{"id":58996,"date":"2025-12-09T12:00:17","date_gmt":"2025-12-09T09:00:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/?p=58996"},"modified":"2025-12-09T11:31:26","modified_gmt":"2025-12-09T08:31:26","slug":"how-does-bitcoin-usually-react-after-fed-meetings","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/how-does-bitcoin-usually-react-after-fed-meetings\/","title":{"rendered":"How Does Bitcoin Usually React After Fed Meetings?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-start=\"291\" data-end=\"665\">This week, attention across the crypto market has once again turned toward the U.S. <a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/bitcoin-fails-to-break-92000-as-investors-await-fed\/\"><strong>Fed<\/strong><\/a>. Although <a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/harvard-university-sees-huge-increase-in-bitcoin-etf-investment\/\"><strong>Bitcoin<\/strong><\/a> started the week with a positive tone, selling pressure returned as the upcoming interest rate decision approached. Investors are closely watching whether Bitcoin can regain bullish momentum after the Fed\u2019s decision\u2014or if history is about to repeat itself.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"667\" data-end=\"900\">Past performance suggests that expectations often exceed reality when it comes to Bitcoin\u2019s reaction following Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This raises an important question: can Bitcoin break the pattern this time?<\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_71 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 eztoc-toggle-hide-by-default' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/how-does-bitcoin-usually-react-after-fed-meetings\/#A_Look_at_Bitcoins_FOMC_Track_Record_in_2025\" title=\"A Look at Bitcoin\u2019s FOMC Track Record in 2025\">A Look at Bitcoin\u2019s FOMC Track Record in 2025<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/how-does-bitcoin-usually-react-after-fed-meetings\/#Correction_Risk_Ahead_of_the_Next_Decision\" title=\"Correction Risk Ahead of the Next Decision\">Correction Risk Ahead of the Next Decision<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/how-does-bitcoin-usually-react-after-fed-meetings\/#Matrixport_Maintains_a_Cautious_Outlook\" title=\"Matrixport Maintains a Cautious Outlook\">Matrixport Maintains a Cautious Outlook<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/how-does-bitcoin-usually-react-after-fed-meetings\/#Market_Sentiment_Remains_on_Standby\" title=\"Market Sentiment Remains on Standby\">Market Sentiment Remains on Standby<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2 data-start=\"902\" data-end=\"950\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"A_Look_at_Bitcoins_FOMC_Track_Record_in_2025\"><\/span>A Look at Bitcoin\u2019s FOMC Track Record in 2025<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"952\" data-end=\"1288\">According to data shared by crypto analyst Ali Martinez, Bitcoin has struggled to sustain gains after FOMC meetings throughout 2025. Out of seven meetings held this year, Bitcoin managed to post a meaningful rally only once. That exception came after the May seventh FOMC meeting, when the price surged by approximately fifteen percent.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1290\" data-end=\"1670\">In contrast, several meetings triggered sharp declines. Bitcoin recorded its steepest drop in January, falling close to twenty-nine percent. Additional notable losses were seen in October with a nineteen percent pullback and in March with a twelve percent decline. These figures suggest that the market has frequently responded with risk-off behavior following Fed policy updates.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1290\" data-end=\"1670\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-184400 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/powell-qt.avif\" alt=\"\" width=\"960\" height=\"640\" \/><\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"1672\" data-end=\"1717\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Correction_Risk_Ahead_of_the_Next_Decision\"><\/span>Correction Risk Ahead of the Next Decision<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"1719\" data-end=\"2084\">Based on these historical patterns, Martinez warns that Bitcoin could face another downside move if the upcoming FOMC meeting fails to deliver a clear bullish catalyst. In particular, heavily leveraged positions are seen as a major vulnerability in the current environment. Without a strong positive macro signal, the market may struggle to sustain upward momentum.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"2086\" data-end=\"2128\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Matrixport_Maintains_a_Cautious_Outlook\"><\/span>Matrixport Maintains a Cautious Outlook<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"2130\" data-end=\"2466\">Market intelligence firm Matrixport echoes this cautious tone. While Bitcoin has displayed short-term technical strength, the firm believes that uncertainty remains unresolved ahead of the Fed\u2019s decision. According to their assessment, the current price stability alone is not sufficient to confirm the beginning of a new bullish phase.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2468\" data-end=\"2741\">Matrixport also emphasizes that the final weeks of the year are often associated with deleveraging and risk reduction across financial markets. As a result, short-term recoveries may present opportunities to trim exposure rather than initiate aggressive new long positions.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"2743\" data-end=\"2781\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Market_Sentiment_Remains_on_Standby\"><\/span>Market Sentiment Remains on Standby<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"2783\" data-end=\"3129\">In summary, historical FOMC data paints a largely negative picture for Bitcoin\u2019s post-meeting performance in 2025. As traders brace for the next Fed decision, the broader market appears locked in a cautious wait-and-see mode. A sustained rally would likely require a strong shift in macroeconomic signals\u2014something that remains uncertain for now.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3131\" data-end=\"3182\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\">This content does not constitute investment advice.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3131\" data-end=\"3182\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\"><em>You can freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, don\u2019t forget to follow us on our\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/coinengineernews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Telegram\u00a0 ,<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@CoinEngineer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">YouTube<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/coinengineers\">Twitter<\/a>\u00a0channels for the latest news and updates.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This week, attention across the crypto market has once again turned toward the U.S. Fed. Although Bitcoin started the week with a positive tone, selling pressure returned as the upcoming interest rate decision approached. Investors are closely watching whether Bitcoin can regain bullish momentum after the Fed\u2019s decision\u2014or if history is about to repeat itself.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":29,"featured_media":58997,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,2],"tags":[61,60,640,1477,2297,8132],"class_list":["post-58996","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-crypto-news","category-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-fed","tag-fomc","tag-powell","tag-rate-cut"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>How Does Bitcoin Usually React After Fed Meetings? - Coin Engineer<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"All eyes are on the Fed again this week in the cryptocurrency markets. 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