{"id":60147,"date":"2025-12-24T13:00:58","date_gmt":"2025-12-24T10:00:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/?p=60147"},"modified":"2025-12-24T10:34:59","modified_gmt":"2025-12-24T07:34:59","slug":"why-bitcoin-lagged-behind-gold-in-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/why-bitcoin-lagged-behind-gold-in-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Why Bitcoin Lagged Behind Gold in 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-start=\"323\" data-end=\"630\"><strong>Bitcoin<\/strong> has lagged behind gold in safe-haven demand. While <strong>gold<\/strong> and <strong>silver<\/strong> continued to gain value over the past three months, Bitcoin has remained largely sideways. XWIN Research Japan and other market analyses indicate that this divergence reflects increased investor demand for traditional safe assets.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"632\" data-end=\"874\">Geopolitical uncertainty and shifts in interest rate expectations have led institutions to allocate capital to <a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/gold-and-silver-surge-to-new-all-time-highs\/\">gold<\/a> and silver. Silver, in particular, has amplified gold\u2019s movement due to limited supply and sensitivity to speculative flows. Gold surpassed $4,500 per ounce for the first time, showing strong performance compared to Bitcoin. Silver rose to $72.27, supporting gold\u2019s movement.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"876\" data-end=\"1194\">10X Research founder Markus Thielen argues that Bitcoin\u2019s lag in 2025 is primarily because the \u201cdigital gold\u201d narrative has failed to attract institutional capital on Wall Street. While physical assets like gold and copper posted strong gains, Bitcoin did not gain enough from safe-haven or tech-focused investments.<\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_71 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 eztoc-toggle-hide-by-default' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/why-bitcoin-lagged-behind-gold-in-2025\/#Bitcoin_Investors_Remain_Cautious\" title=\"Bitcoin Investors Remain Cautious\">Bitcoin Investors Remain Cautious<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/why-bitcoin-lagged-behind-gold-in-2025\/#Macro_Factors_Limit_Bitcoins_Upside\" title=\"Macro Factors Limit Bitcoin\u2019s Upside\">Macro Factors Limit Bitcoin\u2019s Upside<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/why-bitcoin-lagged-behind-gold-in-2025\/#Bitcoin_vs_Gold_Performance\" title=\"Bitcoin vs Gold Performance\">Bitcoin vs Gold Performance<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/why-bitcoin-lagged-behind-gold-in-2025\/#What_Investors_Should_Expect\" title=\"What Investors Should Expect\">What Investors Should Expect<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h3 data-start=\"1201\" data-end=\"1240\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Bitcoin_Investors_Remain_Cautious\"><\/span>Bitcoin Investors Remain Cautious<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"1241\" data-end=\"1403\">Bitcoin is still seen as a high-volatility risk asset. In risk-off periods, capital flows first into gold and government bonds, while Bitcoin remains secondary.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1405\" data-end=\"1736\">According to CryptoQuant, apparent Bitcoin demand has turned negative. Short-Term Holder (STH) SOPR remains below 1, indicating that short-term investors are exiting at a loss or break-even, increasing selling pressure. SOPR (Spent Output Profit Ratio) measures the profit or loss of a coin by comparing purchase and sale prices.<\/p>\n<h3 data-start=\"1743\" data-end=\"1785\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Macro_Factors_Limit_Bitcoins_Upside\"><\/span>Macro Factors Limit Bitcoin\u2019s Upside<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"1786\" data-end=\"2003\">Gold and silver have long-term, less price-sensitive investor bases, whereas Bitcoin remains dependent on short-term positioning and marginal demand. Hence, macroeconomic tailwinds alone cannot drive Bitcoin higher.<\/p>\n<ul data-start=\"2005\" data-end=\"2264\">\n<li data-start=\"2005\" data-end=\"2108\">\n<p data-start=\"2007\" data-end=\"2108\">Gold prices have risen around 12% since the start of the year, supported by central bank purchases.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"2109\" data-end=\"2189\">\n<p data-start=\"2111\" data-end=\"2189\">Silver has increased about 15% due to tighter supply and speculative demand.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"2190\" data-end=\"2264\">\n<p data-start=\"2192\" data-end=\"2264\">Bitcoin, by contrast, has remained sideways, fluctuating between 3\u20135%.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3 data-start=\"2271\" data-end=\"2304\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Bitcoin_vs_Gold_Performance\"><\/span>Bitcoin vs Gold Performance<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"2305\" data-end=\"2575\">The BTC-gold ratio, which shows the amount of gold required to buy one Bitcoin, fell from roughly 40 ounces in December 2024 to 20 ounces in 2025, a 50% drop. This reflects strong gold performance and institutional inflows rather than a collapse in Bitcoin demand.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2577\" data-end=\"2841\">Central banks purchased 254 tons of gold by October, and global gold ETF assets rose by 397 tons in the first half of 2025. Bitcoin demand weakened in H2; managed assets in spot ETFs declined from $152B to $112B, and long-term holders sold more than 500,000 BTC.<\/p>\n<h3 data-start=\"2848\" data-end=\"2882\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_Investors_Should_Expect\"><\/span>What Investors Should Expect<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"2883\" data-end=\"2921\">XWIN Research Japan\u2019s base scenario:<\/p>\n<ul data-start=\"2923\" data-end=\"3061\">\n<li data-start=\"2923\" data-end=\"2980\">\n<p data-start=\"2925\" data-end=\"2980\">Gold and silver remain supported by safe-asset flows.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"2981\" data-end=\"3061\">\n<p data-start=\"2983\" data-end=\"3061\">Bitcoin\u2019s upside is limited by weak demand and short-term investor pressure.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-start=\"3063\" data-end=\"3189\">However, if apparent demand turns sustainably positive and STH SOPR stabilizes above 1, this assessment should be revisited.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3063\" data-end=\"3189\"><em class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_processed\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">You can also freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, don\u2019t forget to follow us on our\u00a0<a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/coinengineernews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">Telegram,\u00a0<\/a><a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@CoinEngineer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">YouTube<\/a>,\u00a0and\u00a0<a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/coinengineers\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">Twitter<\/a>\u00a0channels for the latest\u00a0<a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" title=\"News\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/news\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"7\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">news<\/a>\u00a0and updates.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin has lagged behind gold in safe-haven demand. While gold and silver continued to gain value over the past three months, Bitcoin has remained largely sideways. XWIN Research Japan and other market analyses indicate that this divergence reflects increased investor demand for traditional safe assets. Geopolitical uncertainty and shifts in interest rate expectations have led<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":36,"featured_media":49763,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10,2],"tags":[26617,2179,3414,26032,22152,22283,1547],"class_list":["post-60147","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economy-news","category-news","tag-btc-demand","tag-digital-gold","tag-gold-etf","tag-macro-economy","tag-safe-assets","tag-short-term-investors","tag-spot-etf"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Why Bitcoin Lagged Behind Gold in 2025 - Coin Engineer<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Gold and silver rise while Bitcoin lags in 2025. 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