{"id":57639,"date":"2025-11-22T11:11:03","date_gmt":"2025-11-22T08:11:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/?p=57639"},"modified":"2025-11-22T09:54:39","modified_gmt":"2025-11-22T06:54:39","slug":"bitcoin-investors-turn-optimistic-as-rate-cut-expectations-double","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/bitcoin-investors-turn-optimistic-as-rate-cut-expectations-double\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Investors Turn Optimistic as Rate Cut Expectations Double"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-start=\"282\" data-end=\"672\">After weeks of downward pressure in the crypto market, sentiment among <a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/expectations-of-a-bitcoin-drop-rise-polymarket-raises-probability-to-75\/\"><strong>Bitcoin<\/strong> <\/a>investors has begun to shift. Expectations that the United States Federal Reserve (<a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/fed-chair-williams-signals-interest-rate-cuts-ahead\/\"><strong>Fed<\/strong><\/a>) could deliver a rate cut at its December meeting have risen sharply, giving BTC holders renewed confidence. This sudden jump in odds has led some analysts to speculate that Bitcoin may be close to establishing a temporary bottom.<\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_71 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 eztoc-toggle-hide-by-default' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/bitcoin-investors-turn-optimistic-as-rate-cut-expectations-double\/#Rate_Cut_Probability_Nearly_Doubles_Within_24_Hours\" title=\"Rate Cut Probability Nearly Doubles Within 24 Hours\">Rate Cut Probability Nearly Doubles Within 24 Hours<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/bitcoin-investors-turn-optimistic-as-rate-cut-expectations-double\/#Dovish_Fed_Comments_Boost_Market_Confidence\" title=\"Dovish Fed Comments Boost Market Confidence\">Dovish Fed Comments Boost Market Confidence<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/bitcoin-investors-turn-optimistic-as-rate-cut-expectations-double\/#Analysts_Highlight_a_%E2%80%9CHistorically_Bullish%E2%80%9D_Setup\" title=\"Analysts Highlight a \u201cHistorically Bullish\u201d Setup\">Analysts Highlight a \u201cHistorically Bullish\u201d Setup<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/bitcoin-investors-turn-optimistic-as-rate-cut-expectations-double\/#Market_Sentiment_Weak_but_Pricing_Dynamics_Are_Shifting\" title=\"Market Sentiment Weak, but Pricing Dynamics Are Shifting\">Market Sentiment Weak, but Pricing Dynamics Are Shifting<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2 data-start=\"679\" data-end=\"737\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Rate_Cut_Probability_Nearly_Doubles_Within_24_Hours\"><\/span>Rate Cut Probability Nearly Doubles Within 24 Hours<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"739\" data-end=\"1042\">According to data from the CME FedWatch Tool, the likelihood of a rate cut at the December FOMC meeting surged to 69.40% on Friday. Just one day earlier, the expectation stood at 39.10%. This dramatic shift reflects a broader revival in market risk appetite, even as Bitcoin continues to face sell-offs.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_183884\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-183884\" style=\"width: 1023px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-183884 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/fed-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1023\" height=\"473\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-183884\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">22 November<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p data-start=\"1044\" data-end=\"1347\">Bitcoin has fallen more than 10% over the past week, currently trading around $85,071. Still, some analysts argue that the rising probability of a policy easing cycle could help stabilize the asset. Crypto analyst Moritz noted that the change in expectations may be enough \u201cto find a short-term bottom.\u201d<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"1354\" data-end=\"1404\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Dovish_Fed_Comments_Boost_Market_Confidence\"><\/span>Dovish Fed Comments Boost Market Confidence<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"1406\" data-end=\"1739\">The surge in market optimism was partly fueled by comments from New York Fed President John Williams, who said the central bank could cut rates \u201cin the near term\u201d without jeopardizing its inflation mandate. Bloomberg analyst Joe Weisenthal pointed out that these remarks were a major driver behind the surge in rate-cut expectations.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1741\" data-end=\"2049\">Not everyone is fully convinced. Economist Mohamed El-Erian cautioned market watchers against becoming overly enthusiastic. However, sentiment across the crypto community remains notably more positive, with many analysts emphasizing that lower interest rates historically support risk assets such as Bitcoin.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"2056\" data-end=\"2112\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Analysts_Highlight_a_%E2%80%9CHistorically_Bullish%E2%80%9D_Setup\"><\/span>Analysts Highlight a \u201cHistorically Bullish\u201d Setup<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"2114\" data-end=\"2482\">Commenting on the new macro backdrop, analyst Jesse Eckel said the broader setup looks \u201chistorically bullish.\u201d He questioned why Bitcoin continues to decline while the market transitions from a tightening phase into a potential easing cycle. Similarly, analyst Curb argued that the change in monetary conditions could trigger a powerful rally across the crypto market.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"2489\" data-end=\"2552\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Market_Sentiment_Weak_but_Pricing_Dynamics_Are_Shifting\"><\/span>Market Sentiment Weak, but Pricing Dynamics Are Shifting<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"2554\" data-end=\"2803\">Coinbase Institutional noted that markets may have mispriced the probability of a rate cut due to lingering inflation concerns. Research pointing to the short-term disinflationary impact of tariff increases could also strengthen the case for easing.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2805\" data-end=\"2985\">Despite the improving macro signals, overall market sentiment remains fragile. The Crypto Fear &amp; Greed Index dipped to 14 on Friday, marking another day in the \u201cExtreme Fear\u201d zone.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2805\" data-end=\"2985\">You can also freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, don\u2019t forget to follow us on our\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/coinengineernews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Telegram,\u00a0<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@CoinEngineer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">YouTube<\/a>,\u00a0and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/coinengineers\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Twitter<\/a>\u00a0ch<em>annels for the latest\u00a0<a title=\"News\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/news\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"7\">news<\/a>\u00a0and updates.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>After weeks of downward pressure in the crypto market, sentiment among Bitcoin investors has begun to shift. Expectations that the United States Federal Reserve (Fed) could deliver a rate cut at its December meeting have risen sharply, giving BTC holders renewed confidence. This sudden jump in odds has led some analysts to speculate that Bitcoin<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":29,"featured_media":53849,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,2],"tags":[61,944,60,640,8132],"class_list":["post-57639","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-crypto-news","category-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-news","tag-btc","tag-fed","tag-rate-cut"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin Investors Turn Optimistic as Rate Cut Expectations Double - Coin Engineer<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Fed could deliver a rate cut at its December meeting have risen sharply, giving Bitcoin holders renewed confidence.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/bitcoin-investors-turn-optimistic-as-rate-cut-expectations-double\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bitcoin Investors Turn Optimistic as Rate Cut Expectations Double - 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