{"id":61651,"date":"2026-01-14T12:00:53","date_gmt":"2026-01-14T09:00:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/?p=61651"},"modified":"2026-01-14T09:29:19","modified_gmt":"2026-01-14T06:29:19","slug":"hougan-the-clarity-act-could-end-the-crypto-winter","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/hougan-the-clarity-act-could-end-the-crypto-winter\/","title":{"rendered":"Hougan: \u201cThe CLARITY Act Could End the Crypto Winter\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-start=\"280\" data-end=\"751\">Expectations are growing that the prolonged slowdown in the <a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/11-million-crypto-tokens-collapsed-in-2025\/\">crypto<\/a> market may be approaching its final phase. One of the key catalysts behind this shift is the <strong>CLARITY Act<\/strong> currently moving through the U.S. legislative process. According to <a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/hougan-trumps-crypto-order-could-disrupt-bitcoins-4-year-cycle\/\"><strong>Matt Hougan<\/strong><\/a>, Chief Investment Officer at Bitwise Asset Management, the bill has the potential to remove long-standing regulatory uncertainty and set the stage for a renewed expansion in Bitcoin and the broader digital asset market.<\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_71 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 eztoc-toggle-hide-by-default' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/hougan-the-clarity-act-could-end-the-crypto-winter\/#Why_the_CLARITY_Act_Matters\" title=\"Why the CLARITY Act Matters\">Why the CLARITY Act Matters<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/hougan-the-clarity-act-could-end-the-crypto-winter\/#Market_Sentiment_Turns_Constructive\" title=\"Market Sentiment Turns Constructive\">Market Sentiment Turns Constructive<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/hougan-the-clarity-act-could-end-the-crypto-winter\/#Is_Bitcoins_Four-Year_Cycle_Ending\" title=\"Is Bitcoin\u2019s Four-Year Cycle Ending?\">Is Bitcoin\u2019s Four-Year Cycle Ending?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/hougan-the-clarity-act-could-end-the-crypto-winter\/#A_Structural_Shift_for_Crypto_Markets\" title=\"A Structural Shift for Crypto Markets\">A Structural Shift for Crypto Markets<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h3 data-start=\"753\" data-end=\"784\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Why_the_CLARITY_Act_Matters\"><\/span>Why the CLARITY Act Matters<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"786\" data-end=\"1112\">Introduced in May 2025 with bipartisan backing in the U.S. House of Representatives, the CLARITY Act aims to clearly define how digital assets should be regulated. Its primary objective is to resolve the long-running ambiguity around whether certain crypto assets fall under securities law or should be treated as commodities.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1114\" data-end=\"1639\">Under the proposed framework, assets categorized as digital commodities would largely fall under the oversight of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), covering spot markets, exchanges, brokers, and dealers. The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), meanwhile, would retain authority over securities-related activities and specific primary-market fundraising mechanisms. For market participants, this clearer division of responsibilities could significantly reduce compliance risk and unlock sidelined capital.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1114\" data-end=\"1639\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-190370 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/CLARITY.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1200\" height=\"630\" \/><\/p>\n<h3 data-start=\"1641\" data-end=\"1680\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Market_Sentiment_Turns_Constructive\"><\/span>Market Sentiment Turns Constructive<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"1682\" data-end=\"2033\">Hougan has compared the CLARITY Act to a signal that could determine whether the crypto market remains stuck in winter or transitions into a new growth phase. In his view, passage and enactment of the bill could pave the way for fresh all-time highs across major digital assets. Failure, on the other hand, could prolong the current period of caution.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2035\" data-end=\"2210\">Market-based probability indicators suggest growing optimism, with traders increasingly pricing in the likelihood that the legislation will be signed into law within the year.<\/p>\n<h3 data-start=\"2212\" data-end=\"2252\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Is_Bitcoins_Four-Year_Cycle_Ending\"><\/span>Is Bitcoin\u2019s Four-Year Cycle Ending?<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"2254\" data-end=\"2508\">Beyond regulation, Hougan also questions whether Bitcoin\u2019s historically referenced four-year cycle still applies. He argues that the halving\u2019s impact has diminished as new supply growth has become relatively insignificant compared to overall market size.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2510\" data-end=\"2808\">Instead, structural forces such as institutional adoption, regulatory progress, and long-term infrastructure development are now playing a larger role in shaping Bitcoin\u2019s trajectory. For the first time, Hougan suggests, Bitcoin\u2019s fundamentals appear to be leading price rather than reacting to it.<\/p>\n<h3 data-start=\"2810\" data-end=\"2851\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"A_Structural_Shift_for_Crypto_Markets\"><\/span>A Structural Shift for Crypto Markets<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"2853\" data-end=\"3221\">When viewed together, potential regulatory clarity and evolving Bitcoin market dynamics point toward a transition away from short-term cyclical behavior. If realized, this shift could mark the beginning of a more mature phase for crypto\u2014one defined by long-term trends, deeper institutional participation, and greater predictability within the global financial system.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3223\" data-end=\"3263\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\"><em data-start=\"3223\" data-end=\"3263\" data-is-last-node=\"\">This content is not investment advice.<\/em><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3223\" data-end=\"3263\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\"><em class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_processed\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">Also, you can freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, please follow us on our\u00a0<a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/coinengineernews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">Telegram,\u00a0<\/a><a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@CoinEngineer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">YouTube<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0<a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/coinengineers\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">Twitter<\/a>\u00a0channels for the latest\u00a0<a title=\"News\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/news\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"7\">news<\/a>\u00a0and updates.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Expectations are growing that the prolonged slowdown in the crypto market may be approaching its final phase. One of the key catalysts behind this shift is the CLARITY Act currently moving through the U.S. legislative process. According to Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer at Bitwise Asset Management, the bill has the potential to remove long-standing<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":29,"featured_media":61655,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,2],"tags":[61,1149,17173,393,20990,7456,5863],"class_list":["post-61651","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-crypto-news","category-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitwise","tag-clarity-act","tag-crypto","tag-cycle","tag-matt-hougan","tag-rise"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Hougan: \u201cThe CLARITY Act Could End the Crypto Winter\u201d - Coin Engineer<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"One of the key catalysts behind this shift is the CLARITY Act currently moving through the U.S. legislative process.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/hougan-the-clarity-act-could-end-the-crypto-winter\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Hougan: \u201cThe CLARITY Act Could End the Crypto Winter\u201d - 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