{"id":58239,"date":"2025-11-30T17:00:06","date_gmt":"2025-11-30T14:00:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/?p=58239"},"modified":"2025-11-30T14:30:27","modified_gmt":"2025-11-30T11:30:27","slug":"bitcoin-nearly-mirrors-2022-bear-market-in-late-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/bitcoin-nearly-mirrors-2022-bear-market-in-late-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Nearly Mirrors 2022 Bear Market in Late 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-start=\"176\" data-end=\"439\"><strong>Bitcoin<\/strong> is almost perfectly repeating the 2022 <strong>bear market<\/strong> in the final quarter of 2025. Recent research shows <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/bitcoin-mining-difficulty-december-hashprice\/\">BTC<\/a> price<\/strong> movements exhibit an astonishingly high correlation with the past. Daily correlation has reached 80%, while monthly correlation has hit 98%.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"441\" data-end=\"722\">This trend raises questions for investors about BTC expectations as the year-end approaches. November 2025 ranks among the weakest periods on record. Historical data suggests that a red November often leads to continued pressure in December, though the decline is usually milder.<\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_71 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 eztoc-toggle-hide-by-default' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/bitcoin-nearly-mirrors-2022-bear-market-in-late-2025\/#Why_BTC_Price_Disappointed_Bulls\" title=\"Why BTC Price Disappointed Bulls\">Why BTC Price Disappointed Bulls<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/bitcoin-nearly-mirrors-2022-bear-market-in-late-2025\/#Institutional_Investors_Return_to_Crypto\" title=\"Institutional Investors Return to Crypto\">Institutional Investors Return to Crypto<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/bitcoin-nearly-mirrors-2022-bear-market-in-late-2025\/#Crypto_ETFs_Boost_Investor_Sentiment\" title=\"Crypto ETFs Boost Investor Sentiment\">Crypto ETFs Boost Investor Sentiment<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/bitcoin-nearly-mirrors-2022-bear-market-in-late-2025\/#History_Repeats_But_Investors_Should_Be_Prepared\" title=\"History Repeats, But Investors Should Be Prepared\">History Repeats, But Investors Should Be Prepared<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2 data-start=\"724\" data-end=\"762\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Why_BTC_Price_Disappointed_Bulls\"><\/span>Why BTC Price Disappointed Bulls<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"764\" data-end=\"984\">Bitcoin has fallen 36% from its all-time highs, shaking the confidence of bullish investors. Network economist Timothy Peterson noted on Twitter (X) that BTC\u2019s second-half 2025 performance almost entirely mirrors 2022.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"986\" data-end=\"1153\">Commenting on November\u2019s performance, Peterson wrote, \u201cIt feels bad because it is bad.\u201d His words summarize why investors remain cautious amid short-term volatility.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"1155\" data-end=\"1201\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Institutional_Investors_Return_to_Crypto\"><\/span>Institutional Investors Return to Crypto<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"1203\" data-end=\"1486\">Meanwhile, rising risk appetite and institutional interest indicate potential year-end market recovery. According to Bloomberg and JPMorgan data, U.S. equity funds have received $900 billion in new capital since November 2024, with $450 billion added in the last five months alone.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1488\" data-end=\"1658\">By contrast, other asset classes have only seen $100 billion inflows. This demonstrates that equities have attracted more capital than all other asset classes combined.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"1660\" data-end=\"1702\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Crypto_ETFs_Boost_Investor_Sentiment\"><\/span>Crypto ETFs Boost Investor Sentiment<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"1704\" data-end=\"1975\">Bitcoin and Ether ETFs indicate that the peak of institutional crypto sell-offs may be behind us. During Thanksgiving week, BTC ETFs recorded $220 million in inflows, while Ether ETFs added $312 million. These figures signal renewed investor interest in digital assets.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1977\" data-end=\"2173\">Experts suggest that BTC may not experience a true price rebound until Q1 2026. However, the growing appetite for risk assets and ETF inflows provide hope for a potential year-end \u201cSanta rally.\u201d<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"2175\" data-end=\"2230\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"History_Repeats_But_Investors_Should_Be_Prepared\"><\/span>History Repeats, But Investors Should Be Prepared<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"2232\" data-end=\"2532\">As 2025 draws to a close, Bitcoin mirrors the previous bear market trend. Weak performance in November may extend into December, albeit with a lighter decline. Institutional capital and ETF inflows could provide positive momentum, making preparation for short-term volatility crucial for investors.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2232\" data-end=\"2532\"><em>You can also freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, don\u2019t forget to follow us on our\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/coinengineernews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Telegram,\u00a0<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@CoinEngineer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">YouTube<\/a>,\u00a0and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/coinengineers\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Twitter<\/a>\u00a0channels for the latest\u00a0<a title=\"News\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/news\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"7\">news<\/a>\u00a0and updates.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin is almost perfectly repeating the 2022 bear market in the final quarter of 2025. Recent research shows BTC price movements exhibit an astonishingly high correlation with the past. Daily correlation has reached 80%, while monthly correlation has hit 98%. This trend raises questions for investors about BTC expectations as the year-end approaches. November 2025<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":36,"featured_media":48000,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,2],"tags":[108,61,9689,3491,5760,1000,6538,22179,24083],"class_list":["post-58239","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-crypto-news","category-news","tag-bear-market","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc-price-analysis","tag-crypto-etfs","tag-digital-assets","tag-ethereum-etf","tag-institutional-investors","tag-market-correlation","tag-year-end-rally"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin Nearly Mirrors 2022 Bear Market in Late 2025 - Coin Engineer<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin 2025 nearly mirrors the 2022 bear market; ETF inflows and institutional interest signal possible year-end market recovery.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/bitcoin-nearly-mirrors-2022-bear-market-in-late-2025\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bitcoin Nearly Mirrors 2022 Bear Market in Late 2025 - Coin Engineer\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Bitcoin 2025 nearly mirrors the 2022 bear market; 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