{"id":61743,"date":"2026-01-15T13:00:05","date_gmt":"2026-01-15T10:00:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/?p=61743"},"modified":"2026-01-15T09:50:00","modified_gmt":"2026-01-15T06:50:00","slug":"hayes-bitcoin-could-regain-momentum-in-2026-on-liquidity","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/hayes-bitcoin-could-regain-momentum-in-2026-on-liquidity\/","title":{"rendered":"Hayes: Bitcoin Could Regain Momentum in 2026 on Liquidity"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-start=\"384\" data-end=\"832\"><strong>Bitcoin<\/strong> relative underperformance compared to <a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/gold-and-silver-break-record-after-record-what-comes-next\/\"><strong>gold<\/strong> <\/a>and major <strong>technology stocks<\/strong> has been one of the most discussed topics in recent market cycles. While traditional safe havens and AI-driven equities captured investor attention, Bitcoin struggled to keep pace. However, <a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/arthur-hayes-dumps-eth-which-defi-tokens-did-he-buy\/\">Arthur Hayes<\/a>, co-founder of BitMEX, argues that this divergence is temporary and closely tied to global liquidity conditions rather than a structural weakness in Bitcoin itself.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"834\" data-end=\"975\">According to Hayes, Bitcoin has the potential to reclaim leadership in 2026, provided that US dollar liquidity begins to expand meaningfully.<\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_71 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 eztoc-toggle-hide-by-default' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/hayes-bitcoin-could-regain-momentum-in-2026-on-liquidity\/#Can_Bitcoin_Rally_Without_Liquidity_Support\" title=\"Can Bitcoin Rally Without Liquidity Support?\">Can Bitcoin Rally Without Liquidity Support?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/hayes-bitcoin-could-regain-momentum-in-2026-on-liquidity\/#Key_Drivers_Behind_Potential_Dollar_Liquidity_Growth\" title=\"Key Drivers Behind Potential Dollar Liquidity Growth\">Key Drivers Behind Potential Dollar Liquidity Growth<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/hayes-bitcoin-could-regain-momentum-in-2026-on-liquidity\/#Why_Technology_Stocks_Stayed_Strong_in_2025\" title=\"Why Technology Stocks Stayed Strong in 2025\">Why Technology Stocks Stayed Strong in 2025<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/hayes-bitcoin-could-regain-momentum-in-2026-on-liquidity\/#Bitcoin_as_Monetary_Technology\" title=\"Bitcoin as Monetary Technology\">Bitcoin as Monetary Technology<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2 data-start=\"977\" data-end=\"1024\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Can_Bitcoin_Rally_Without_Liquidity_Support\"><\/span>Can Bitcoin Rally Without Liquidity Support?<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"1026\" data-end=\"1278\">Hayes emphasizes that Bitcoin\u2019s historical price movements are deeply connected to monetary conditions. Periods of abundant liquidity have consistently aligned with strong Bitcoin rallies, while tightening cycles have weighed heavily on crypto markets.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1280\" data-end=\"1565\">He notes that assets such as gold and the Nasdaq benefited from favorable liquidity dynamics, leaving Bitcoin sidelined. For Bitcoin to \u201cfind its rhythm again,\u201d Hayes argues, the supply of dollars must increase. In his view, this shift is not only possible but likely to occur in 2026.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"1567\" data-end=\"1622\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Key_Drivers_Behind_Potential_Dollar_Liquidity_Growth\"><\/span>Key Drivers Behind Potential Dollar Liquidity Growth<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"1624\" data-end=\"1951\">Several catalysts could contribute to a sharp increase in dollar liquidity over the coming years. Hayes points to a potential expansion of the Federal Reserve\u2019s balance sheet, signaling renewed monetary easing. Lower mortgage rates, driven by looser financial conditions, could also inject additional liquidity into the system.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1953\" data-end=\"2268\">In addition, Hayes highlights the role of commercial banks, suggesting they may become more willing to extend credit to government-backed strategic industries. Rising defense-related expenditures, in particular, could require substantial financing through the banking sector, reinforcing broader monetary expansion.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_61745\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-61745\" style=\"width: 1446px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-61745 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/bitcoin-1.webp\" alt=\"\" width=\"1446\" height=\"764\" srcset=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/bitcoin-1.webp 1446w, https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/bitcoin-1-300x159.webp 300w, https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/bitcoin-1-1024x541.webp 1024w, https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/bitcoin-1-768x406.webp 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1446px) 100vw, 1446px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-61745\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Bitcoin has risen by 12.20% in the last 30 days.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2 data-start=\"2270\" data-end=\"2316\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Why_Technology_Stocks_Stayed_Strong_in_2025\"><\/span>Why Technology Stocks Stayed Strong in 2025<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"2318\" data-end=\"2666\">Despite declining dollar liquidity in 2025, the Nasdaq avoided a comparable downturn. Hayes attributes this resilience to the strategic importance of artificial intelligence. Both the United States and China have effectively elevated AI to a national priority, channeling capital into the sector through government investment and executive actions.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2668\" data-end=\"2927\">This intervention, he argues, weakened traditional free-market signals and allowed capital to flow into AI-related equities regardless of underlying return metrics. As a result, technology stocks emerged as the strongest-performing segment within the S&amp;P 500.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"2929\" data-end=\"2962\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Bitcoin_as_Monetary_Technology\"><\/span>Bitcoin as Monetary Technology<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"2964\" data-end=\"3244\">Hayes ultimately frames Bitcoin as a form of monetary technology whose value is inseparable from fiat currency debasement. While Bitcoin declined roughly 14% in 2025 and gold surged more than 44%, he cautions against drawing long-term conclusions from short-term performance gaps.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3246\" data-end=\"3426\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\">In his assessment, sustained monetary expansion remains the critical condition for Bitcoin to reach new all-time highs, positioning 2026 as a potential turning point for the asset.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3246\" data-end=\"3426\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\"><em class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_processed\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">You can also freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, don\u2019t forget to follow us on our\u00a0<a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/coinengineernews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">Telegram,\u00a0<\/a><a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@CoinEngineer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">YouTube<\/a>,\u00a0and\u00a0<a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/coinengineers\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">Twitter<\/a>\u00a0channels for\u00a0<\/em><em class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_processed\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">the latest\u00a0<a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" title=\"News\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/news\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"7\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">news<\/a>\u00a0and updates.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin relative underperformance compared to gold and major technology stocks has been one of the most discussed topics in recent market cycles. While traditional safe havens and AI-driven equities captured investor attention, Bitcoin struggled to keep pace. However, Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, argues that this divergence is temporary and closely tied to global liquidity<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":29,"featured_media":38509,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,2],"tags":[2545,61,60,2155,7320,12643],"class_list":["post-61743","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-crypto-news","category-news","tag-arthur-hayes","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-gold","tag-stocks","tag-technology-stocks"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Hayes: Bitcoin Could Regain Momentum in 2026 on Liquidity - Coin Engineer<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin relative underperformance compared to gold and major technology stocks has been the most discussed topics in recent market cycles.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/hayes-bitcoin-could-regain-momentum-in-2026-on-liquidity\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Hayes: Bitcoin Could Regain Momentum in 2026 on Liquidity - 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