{"id":55732,"date":"2025-11-01T16:00:29","date_gmt":"2025-11-01T13:00:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/?p=55732"},"modified":"2025-11-01T14:40:34","modified_gmt":"2025-11-01T11:40:34","slug":"bitcoin-cycle-isnt-over-yet-analysts-warn-of-up-to-70-correction","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/bitcoin-cycle-isnt-over-yet-analysts-warn-of-up-to-70-correction\/","title":{"rendered":"&#8220;The 4-Year Bitcoin Cycle Isn&#8217;t Over&#8221;: How Much Drop is Expected?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-start=\"89\" data-end=\"409\"><a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/bitcoin-ends-october-in-red-but-november-could-be-its-strongest-month-yet\/\"><strong>Bitcoin<\/strong> <\/a>price cycles have long been a topic of debate among investors and analysts. According to Sigma Capital CEO Vineet Budki, the leading <a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/binance-coin-bnb-surpasses-xrp-to-become-the-third-largest-cryptocurrency\/\">cryptocurrency<\/a> could face a sharp correction of up to 70% in the coming years \u2014 primarily due to a widespread misunderstanding of Bitcoin\u2019s underlying economic function.<\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_71 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 eztoc-toggle-hide-by-default' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/bitcoin-cycle-isnt-over-yet-analysts-warn-of-up-to-70-correction\/#Investors_Still_Dont_Understand_Bitcoins_Core_Value\" title=\"Investors Still Don\u2019t Understand Bitcoin\u2019s Core Value\">Investors Still Don\u2019t Understand Bitcoin\u2019s Core Value<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/bitcoin-cycle-isnt-over-yet-analysts-warn-of-up-to-70-correction\/#Has_the_4-Year_Bitcoin_Cycle_Lost_Its_Relevance\" title=\"Has the 4-Year Bitcoin Cycle Lost Its Relevance?\">Has the 4-Year Bitcoin Cycle Lost Its Relevance?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/bitcoin-cycle-isnt-over-yet-analysts-warn-of-up-to-70-correction\/#Institutional_Demand_Brings_a_New_Kind_of_Stability\" title=\"Institutional Demand Brings a New Kind of Stability\">Institutional Demand Brings a New Kind of Stability<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/bitcoin-cycle-isnt-over-yet-analysts-warn-of-up-to-70-correction\/#Xapo_Bank_CEO_%E2%80%9CThe_4-Year_Cycle_Still_Exists%E2%80%9D\" title=\"Xapo Bank CEO: \u201cThe 4-Year Cycle Still Exists\u201d\">Xapo Bank CEO: \u201cThe 4-Year Cycle Still Exists\u201d<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h3 data-start=\"411\" data-end=\"470\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Investors_Still_Dont_Understand_Bitcoins_Core_Value\"><\/span>Investors Still Don\u2019t Understand Bitcoin\u2019s Core Value<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"472\" data-end=\"771\">Speaking at the Global Blockchain Congress 2025 in Dubai, Budki emphasized that Bitcoin\u2019s price could decline between 65% and 70% within the next two years. He argued that the potential drop wouldn\u2019t reflect a failure of the asset itself, but rather the psychology of uninformed investors:<\/p>\n<blockquote data-start=\"773\" data-end=\"1047\">\n<p data-start=\"775\" data-end=\"1047\">\u201cEven if Bitcoin falls to $70,000, it doesn\u2019t lose its purpose. The real issue is that many investors don\u2019t understand what Bitcoin actually represents. People tend to sell what they don\u2019t understand at the first sign of panic \u2014 and that\u2019s what creates downward pressure.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p data-start=\"1049\" data-end=\"1290\">Despite his bearish short-term outlook, Budki remains optimistic in the long run. He predicts that Bitcoin could surpass $1 million within the next decade, driven by both speculative interest and a growing number of real-world use cases.<\/p>\n<h3 data-start=\"1292\" data-end=\"1346\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Has_the_4-Year_Bitcoin_Cycle_Lost_Its_Relevance\"><\/span>Has the 4-Year Bitcoin Cycle Lost Its Relevance?<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"1348\" data-end=\"1689\">Some market experts believe the traditional four-year halving cycle may no longer dictate Bitcoin\u2019s behavior as it once did. Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, suggests that Bitcoin is now increasingly influenced by macroeconomic factors such as interest rates and global liquidity \u2014 rather than its internal supply mechanics.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1691\" data-end=\"1852\">According to Hayes, the direction of Bitcoin\u2019s price is now shaped more by monetary policies and economic conditions than by halving events or block rewards.<\/p>\n<h3 data-start=\"1854\" data-end=\"1911\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Institutional_Demand_Brings_a_New_Kind_of_Stability\"><\/span>Institutional Demand Brings a New Kind of Stability<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"1913\" data-end=\"2257\">Other analysts point out that the growing institutional adoption of Bitcoin has made the asset more resilient to short-term volatility. Data from BitcoinTreasuries.net shows that governments, crypto-focused banks, ETFs, and digital asset firms collectively hold over 4 million BTC, representing around 20% of the total supply.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2259\" data-end=\"2405\">This rising institutional exposure, some argue, helps moderate extreme price swings and supports the asset\u2019s legitimacy as a long-term investment.<\/p>\n<h3 data-start=\"2407\" data-end=\"2459\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Xapo_Bank_CEO_%E2%80%9CThe_4-Year_Cycle_Still_Exists%E2%80%9D\"><\/span>Xapo Bank CEO: \u201cThe 4-Year Cycle Still Exists\u201d<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"2461\" data-end=\"2747\">On the other hand, Seamus Rocca, CEO of Xapo Bank, maintains that Bitcoin\u2019s four-year cycle remains intact. He notes that investors continue to view Bitcoin as a risk-on asset, meaning its price movements are still largely tied to market sentiment and cyclical patterns.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2461\" data-end=\"2747\"><em>You can also freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, don\u2019t forget to follow us on our\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/coinengineernews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Telegram,\u00a0<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@CoinEngineer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">YouTube<\/a>,\u00a0and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/coinengineers\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Twitter<\/a>\u00a0channels for the latest\u00a0<a title=\"News\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/news\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"7\">news<\/a>\u00a0and updates.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin price cycles have long been a topic of debate among investors and analysts. According to Sigma Capital CEO Vineet Budki, the leading cryptocurrency could face a sharp correction of up to 70% in the coming years \u2014 primarily due to a widespread misunderstanding of Bitcoin\u2019s underlying economic function. Investors Still Don\u2019t Understand Bitcoin\u2019s Core<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":29,"featured_media":48000,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,2],"tags":[25225,61,9692,22690,3258],"class_list":["post-55732","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-crypto-news","category-news","tag-4-year-cycle","tag-bitcoin","tag-correction","tag-fall","tag-halving"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>&quot;The 4-Year Bitcoin Cycle Isn&#039;t Over&quot;: How Much Drop is Expected? - Coin Engineer<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin price cycles have long been a topic of debate. Here&#039;s what experts are saying about them. 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