-Term Outlook: A Healthy Correction Before a New High?<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2 data-start=\"382\" data-end=\"432\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Market_Decline_Despite_Positive_Developments\"><\/span>Market Decline Despite Positive Developments<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"434\" data-end=\"823\">Earlier this week, several major announcements were expected to boost investor sentiment. The Federal Reserve officially declared the end of quantitative tightening (QT), while the U.S. and China reached a long-awaited trade truce. On top of that, two consecutive rate cuts and the approval of an altcoin staking ETF appeared to set the stage for a strong market rebound.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"825\" data-end=\"1054\">Yet, contrary to expectations, both Bitcoin and U.S. equities suffered a sharp decline. On-chain data signaled weakening institutional demand, while Fed Chair Jerome Powell\u2019s cautious comments undermined confidence.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1056\" data-end=\"1161\">By the end of the week, Bitcoin was trading around $110,000, reflecting continued market fragility.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_179847\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-179847\" style=\"width: 1281px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-179847 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/BTCUSDT_2025-10-31_17-57-47.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1281\" height=\"573\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-179847\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">BTC\/USDT 4 hours chart<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2 data-start=\"1163\" data-end=\"1217\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"On-Chain_Data_Signaled_Weak_Institutional_Demand\"><\/span>On-Chain Data Signaled Weak Institutional Demand<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"1219\" data-end=\"1569\">One of the key indicators pointing to Bitcoin\u2019s decline was the Coinbase Premium Gap, which turned negative after a brief recovery. This metric measures the price difference between Coinbase\u2014a preferred exchange among U.S. institutions\u2014and global exchanges. Historically, it has served as a proxy for American institutional buying activity.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1571\" data-end=\"1919\">A negative reading indicates that U.S.-based investors are selling or avoiding accumulation, suggesting that Bitcoin\u2019s recent price movements lacked strong institutional conviction. Retail investors, meanwhile, may have misinterpreted the wave of macroeconomic \u201cgood news\u201d as a direct sign of sustained demand, overestimating its real impact.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"1921\" data-end=\"1967\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Feds_Cautious_Outlook_Shakes_Confidence\"><\/span>Fed\u2019s Cautious Outlook Shakes Confidence<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"1969\" data-end=\"2251\">According to CryptoQuant, the downturn was amplified by Powell\u2019s statement that a December rate cut is \u201cnot guaranteed.\u201d Although QT will officially conclude on December 1, Powell\u2019s cautious tone raised fresh doubts about how quickly the Fed will ease monetary policy.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2253\" data-end=\"2505\">Additionally, the fragile nature of the U.S.-China trade truce and renewed reports of U.S. nuclear testing activities further weighed on investor sentiment, adding a layer of geopolitical uncertainty to an already unstable market environment.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"2507\" data-end=\"2571\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Long-Term_Outlook_A_Healthy_Correction_Before_a_New_High\"><\/span>Long-Term Outlook: A Healthy Correction Before a New High?<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"2573\" data-end=\"2845\">CryptoQuant\u2019s analysis suggests that this recent correction represents a cooling-off period after months of speculative excess. Institutional hesitation, temporary liquidity concerns, and geopolitical risks have collectively worked to stabilize an overheated market.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2847\" data-end=\"3008\">Analysts believe that once QT fully ends and liquidity conditions improve, risk appetite could gradually recover, paving the way for Bitcoin\u2019s next leg up.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3010\" data-end=\"3285\">The TeraHash analytics team noted that Bitcoin\u2019s long-term bullish trend remains intact, though its momentum has clearly slowed. They identified $98,000 as a critical support level\u2014if broken, BTC could slide toward the $70,000 zone amid deeper selling pressure.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3287\" data-end=\"3652\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\">Still, Bitcoin\u2019s growing acceptance among major global funds and its strengthening institutional legitimacy suggest that any correction is likely to be measured rather than abrupt. Experts maintain that if the Fed maintains its rate-cutting trajectory and global economic stability persists, Bitcoin could set a new all-time high by late 2025 or early 2026.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3287\" data-end=\"3652\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\"><em class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_processed\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">You can also freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, don\u2019t forget to follow us on our\u00a0<a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/coinengineernews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">Telegram,\u00a0<\/a><a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@CoinEngineer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">YouTube<\/a>,\u00a0and\u00a0<a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/coinengineers\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">Twitter<\/a>\u00a0channels for\u00a0<\/em><em class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_processed\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">the latest\u00a0<a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" title=\"News\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/news\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"7\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">news<\/a>\u00a0and updates.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Analysts suggest that if the Fed continues to lower interest rates and global macroeconomic conditions remain favorable, Bitcoin (BTC) could reach a new all-time high by early 2026. However, recent market developments have painted a very different short-term picture, leaving many investors puzzled. Market Decline Despite Positive Developments Earlier this week, several major announcements were<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":29,"featured_media":48905,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,2],"tags":[61,60,640,5867,24791,2567,8132],"class_list":["post-55692","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-crypto-news","category-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-fed","tag-interest-rate","tag-qe","tag-qt","tag-rate-cut"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Why Ending QT and Cutting Rates Couldn\u2019t Save Bitcoin (BTC)? - Coin Engineer<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Why didn&#039;t the end of monetary tightening (QT) and the Fed&#039;s interest rate cut lead to a rise in Bitcoin (BTC)? 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