{"id":58823,"date":"2025-12-07T10:00:46","date_gmt":"2025-12-07T07:00:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/?p=58823"},"modified":"2025-12-07T00:59:35","modified_gmt":"2025-12-06T21:59:35","slug":"can-bitcoin-recover-in-december-macro-forces-come-into-play","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/can-bitcoin-recover-in-december-macro-forces-come-into-play\/","title":{"rendered":"Can Bitcoin Recover in December? Macro Forces Come Into Play"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-start=\"253\" data-end=\"686\">After a challenging November, the crypto market is entering December with renewed speculation about whether <a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/a-move-not-seen-in-bitcoin-for-10-years-bloomberg-data-surprises\/\"><strong>Bitcoin<\/strong> <\/a>(BTC) could stage a recovery. Analysts at Coinbase Institutional point to improving global <a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/the-fed-ends-tightening-and-injects-major-liquidity-into-the-system\/\"><strong>liquidity<\/strong> <\/a>conditions and rising expectations of an imminent Federal Reserve rate cut as potential catalysts. Still, the decisive factor for the market\u2019s short-term trajectory may be the tone adopted by Fed Chair Jerome Powell.<\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_71 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 eztoc-toggle-hide-by-default' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/can-bitcoin-recover-in-december-macro-forces-come-into-play\/#Liquidity_Expansion_and_Fed_Expectations_Shape_Market_Outlook\" title=\"Liquidity Expansion and Fed Expectations Shape Market Outlook\">Liquidity Expansion and Fed Expectations Shape Market Outlook<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/can-bitcoin-recover-in-december-macro-forces-come-into-play\/#Powells_Messaging_Could_Set_the_Tone_for_Early_2026\" title=\"Powell\u2019s Messaging Could Set the Tone for Early 2026\">Powell\u2019s Messaging Could Set the Tone for Early 2026<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/can-bitcoin-recover-in-december-macro-forces-come-into-play\/#Technical_Signals_Improve_but_Macro_Drivers_Dominate\" title=\"Technical Signals Improve, but Macro Drivers Dominate\">Technical Signals Improve, but Macro Drivers Dominate<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2 data-start=\"693\" data-end=\"761\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Liquidity_Expansion_and_Fed_Expectations_Shape_Market_Outlook\"><\/span>Liquidity Expansion and Fed Expectations Shape Market Outlook<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"763\" data-end=\"1162\">Coinbase highlights that the expansion in global M2 money supply and the growing probability of a December rate cut\u2014now exceeding 90 percent\u2014are setting a supportive backdrop for digital assets. In its latest assessment, the institution noted that strengthening liquidity conditions, combined with expectations of monetary policy easing, may help crypto markets regain momentum before the year ends.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1164\" data-end=\"1545\">The firm previously signaled in October that a market shift was likely toward the end of the year, driven by trends in global money supply. Despite these improving macro indicators, investor sentiment remains deeply cautious. Both institutional and retail participants appear reluctant to increase exposure, and weaker ETF inflows have left the broader market in a holding pattern.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1164\" data-end=\"1545\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-186222 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/m2.webp\" alt=\"\" width=\"1103\" height=\"674\" \/><\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"1552\" data-end=\"1611\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Powells_Messaging_Could_Set_the_Tone_for_Early_2026\"><\/span>Powell\u2019s Messaging Could Set the Tone for Early 2026<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"1613\" data-end=\"1817\">A potential rate cut in December could trigger a short-term year-end rally similar to traditional market patterns. However, what comes after that may depend largely on Powell\u2019s forward-looking guidance.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1819\" data-end=\"2159\">Nic Puckrin, analyst and co-founder of Coin Bureau, argues that easing monetary policy would remove a significant barrier for Bitcoin, opening the door to renewed upside. Yet he emphasizes that markets will scrutinize every element of Powell\u2019s press conference. Even a slightly hawkish tone, he notes, could limit the strength of any rally.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"2166\" data-end=\"2226\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Technical_Signals_Improve_but_Macro_Drivers_Dominate\"><\/span>Technical Signals Improve, but Macro Drivers Dominate<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"2228\" data-end=\"2611\">Some analysts attribute November\u2019s selling pressure to earlier hawkish Fed commentary but believe December could mark the start of a rebound. Chris Kim, CEO of Axis, points out that Bitcoin has already retested the $80,000 range and its 100-week moving average, both of which signal underlying resilience. He also notes that expanded ETF trading access is adding incremental support.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2613\" data-end=\"2871\">Looking further ahead, speculation surrounding the potential appointment of Kevin Hassett as the next Fed Chair in 2026 has introduced expectations of a more dovish policy stance. Such a shift could provide a meaningful long-term tailwind for crypto markets.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2613\" data-end=\"2871\"><em>You can also freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, don\u2019t forget to follow us on our\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/coinengineernews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Telegram,\u00a0<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@CoinEngineer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">YouTube<\/a>,\u00a0and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/coinengineers\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Twitter<\/a>\u00a0channels for the latest\u00a0<a title=\"News\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/news\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"7\">news<\/a>\u00a0and updates.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>After a challenging November, the crypto market is entering December with renewed speculation about whether Bitcoin (BTC) could stage a recovery. Analysts at Coinbase Institutional point to improving global liquidity conditions and rising expectations of an imminent Federal Reserve rate cut as potential catalysts. Still, the decisive factor for the market\u2019s short-term trajectory may be<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":29,"featured_media":56133,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,2],"tags":[61,60,640,16772,75,2297,8132],"class_list":["post-58823","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-crypto-news","category-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-fed","tag-hassett","tag-liquidity","tag-powell","tag-rate-cut"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Can Bitcoin Recover in December? 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