{"id":59114,"date":"2025-12-10T14:08:10","date_gmt":"2025-12-10T11:08:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/?p=59114"},"modified":"2025-12-10T14:08:10","modified_gmt":"2025-12-10T11:08:10","slug":"standard-chartered-lowers-its-bitcoin-outlook-target-date-adjusted","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/standard-chartered-lowers-its-bitcoin-outlook-target-date-adjusted\/","title":{"rendered":"Standard Chartered Lowers Its Bitcoin Outlook, Target Date Adjusted"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>One of the world\u2019s leading banks, <strong>Standard Chartered<\/strong>, has made a notable revision to its long-term <strong>Bitcoin<\/strong> price forecasts. The bank\u2019s analysts cut their year-end target from $200,000 down to $100,000, effectively halving their previous estimate. Additionally, the long-term target of $500,000, previously expected for 2028, has now been pushed back to 2030. According to analysts, the main reason for this sharp downward adjustment is the lack of a new catalyst to fuel Bitcoin\u2019s upward momentum.<\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_71 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 eztoc-toggle-hide-by-default' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/standard-chartered-lowers-its-bitcoin-outlook-target-date-adjusted\/#Major_Revision_in_Bitcoin_Forecasts\" title=\"Major Revision in Bitcoin Forecasts\">Major Revision in Bitcoin Forecasts<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/standard-chartered-lowers-its-bitcoin-outlook-target-date-adjusted\/#%E2%80%9CETF_Inflows_Are_the_Only_Strong_Support_Left%E2%80%9D\" title=\"\u201cETF Inflows Are the Only Strong Support Left\u201d\">\u201cETF Inflows Are the Only Strong Support Left\u201d<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/standard-chartered-lowers-its-bitcoin-outlook-target-date-adjusted\/#%E2%80%9CNo_New_Catalyst_for_a_Rally%E2%80%9D\" title=\"\u201cNo New Catalyst for a Rally\u201d\">\u201cNo New Catalyst for a Rally\u201d<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/standard-chartered-lowers-its-bitcoin-outlook-target-date-adjusted\/#Assessment\" title=\"Assessment\">Assessment<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2 data-start=\"563\" data-end=\"603\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Major_Revision_in_Bitcoin_Forecasts\"><\/span>Major Revision in Bitcoin Forecasts<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"604\" data-end=\"1023\">The <strong>Standard Chartered<\/strong> analysis team, led by Geoffrey Kendrick, announced significant changes to their projections in a newly published report. The report states that demand growth has progressed more slowly than expected and the market has failed to maintain its previous pace. As a result, the $200,000 year-end target has been reduced to $100,000, while the long-term $500,000 target has been postponed by two years.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1025\" data-end=\"1044\">Kendrick commented:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p data-start=\"1046\" data-end=\"1286\">\u201cThe main reason for lowering our Bitcoin target is that demand is not as strong as it used to be. The long-term target remains $500,000, but the expected date has been moved from 2028 to 2030. Demand growth is slower than anticipated.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<h2 data-start=\"1288\" data-end=\"1339\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E2%80%9CETF_Inflows_Are_the_Only_Strong_Support_Left%E2%80%9D\"><\/span>\u201cETF Inflows Are the Only Strong Support Left\u201d<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"1340\" data-end=\"1641\">The report highlights that Bitcoin\u2019s recent resilience is largely dependent on spot ETF inflows. According to the analysts, corporate treasury purchases have decreased significantly, leaving ETF flows as nearly the only remaining driver supporting Bitcoin\u2019s price strength. Based on the report\u2019s data:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li data-start=\"1645\" data-end=\"1724\">Over the past three months, spot ETF inflows totaled only 50,000 BTC.<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"1727\" data-end=\"1814\">Toward the end of 2024, however, three-month inflows were around 450,000 BTC.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-start=\"1816\" data-end=\"1958\">This stark contrast shows that weakening ETF demand is narrowing the structural support behind Bitcoin. The analysts summarized the situation:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p data-start=\"1960\" data-end=\"2073\">\u201cBitcoin\u2019s price is essentially walking on a single leg\u2014ETFs. But ETF inflows have also weakened noticeably.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<h2 data-start=\"2075\" data-end=\"2109\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E2%80%9CNo_New_Catalyst_for_a_Rally%E2%80%9D\"><\/span>\u201cNo New Catalyst for a Rally\u201d<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"2110\" data-end=\"2389\">The report states that there is currently no clear catalyst in the market to trigger a strong upward trend for Bitcoin in the near term. Although tomorrow\u2019s expected Fed decision could include a rate cut, analysts believe the key factor will be Powell\u2019s messaging regarding 2026.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2391\" data-end=\"2408\">The report noted:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p data-start=\"2410\" data-end=\"2731\">\u201cPolitical pressure on the Fed is affecting risk assets. While the market is optimistic about tomorrow\u2019s rate cut, Powell\u2019s signals for 2026 will be the real determinant. Hassett\u2019s appointment to the Fed could lead to a more expansionary policy, but at the moment there is no new catalyst to support a Bitcoin rally.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<h2 data-start=\"2733\" data-end=\"2748\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Assessment\"><\/span>Assessment<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"2749\" data-end=\"3313\">Standard Chartered\u2019s decision to halve its Bitcoin target and postpone its long-term forecasts by two years is seen as a major indication of slowing demand in the market. Although spot ETF inflows remain a key supportive factor for Bitcoin, the weakening of these flows has prompted a cautious revision of expectations. When combined with uncertainty surrounding Fed policy and declining institutional demand, the analysts\u2019 cautious approach comes as no surprise. Under these conditions, Bitcoin will likely need a much stronger catalyst to regain upward momentum.<\/p>\n<p><em class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_processed\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">You can also freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, don\u2019t forget to follow us on our\u00a0<a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/coinengineernews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">Telegram,\u00a0<\/a><a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@CoinEngineer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">YouTube<\/a>,\u00a0and\u00a0<a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/coinengineers\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">Twitter<\/a>\u00a0channels for the latest\u00a0<a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" title=\"News\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/news\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"7\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">news<\/a>\u00a0and updates.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>One of the world\u2019s leading banks, Standard Chartered, has made a notable revision to its long-term Bitcoin price forecasts. The bank\u2019s analysts cut their year-end target from $200,000 down to $100,000, effectively halving their previous estimate. Additionally, the long-term target of $500,000, previously expected for 2028, has now been pushed back to 2030. According to<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":37,"featured_media":34671,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,2],"tags":[1766,393,840,336,58,2243],"class_list":["post-59114","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-crypto-news","category-news","tag-bitcoin-btc","tag-crypto","tag-crypto-market","tag-cryptocurrencies","tag-cryptocurrency","tag-standard-chartered"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Standard Chartered Lowers Its Bitcoin Outlook<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"One of the world\u2019s leading banks, Standard Chartered, has made a notable revision to its long-term Bitcoin price forecasts.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" 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