{"id":62608,"date":"2026-01-28T13:02:56","date_gmt":"2026-01-28T10:02:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/?p=62608"},"modified":"2026-01-28T13:02:56","modified_gmt":"2026-01-28T10:02:56","slug":"tensions-between-china-and-the-u-s-are-impacting-bitcoin","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/tensions-between-china-and-the-u-s-are-impacting-bitcoin\/","title":{"rendered":"Tensions Between China and the U.S. Are Impacting Bitcoin!"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The trade tension between the United States and China continues to impact not only traditional financial markets like stocks, commodities, and forex but also the cryptocurrency market, albeit indirectly yet significantly. While China\u2019s response to President Donald Trump\u2019s aggressive tariff policies appears calm and controlled at first glance, it creates a chain reaction affecting Bitcoin through global liquidity flows and dollar-based capital movements. Experts note that this influence shapes crypto markets more through macroeconomic balances and monetary policy channels than short-term news.<\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_71 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 eztoc-toggle-hide-by-default' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/tensions-between-china-and-the-u-s-are-impacting-bitcoin\/#Trumps_Tariffs_and_Chinas_Strategic_Response\" title=\"Trump\u2019s Tariffs and China\u2019s Strategic Response\">Trump\u2019s Tariffs and China\u2019s Strategic Response<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/tensions-between-china-and-the-u-s-are-impacting-bitcoin\/#How_This_Dynamic_Affects_Bitcoin\" title=\"How This Dynamic Affects Bitcoin\">How This Dynamic Affects Bitcoin<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/tensions-between-china-and-the-u-s-are-impacting-bitcoin\/#Aligning_with_Arthur_Hayes_Thesis\" title=\"Aligning with Arthur Hayes\u2019 Thesis\">Aligning with Arthur Hayes\u2019 Thesis<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2 data-start=\"649\" data-end=\"1054\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Trumps_Tariffs_and_Chinas_Strategic_Response\"><\/span>Trump\u2019s Tariffs and China\u2019s Strategic Response<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"649\" data-end=\"1054\">With Trump\u2019s return to office, the U.S. sharply increased tariffs on goods imported from China. By January 2026, the average U.S. tariff on Chinese imports reached 29.3%. While theoretically aimed at weakening China\u2019s export power and bringing production back to the U.S., in practice, Beijing has taken a more flexible, long-term strategic approach.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1056\" data-end=\"1452\">China has managed to preserve its global market share by shifting exports toward ASEAN countries and other regions, reducing its dependency on the U.S. market. According to JPMorgan, China\u2019s actual exports are projected to grow about 8% in 2025, with its global export share rising to 15%. In contrast, exports to the U.S. have fallen below 10% of total exports, reflecting this structural shift.<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"font-size: 23.04px;\" data-start=\"1454\" data-end=\"1891\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-62609 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/yuan-300x194.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"914\" height=\"591\" srcset=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/yuan-300x194.jpg 300w, https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/yuan-1024x661.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/yuan-768x496.jpg 768w, https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/yuan.jpg 1280w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 914px) 100vw, 914px\" \/><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"1454\" data-end=\"1891\">A key factor behind China\u2019s resilience is its strict and controlled management of the yuan. JPMorgan highlights that China maintains a low-volatility currency regime, keeping the yuan largely pegged to the U.S. dollar. Although the yuan has strengthened about 4% since its 2023 lows, this appreciation is carefully managed within a controlled band rather than left to free-market forces.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1893\" data-end=\"2232\">Chinese policymakers deliberately prevent rapid and sharp yuan appreciation to preserve export competitiveness and limit deflationary pressures on the economy. This strategic approach indirectly influences global dollar liquidity, shaping financial market balances and creating an important mechanism affecting Bitcoin\u2019s macro environment.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"2234\" data-end=\"2914\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"How_This_Dynamic_Affects_Bitcoin\"><\/span>How This Dynamic Affects Bitcoin<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"2234\" data-end=\"2914\">Macro-sensitive assets like Bitcoin are highly responsive to changes in dollar liquidity. During periods of increased uncertainty and risk aversion, dollar liquidity tightens, putting pressure on BTC. Conversely, easing tensions and expanding liquidity provide a supportive environment for Bitcoin. JPMorgan notes that China\u2019s currency policy accelerates this process. During heightened U.S.-China trade tensions, stronger dollar-based cash flows often result in volatile but directional price movements in Bitcoin. For instance, BTC showed a similar reaction during the March\u2013April period of the previous year when trade tensions escalated.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"2916\" data-end=\"3554\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Aligning_with_Arthur_Hayes_Thesis\"><\/span>Aligning with Arthur Hayes\u2019 Thesis<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"2916\" data-end=\"3554\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\">This scenario aligns with the long-held views of BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes. According to Hayes, tariffs and trade negotiations are largely political displays, while the true market drivers are currency policies, capital flows, and global liquidity management. In short, China\u2019s response to Trump\u2019s tariffs goes beyond export numbers. Managed yuan policies and global liquidity cycles quietly but effectively shape the macro environment in which Bitcoin trades. For crypto markets, this underscores the importance of monitoring liquidity and monetary policy dynamics over short-term headlines.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3608\" data-end=\"3786\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\"><em>You can also freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, don\u2019t forget to follow us on our\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/coinengineernews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Telegram,<\/a>\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@CoinEngineer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">YouTube<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/coinengineers\">Twitter<\/a>\u00a0channels for the latest news and updates.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The trade tension between the United States and China continues to impact not only traditional financial markets like stocks, commodities, and forex but also the cryptocurrency market, albeit indirectly yet significantly. While China\u2019s response to President Donald Trump\u2019s aggressive tariff policies appears calm and controlled at first glance, it creates a chain reaction affecting Bitcoin<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":37,"featured_media":42342,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,2],"tags":[9663,1205,393,840,847,58,5760],"class_list":["post-62608","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-crypto-news","category-news","tag-abd","tag-china","tag-crypto","tag-crypto-market","tag-crypto-news","tag-cryptocurrency","tag-digital-assets"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Tensions Between China and the U.S. Are Impacting Bitcoin!<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"United States and China traditional financial markets like stocks, commodities, and forex but also the cryptocurrency market.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/tensions-between-china-and-the-u-s-are-impacting-bitcoin\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Tensions Between China and the U.S. Are Impacting Bitcoin!\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"United States and China traditional financial markets like stocks, commodities, and forex but also the cryptocurrency market.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/tensions-between-china-and-the-u-s-are-impacting-bitcoin\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Coin Engineer\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-01-28T10:02:56+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/taslak-ce-2025-05-14T135318.305-1024x576.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1024\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"576\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Haciyev Re\u015fit\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Haciyev Re\u015fit\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/tensions-between-china-and-the-u-s-are-impacting-bitcoin\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/tensions-between-china-and-the-u-s-are-impacting-bitcoin\/\",\"name\":\"Tensions Between China and the U.S. Are Impacting Bitcoin!\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/tensions-between-china-and-the-u-s-are-impacting-bitcoin\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/tensions-between-china-and-the-u-s-are-impacting-bitcoin\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/taslak-ce-2025-05-14T135318.305.png\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-01-28T10:02:56+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-01-28T10:02:56+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/0a41a1cb75098be284f7e4059f16414d\"},\"description\":\"United States and China traditional financial markets like stocks, commodities, and forex but also the cryptocurrency market.\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/tensions-between-china-and-the-u-s-are-impacting-bitcoin\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/tensions-between-china-and-the-u-s-are-impacting-bitcoin\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/tensions-between-china-and-the-u-s-are-impacting-bitcoin\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/taslak-ce-2025-05-14T135318.305.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/taslak-ce-2025-05-14T135318.305.png\",\"width\":1920,\"height\":1080,\"caption\":\"US - 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