{"id":61706,"date":"2026-01-14T13:57:17","date_gmt":"2026-01-14T10:57:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/?p=61706"},"modified":"2026-01-14T13:57:17","modified_gmt":"2026-01-14T10:57:17","slug":"why-the-altcoin-season-hasnt-started-yet","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/why-the-altcoin-season-hasnt-started-yet\/","title":{"rendered":"Why the Altcoin Season Hasn\u2019t Started Yet"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-start=\"49\" data-end=\"238\">Crypto market investors have been wondering why the long-awaited altcoin season has not started. The expected rise in low- and mid-cap altcoins has not materialized, creating questions among investors. Experts point out that this situation is not only due to market fluctuations but also influenced by changes in investor behavior and macroeconomic factors. A detailed analysis of market dynamics is crucial to understanding the reasons behind the delay in the altcoin season.<\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_71 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 eztoc-toggle-hide-by-default' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/why-the-altcoin-season-hasnt-started-yet\/#Capital_Outflows_and_Short-Term_Rallies_in_Altcoins\" title=\"Capital Outflows and Short-Term Rallies in Altcoins\">Capital Outflows and Short-Term Rallies in Altcoins<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/why-the-altcoin-season-hasnt-started-yet\/#You_Might_Be_Interested_In_Why_Is_Bitcoin_Rising\" title=\"You Might Be Interested In: Why Is Bitcoin Rising?\">You Might Be Interested In: Why Is Bitcoin Rising?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/why-the-altcoin-season-hasnt-started-yet\/#Altcoin_Liquidity_and_Investor_Trends\" title=\"Altcoin Liquidity and Investor Trends\">Altcoin Liquidity and Investor Trends<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/why-the-altcoin-season-hasnt-started-yet\/#Assessment\" title=\"Assessment\">Assessment<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2 data-start=\"533\" data-end=\"1067\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Capital_Outflows_and_Short-Term_Rallies_in_Altcoins\"><\/span>Capital Outflows and Short-Term Rallies in Altcoins<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"533\" data-end=\"1067\">In the crypto market, altcoins are facing significant capital outflows due to an increasing risk-averse trend. Low-market-cap tokens that once stood out for high return expectations now only attract investor interest for a short period. According to an over-the-counter (OTC) crypto trading report published by market maker Wintermute, the average duration of altcoin rallies in 2025 was limited to just 20 days. In previous years, this period ranged between 40 and 60 days.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1069\" data-end=\"1600\">The report indicates that open positions in altcoin futures have declined by 55% since October, leading to the closure of positions worth over $40 billion. Jake Ostrovskis, Head of OTC Trading at Wintermute, stated that this trend is not only due to declining excitement but also because individual investors are redirecting speculative capital to different areas. Ostrovskis emphasized that investors now prefer larger, more established crypto assets, particularly Bitcoin and Ethereum, while playing macroeconomic developments.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1069\" data-end=\"1600\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-61709 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/aa-300x182.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"766\" height=\"465\" srcset=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/aa-300x182.jpg 300w, https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/aa.jpg 680w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 766px) 100vw, 766px\" \/><\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"1602\" data-end=\"1658\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"You_Might_Be_Interested_In_Why_Is_Bitcoin_Rising\"><\/span>You Might Be Interested In: Why Is Bitcoin Rising?<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"1660\" data-end=\"2087\">Recently, price movements in the crypto market have been largely driven by macroeconomic factors. U.S. President Donald Trump\u2019s statements regarding tariffs and interest rate cuts caused sharp fluctuations in Bitcoin. During the tariff announcements in April and October of last year, the market experienced strong sell-offs, while the currency depreciation trend contributed to Bitcoin reaching its all-time high in October.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1660\" data-end=\"2087\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-61710 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/retail-1-300x157.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"797\" height=\"417\" srcset=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/retail-1-300x157.jpg 300w, https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/retail-1.jpg 680w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 797px) 100vw, 797px\" \/><\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"2089\" data-end=\"2506\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Altcoin_Liquidity_and_Investor_Trends\"><\/span>Altcoin Liquidity and Investor Trends<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"2089\" data-end=\"2506\">Wintermute strategist Jasper De Maere noted that altcoin liquidity has remained stagnant, with capital shifting toward new speculative areas. De Maere recalled that crypto was the primary speculation field in 2021, whereas today, individual investor interest has shifted to the stock market, particularly themes like space, quantum, robotics, and artificial intelligence.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2508\" data-end=\"2623\">Cosmo Jiang from Pantera Capital Management stated that the overall market outlook remains weak. Jiang commented:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p data-start=\"2625\" data-end=\"2766\">\u201cAccording to most indicators, the market is still volatile and in a bearish trend. For a healthy recovery, Bitcoin needs to lead the way.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p data-start=\"2768\" data-end=\"3150\">The CoinMarketCap Altcoin Season Index shows that in the past 90 days, crypto assets outside the top 10 by market capitalization have underperformed significantly compared to large tokens. During the sharp sell-off in October, altcoin investors were particularly hit hard, with $19 billion wiped from digital assets in a single day, and no strong recovery has been observed since.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"3152\" data-end=\"3520\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Assessment\"><\/span>Assessment<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"3152\" data-end=\"3520\">The altcoin season has not started due to a shift of investor interest toward major crypto assets and limited liquidity. While leading tokens like Bitcoin and Ethereum determine market direction, altcoins remain constrained to short-term movements. Investors may continue to take positions cautiously by closely following macroeconomic developments.<\/p>\n<p><i class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_processed\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">You can also freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, don\u2019t forget to follow us on our<\/i><a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/coinengineernews\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">\u00a0<i class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_processed\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">Telegram,<\/i><\/a><a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@CoinEngineer\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\"><i class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_processed\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">\u00a0YouTube<\/i><\/a><i class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_processed\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">, and<\/i><a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/coinengineers\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">\u00a0<i class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_processed\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">Twitter<\/i><\/a><i class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_processed\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">\u00a0channels for the latest<\/i><a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.io\/news\/\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">\u00a0<i class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_processed\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">news<\/i><\/a><i class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_processed\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">\u00a0and updates.<\/i><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Crypto market investors have been wondering why the long-awaited altcoin season has not started. The expected rise in low- and mid-cap altcoins has not materialized, creating questions among investors. Experts point out that this situation is not only due to market fluctuations but also influenced by changes in investor behavior and macroeconomic factors. A detailed<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":37,"featured_media":54093,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,2],"tags":[236,563,393,840,847,336,58],"class_list":["post-61706","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-crypto-news","category-news","tag-altcoin","tag-altcoins","tag-crypto","tag-crypto-market","tag-crypto-news","tag-cryptocurrencies","tag-cryptocurrency"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Why the Altcoin Season Hasn\u2019t Started Yet<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Crypto market investors have been altcoin season has not started. 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