{"id":57042,"date":"2025-11-15T14:00:20","date_gmt":"2025-11-15T11:00:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/?p=57042"},"modified":"2025-11-15T10:39:19","modified_gmt":"2025-11-15T07:39:19","slug":"sharp-divide-emerges-at-the-fed-ahead-of-december-rate-decision","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/sharp-divide-emerges-at-the-fed-ahead-of-december-rate-decision\/","title":{"rendered":"Sharp Divide Emerges at the Fed Ahead of December Rate Decision"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-start=\"261\" data-end=\"620\">As the Federal Reserve\u2019s (<a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/fed-rate-cut-expectations-for-december-slump-latest-market-signals\/\"><strong>Fed<\/strong><\/a>) December meeting draws closer, expectations for a potential <a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/fed-rate-cut-expectations-for-december-slump-latest-market-signals\/\"><strong>rate cut<\/strong> <\/a>are becoming increasingly polarized within the institution. Remarks from Fed officials Lorie Logan and Stephen <strong>Miran<\/strong> have revealed a clear split, adding uncertainty to the policy outlook and prompting markets to reassess the likelihood of a shift in interest rates.<\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_71 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 eztoc-toggle-hide-by-default' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/sharp-divide-emerges-at-the-fed-ahead-of-december-rate-decision\/#FED_Lorie_Logan_%E2%80%9CConditions_Do_Not_Support_a_Cut_in_December%E2%80%9D\" title=\"FED Lorie Logan: \u201cConditions Do Not Support a Cut in December\u201d\">FED Lorie Logan: \u201cConditions Do Not Support a Cut in December\u201d<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/sharp-divide-emerges-at-the-fed-ahead-of-december-rate-decision\/#FED_Stephen_Miran_%E2%80%9CRecent_Data_Supports_a_More_Dovish_Approach%E2%80%9D\" title=\"FED Stephen Miran: \u201cRecent Data Supports a More Dovish Approach\u201d\">FED Stephen Miran: \u201cRecent Data Supports a More Dovish Approach\u201d<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/sharp-divide-emerges-at-the-fed-ahead-of-december-rate-decision\/#CME_FedWatch_Data_Market_Expectations_Tilt_Slightly_Toward_a_Hold\" title=\"CME FedWatch Data: Market Expectations Tilt Slightly Toward a Hold\">CME FedWatch Data: Market Expectations Tilt Slightly Toward a Hold<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2 data-start=\"622\" data-end=\"683\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"FED_Lorie_Logan_%E2%80%9CConditions_Do_Not_Support_a_Cut_in_December%E2%80%9D\"><\/span>FED Lorie Logan: \u201cConditions Do Not Support a Cut in December\u201d<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"685\" data-end=\"934\">Lorie Logan, known for her hawkish stance, made it clear that she does not support a rate cut at the upcoming meeting. Logan had already opposed a reduction in October, citing persistent inflation risks, and her latest comments reaffirm that stance.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"936\" data-end=\"1163\">According to Logan, recent data does not provide convincing evidence that inflation is easing fast enough. She emphasized that price pressures remain above target and that the downward trajectory is not yet strong or sustained.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1165\" data-end=\"1178\">Logan stated:<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1180\" data-end=\"1463\">\u201cWhen I look toward the December meeting, I would need to see strong evidence that inflation is falling faster than expected or that the labor market is cooling more significantly than the gradual slowdown we have observed. Without that, it is difficult to support another rate cut.\u201d<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"1465\" data-end=\"1528\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"FED_Stephen_Miran_%E2%80%9CRecent_Data_Supports_a_More_Dovish_Approach%E2%80%9D\"><\/span>FED Stephen Miran: \u201cRecent Data Supports a More Dovish Approach\u201d<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"1530\" data-end=\"1758\">In contrast, Fed official Stephen Miran argues that the economic indicators since September have shifted in favor of easing monetary policy. Miran believes the data now presents a compelling case for a more accommodative stance.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1760\" data-end=\"1974\">He pointed out that inflation has performed better than anticipated and that the labor market has weakened in a noticeable way. For Miran, these factors suggest that a tighter policy posture is no longer necessary.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1976\" data-end=\"2129\">\u201cAll the data we have received supports a more dovish view. Under these conditions, we should be moving toward easing rather than the opposite,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"2131\" data-end=\"2200\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"CME_FedWatch_Data_Market_Expectations_Tilt_Slightly_Toward_a_Hold\"><\/span>CME FedWatch Data: Market Expectations Tilt Slightly Toward a Hold<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"2202\" data-end=\"2394\">The latest CME FedWatch Tool projections illustrate how traders are pricing in the upcoming decision. With 25 days remaining until the December 10 FOMC meeting, probabilities stand as follows:<\/p>\n<ul data-start=\"2396\" data-end=\"2485\">\n<li data-start=\"2396\" data-end=\"2422\">\n<p data-start=\"2398\" data-end=\"2422\">350\u2013375 bps: 44.4%<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"2423\" data-end=\"2461\">\n<p data-start=\"2425\" data-end=\"2461\">375\u2013400 bps (no change): 55.6%<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"2462\" data-end=\"2485\">\n<p data-start=\"2464\" data-end=\"2485\">400\u2013425 bps: 0%<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-182567 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/fed-rate-cut.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1041\" height=\"605\" \/><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2487\" data-end=\"2571\">These figures indicate that markets currently see a hold as the most likely outcome.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2573\" data-end=\"2745\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\">As the meeting approaches, the divergence between Logan and Miran will continue to shape market sentiment, signaling that the Fed\u2019s internal debate may be far from settled.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2573\" data-end=\"2745\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\"><em>You can also freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, don\u2019t forget to follow us on our\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/coinengineernews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Telegram,<\/a>\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@CoinEngineer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">YouTube<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/coinengineers\">Twitter<\/a>\u00a0channels for the latest news and updates.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As the Federal Reserve\u2019s (Fed) December meeting draws closer, expectations for a potential rate cut are becoming increasingly polarized within the institution. Remarks from Fed officials Lorie Logan and Stephen Miran have revealed a clear split, adding uncertainty to the policy outlook and prompting markets to reassess the likelihood of a shift in interest rates.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":29,"featured_media":31793,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,2],"tags":[643,640,5867,21731,25641,24840,2297,8132,3310],"class_list":["post-57042","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-crypto-news","category-news","tag-economy","tag-fed","tag-interest-rate","tag-jobless","tag-logan","tag-miran","tag-powell","tag-rate-cut","tag-trump"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Sharp Divide Emerges at the Fed Ahead of December Rate Decision - Coin Engineer<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Fed December meeting draws closer, expectations for a potential rate cut are becoming increasingly polarized within the institution.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/sharp-divide-emerges-at-the-fed-ahead-of-december-rate-decision\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Sharp Divide Emerges at the Fed Ahead of December Rate Decision - 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