{"id":62538,"date":"2026-01-27T15:30:17","date_gmt":"2026-01-27T12:30:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/?p=62538"},"modified":"2026-01-27T13:55:43","modified_gmt":"2026-01-27T10:55:43","slug":"fomc-meeting-tomorrow-will-the-fed-hold-interest-rates","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/fomc-meeting-tomorrow-will-the-fed-hold-interest-rates\/","title":{"rendered":"FOMC Meeting Tomorrow: Will the Fed Hold Interest Rates?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-start=\"1091\" data-end=\"1383\">Global markets are focused on the upcoming <strong>FOMC<\/strong> meeting as the U.S. Federal Reserve prepares to announce its decision tomorrow. Inflationary pressures persist, while cooling signs in the labor market have become more pronounced. This backdrop increases uncertainty over the <a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/critical-expectation-for-the-first-fed-week-of-2026\/\"><strong>Fed<\/strong><\/a> next move.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1385\" data-end=\"1620\">Futures markets, however, are clearer. They price in a 97% chance that the Fed will pause rate hikes, following three consecutive cuts. This expectation reflects a market gradually adjusting to the central bank\u2019s recent policy moves.<\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_71 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 eztoc-toggle-hide-by-default' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/fomc-meeting-tomorrow-will-the-fed-hold-interest-rates\/#Cautious_Sentiment_on_the_Fed_Side\" title=\"Cautious Sentiment on the Fed Side\">Cautious Sentiment on the Fed Side<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/fomc-meeting-tomorrow-will-the-fed-hold-interest-rates\/#Crypto_Markets_Feel_the_Pressure\" title=\"Crypto Markets Feel the Pressure\">Crypto Markets Feel the Pressure<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/fomc-meeting-tomorrow-will-the-fed-hold-interest-rates\/#What_Derivatives_Markets_Indicate\" title=\"What Derivatives Markets Indicate\">What Derivatives Markets Indicate<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/fomc-meeting-tomorrow-will-the-fed-hold-interest-rates\/#Gold_at_Record_Bitcoin_Behind\" title=\"Gold at Record, Bitcoin Behind\">Gold at Record, Bitcoin Behind<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h3 data-start=\"1622\" data-end=\"1662\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Cautious_Sentiment_on_the_Fed_Side\"><\/span>Cautious Sentiment on the Fed Side<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"1664\" data-end=\"2078\">Last month\u2019s FOMC minutes showed that caution dominates among policymakers. Officials are carefully weighing inflation risks against potential unemployment. With the policy rate at 3.5\u20133.75%, the Fed has limited room to maneuver. Recent quarter-point cuts aimed to prevent sharp labor market disruptions, but now the consensus leans toward pausing. For Fed Chair Jerome Powell, this is a challenging environment.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2080\" data-end=\"2307\">CME FedWatch data reinforces this view. Last week, the probability of a rate hold stood at 95%, now it\u2019s over 97%. Powell\u2019s recent remarks underline the difficulty of balancing inflation and unemployment risks simultaneously.<\/p>\n<h3 data-start=\"2309\" data-end=\"2347\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Crypto_Markets_Feel_the_Pressure\"><\/span>Crypto Markets Feel the Pressure<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"2349\" data-end=\"2621\">Uncertainty over interest rates continues to weigh on crypto assets. The total market capitalization has approached $2.99 trillion, but this modest rise offers little confidence. Bitcoin and major altcoins are trying to hold their ground, yet the market remains fragile.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2623\" data-end=\"2806\">Sharp gains in gold and silver signal that risk appetite is shifting toward safe havens. This trend tempers investor enthusiasm in Bitcoin and weakens crypto\u2019s short-term narrative.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2808\" data-end=\"3038\">Polymarket data shows almost a 99% probability that the Fed will hold rates. This expectation favors directionless, jittery movements rather than sudden crypto rallies. Upward attempts exist, but their sustainability is limited.<\/p>\n<h3 data-start=\"3040\" data-end=\"3079\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_Derivatives_Markets_Indicate\"><\/span>What Derivatives Markets Indicate<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"3081\" data-end=\"3300\">Derivatives indicators suggest investors are not convinced about further upside. Demand for leveraged long positions is weak, while professional traders price higher probabilities of downside risks in options markets.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3302\" data-end=\"3683\">Bitcoin options\u2019 delta skew reached 12% on Monday. Normally, this indicator fluctuates between -6% and +6%. This level shows put options are trading at a premium, reflecting strong hedging demand. The last time delta skew reached similar levels was December 1, 2025, when Bitcoin dropped from $91,500 to $83,900 in hours. This market memory helps explain today\u2019s cautious stance.<\/p>\n<h3 data-start=\"3685\" data-end=\"3721\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Gold_at_Record_Bitcoin_Behind\"><\/span>Gold at Record, Bitcoin Behind<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"3723\" data-end=\"3913\">Concerns about a weaker U.S. dollar have boosted gold prices to record levels, with spot gold briefly hitting $5,100. Analysts are questioning whether \u201cvalue-loss trades\u201d are accelerating.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3915\" data-end=\"4166\">Bitcoin, however, has yet to follow this trend. Even as the S&amp;P 500 rose 0.6% in a single day, Bitcoin remained subdued. This suggests the decline cannot be solely linked to U.S. financial risks. Broader confidence issues dominate the crypto market.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"4168\" data-end=\"4368\">In summary, the Fed\u2019s upcoming decision could increase short-term volatility. If rates remain on hold, the crypto market is likely to continue grappling with uncertainty rather than clear direction.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"4168\" data-end=\"4368\"><em class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_processed\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">Also, you can freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, please follow us on our\u00a0<a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/coinengineernews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">Telegram,\u00a0<\/a><a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@CoinEngineer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">YouTube<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0<a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/coinengineers\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">Twitter<\/a>\u00a0channels for the latest news and updates.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Global markets are focused on the upcoming FOMC meeting as the U.S. Federal Reserve prepares to announce its decision tomorrow. Inflationary pressures persist, while cooling signs in the labor market have become more pronounced. This backdrop increases uncertainty over the Fed next move. Futures markets, however, are clearer. They price in a 97% chance that<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":36,"featured_media":37930,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10,2],"tags":[8663,16218,12564,12993,26073,27492,27491],"class_list":["post-62538","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economy-news","category-news","tag-bitcoin-derivatives","tag-crypto-market-volatility","tag-fed-interest-rates","tag-fomc-meeting","tag-gold-vs-bitcoin","tag-options-market-signals","tag-rate-pause-expectation"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>FOMC Meeting Tomorrow: Will the Fed Hold Interest Rates? - Coin Engineer<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Markets watch the Fed\u2019s FOMC decision. 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