{"id":56129,"date":"2025-11-05T17:00:58","date_gmt":"2025-11-05T14:00:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/?p=56129"},"modified":"2025-11-05T16:12:13","modified_gmt":"2025-11-05T13:12:13","slug":"arthur-hayes-and-bitwise-cios-post-bitcoin-drop-targets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/arthur-hayes-and-bitwise-cios-post-bitcoin-drop-targets\/","title":{"rendered":"Arthur Hayes and Bitwise CIO&#8217;s Post-Bitcoin Drop Targets!"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-start=\"88\" data-end=\"355\"><a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/usdt-dominance-resistance-bitcoin-altco\/\"><strong>Bitcoin<\/strong><\/a>\u2019s recent slip below the $100,000 mark has triggered concern among investors, but two major figures in the crypto world former BitMEX CEO <a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/arthur-hayes-remarkable-price-prediction-for-this-altcoin\/\"><strong data-start=\"235\" data-end=\"251\">Arthur Hayes<\/strong><\/a> and Bitwise CIO <strong data-start=\"268\" data-end=\"283\">Matt Hougan<\/strong> continue to project optimism for the market\u2019s long-term trajectory.<\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_71 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 eztoc-toggle-hide-by-default' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/arthur-hayes-and-bitwise-cios-post-bitcoin-drop-targets\/#Bitcoin_Falls_Below_100000\" title=\"Bitcoin Falls Below $100,000\">Bitcoin Falls Below $100,000<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/arthur-hayes-and-bitwise-cios-post-bitcoin-drop-targets\/#Arthur_Hayes_Predicts_%E2%80%9CStealth_QE%E2%80%9D_From_the_Fed\" title=\"Arthur Hayes Predicts \u201cStealth QE\u201d From the Fed\">Arthur Hayes Predicts \u201cStealth QE\u201d From the Fed<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/arthur-hayes-and-bitwise-cios-post-bitcoin-drop-targets\/#Has_Bitcoin_Entered_a_Bear_Market\" title=\"Has Bitcoin Entered a Bear Market?\">Has Bitcoin Entered a Bear Market?<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2 data-start=\"362\" data-end=\"396\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Bitcoin_Falls_Below_100000\"><\/span>Bitcoin Falls Below $100,000<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"398\" data-end=\"791\">The world\u2019s leading cryptocurrency has dipped to its lowest level since June, breaking below the $100,000 threshold. The move has raised fears of a deeper market correction among retail investors. However, Matt Hougan of Bitwise sees the downturn differently. He describes it as \u201cthe peak of retail capitulation,\u201d suggesting that panic selling among individual traders is nearing exhaustion.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"793\" data-end=\"996\">Speaking to CNBC\u2019s <em data-start=\"812\" data-end=\"826\">Crypto World<\/em>, Hougan noted, \u201cCrypto retail sentiment is more depressed than I\u2019ve ever seen. We\u2019ve witnessed leverage washouts, and the market feels completely drained of optimism.\u201d<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"998\" data-end=\"1405\">Despite this, Hougan believes the broader market remains fundamentally strong. \u201cWhen I talk to institutions and financial advisers, the enthusiasm is still there. Looking at a one-year chart, Bitcoin continues to deliver robust returns,\u201d he said. Hougan also suggested that institutional demand could soon drive prices higher, projecting that Bitcoin could end the year in the $125,000\u2013$130,000 range.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_56130\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-56130\" style=\"width: 1048px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-56130 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/bitcoin.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1048\" height=\"391\" srcset=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/bitcoin.png 1048w, https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/bitcoin-300x112.png 300w, https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/bitcoin-1024x382.png 1024w, https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/bitcoin-768x287.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1048px) 100vw, 1048px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-56130\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Bitcoin price recovers after falling below $100,000<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2 data-start=\"1412\" data-end=\"1465\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Arthur_Hayes_Predicts_%E2%80%9CStealth_QE%E2%80%9D_From_the_Fed\"><\/span>Arthur Hayes Predicts \u201cStealth QE\u201d From the Fed<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"1467\" data-end=\"1824\">While Hougan focuses on investor sentiment, Arthur Hayes emphasizes liquidity as the primary force behind Bitcoin\u2019s next rally. In his November 4 essay, Hayes argued that the United States\u2019 rising debt levels will ultimately compel the Federal Reserve to expand its balance sheet \u2014 a process he refers to as \u201cstealth quantitative easing\u201d (stealth QE).<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1826\" data-end=\"2107\">According to Hayes, the Fed will use its Standing Repo Facility to inject liquidity into the financial system and indirectly support Treasury financing. Although not an official QE program, he believes this mechanism will have a similar impact by increasing the money supply.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2109\" data-end=\"2340\">\u201cAs the Fed\u2019s balance sheet grows, it creates dollar liquidity, which inevitably pushes Bitcoin and other crypto assets higher,\u201d Hayes wrote, predicting that this \u201cquiet liquidity creation\u201d could reignite the next major bull run.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"2347\" data-end=\"2387\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Has_Bitcoin_Entered_a_Bear_Market\"><\/span>Has Bitcoin Entered a Bear Market?<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"2389\" data-end=\"2737\">According to Mosaic Asset and <em data-start=\"2419\" data-end=\"2440\">The Kobeissi Letter<\/em>, Bitcoin has officially entered bear market territory after declining more than 20% from its all-time high on October 6. Some traders, including investor Ted Pillows, have warned that prices could fall further, possibly testing the $92,000 CME gap if the $100,000 support fails to hold.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2739\" data-end=\"3005\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\">Despite short-term volatility, both Hayes and Hougan believe the long-term setup for Bitcoin remains favorable. They argue that once panic selling subsides and liquidity conditions improve, Bitcoin could regain momentum \u2014 setting the stage for its next upward cycle.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2739\" data-end=\"3005\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\"><em>You can also freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, don\u2019t forget to follow us on our\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/coinengineernews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Telegram,\u00a0<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@CoinEngineer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">YouTube<\/a>,\u00a0and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/coinengineers\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Twitter<\/a>\u00a0channels for the latest\u00a0<a title=\"News\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/news\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"7\">news<\/a>\u00a0and updates.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin\u2019s recent slip below the $100,000 mark has triggered concern among investors, but two major figures in the crypto world former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes and Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan continue to project optimism for the market\u2019s long-term trajectory. Bitcoin Falls Below $100,000 The world\u2019s leading cryptocurrency has dipped to its lowest level since June,<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":29,"featured_media":56133,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,2],"tags":[2545,61,2624,1149,60,640,7456,24791,2567],"class_list":["post-56129","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-crypto-news","category-news","tag-arthur-hayes","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitmex","tag-bitwise","tag-btc","tag-fed","tag-matt-hougan","tag-qe","tag-qt"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Arthur Hayes and Bitwise CIO&#039;s Post-Bitcoin Drop Targets! - Coin Engineer<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"After Bitcoin fell below the $100,000 level, Arthur Hayes and Matt Hougan shared their Bitcoin targets! 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