{"id":59884,"date":"2025-12-20T11:00:09","date_gmt":"2025-12-20T08:00:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/?p=59884"},"modified":"2025-12-20T09:21:58","modified_gmt":"2025-12-20T06:21:58","slug":"hayes-there-is-always-an-altcoin-season","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/hayes-there-is-always-an-altcoin-season\/","title":{"rendered":"Hayes: \u201cThere Is Always an Altcoin Season\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-start=\"47\" data-end=\"457\">The question of when the next \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/is-the-altcoin-season-being-delayed\/\"><strong>altcoin season<\/strong><\/a>\u201d will begin continues to dominate discussions in the crypto market. While many investors are waiting for a broad-based rally similar to previous cycles, BitMEX co-founder <a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/arthur-hayes-stands-firm-on-his-bold-year-end-bitcoin-target\/\"><strong>Arthur Hayes<\/strong><\/a> offers a fundamentally different interpretation. According to Hayes, the idea that altcoin season has not yet arrived is misleading \u2014 because, in his view, it never actually ended.<\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_71 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 eztoc-toggle-hide-by-default' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/hayes-there-is-always-an-altcoin-season\/#Rethinking_the_Concept_of_Altcoin_Season\" title=\"Rethinking the Concept of Altcoin Season\">Rethinking the Concept of Altcoin Season<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/hayes-there-is-always-an-altcoin-season\/#The_Risk_of_Looking_Backward\" title=\"The Risk of Looking Backward\">The Risk of Looking Backward<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/hayes-there-is-always-an-altcoin-season\/#Standout_Performers_in_the_Current_Cycle\" title=\"Standout Performers in the Current Cycle\">Standout Performers in the Current Cycle<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/hayes-there-is-always-an-altcoin-season\/#A_Divided_Industry_Perspective\" title=\"A Divided Industry Perspective\">A Divided Industry Perspective<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/hayes-there-is-always-an-altcoin-season\/#A_More_Selective_Market_Environment\" title=\"A More Selective Market Environment\">A More Selective Market Environment<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2 data-start=\"459\" data-end=\"502\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Rethinking_the_Concept_of_Altcoin_Season\"><\/span>Rethinking the Concept of Altcoin Season<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"504\" data-end=\"900\">Speaking during a recent podcast appearance, Hayes argued that there are always altcoins outperforming the market at any given time. He suggests that investors who believe altcoin season has not occurred are likely those who failed to hold the assets that appreciated the most. This perspective challenges the widely held belief that altcoin season must follow a predictable, market-wide pattern.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"902\" data-end=\"1159\">Hayes emphasizes that many traders are still anchored to past cycles, expecting history to repeat itself in the same way. However, the crypto market has evolved significantly, and relying too heavily on historical playbooks may lead to missed opportunities.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"1161\" data-end=\"1192\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"The_Risk_of_Looking_Backward\"><\/span>The Risk of Looking Backward<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"1194\" data-end=\"1590\">One of Hayes\u2019 central points is that investors often assume the next altcoin rally will feature the same projects and narratives as the last one. This mindset, he warns, can be counterproductive. Markets reward innovation and new trends, not familiarity. According to Hayes, each cycle introduces fresh themes, and successful traders are those who adapt rather than cling to outdated assumptions.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"1592\" data-end=\"1635\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Standout_Performers_in_the_Current_Cycle\"><\/span>Standout Performers in the Current Cycle<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"1637\" data-end=\"1988\">To support his argument, Hayes highlights specific examples from the current market cycle. He points to Hyperliquid as one of the strongest stories so far, noting its rise from low single-digit prices to around $60. Such performance, he argues, demonstrates that meaningful altcoin rallies have already taken place \u2014 just not across the entire market.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1637\" data-end=\"1988\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-188161 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/hyperliquid.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1027\" height=\"476\" \/><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1990\" data-end=\"2302\">Hayes also references Solana as another example. After collapsing to near $7 during the 2022 downturn, Solana rebounded sharply, climbing close to $300 earlier this year. These moves, in his view, are clear evidence that capital has rotated into select altcoins, even if a broad-based rally has not materialized.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"2304\" data-end=\"2337\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"A_Divided_Industry_Perspective\"><\/span>A Divided Industry Perspective<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"2339\" data-end=\"2715\">Not everyone shares Hayes\u2019 outlook. Some market participants believe the next altcoin season will be driven primarily by established cryptocurrencies, particularly those linked to exchange-traded fund products or expected regulatory approvals. Others continue to expect a traditional sequence, with Bitcoin leading the way before capital flows into Ether and smaller altcoins.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"2717\" data-end=\"2755\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"A_More_Selective_Market_Environment\"><\/span>A More Selective Market Environment<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"2757\" data-end=\"3042\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\">Overall, the current market appears less about indiscriminate rallies and more about selective outperformance. Hayes\u2019 message is clear: altcoin season is not a single event but an ongoing process. The key difference lies in identifying which projects truly define each cycle\u2019s winners.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2757\" data-end=\"3042\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\"><em>You can freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, please don\u2019t forget to follow us on our\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/coinengineernews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Telegram\u00a0 ,<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@CoinEngineer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">YouTube<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/coinengineers\">Twitter<\/a>\u00a0channels for the latest news and updates instantly.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The question of when the next \u201caltcoin season\u201d will begin continues to dominate discussions in the crypto market. While many investors are waiting for a broad-based rally similar to previous cycles, BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes offers a fundamentally different interpretation. According to Hayes, the idea that altcoin season has not yet arrived is misleading \u2014<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":29,"featured_media":37470,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,2],"tags":[8878,2545,61,2624,105,8905,319],"class_list":["post-59884","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-crypto-news","category-news","tag-altcoin-season","tag-arthur-hayes","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitmex","tag-ethereum","tag-hyperliquid","tag-solana"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Hayes: \u201cThere Is Always an Altcoin Season\u201d - Coin Engineer<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes claimed that altcoin season never ends, but is always there. 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