{"id":62645,"date":"2026-01-29T13:00:02","date_gmt":"2026-01-29T10:00:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/?p=62645"},"modified":"2026-01-29T09:30:55","modified_gmt":"2026-01-29T06:30:55","slug":"how-many-rate-cuts-could-the-fed-deliver-this-year","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/how-many-rate-cuts-could-the-fed-deliver-this-year\/","title":{"rendered":"How Many Rate Cuts Could the Fed Deliver This Year?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-start=\"78\" data-end=\"520\">After the US Federal Reserve (<strong>Fed<\/strong>) left interest rates unchanged in line with expectations, market attention has shifted decisively toward the policy outlook for 2026. Leading Wall Street institutions have begun to outline their scenarios on whether the Fed will cut rates this year \u2014 and if so, when. While there is broad agreement that the central bank will maintain a cautious stance, forecasts diverge sharply when it comes to timing and scope.<\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_71 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 eztoc-toggle-hide-by-default' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/how-many-rate-cuts-could-the-fed-deliver-this-year\/#The_Feds_Core_Message_Patience_and_Data_First\" title=\"The Fed\u2019s Core Message: Patience and Data First\">The Fed\u2019s Core Message: Patience and Data First<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/how-many-rate-cuts-could-the-fed-deliver-this-year\/#Barclays_and_Bank_of_America_Cuts_Expected_but_Not_Soon\" title=\"Barclays and Bank of America: Cuts Expected, but Not Soon\">Barclays and Bank of America: Cuts Expected, but Not Soon<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/how-many-rate-cuts-could-the-fed-deliver-this-year\/#Citigroup_A_Normalization-Driven_Path\" title=\"Citigroup: A Normalization-Driven Path\">Citigroup: A Normalization-Driven Path<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/how-many-rate-cuts-could-the-fed-deliver-this-year\/#JPMorgan_No_Cuts_on_the_Horizon\" title=\"JPMorgan: No Cuts on the Horizon\">JPMorgan: No Cuts on the Horizon<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/how-many-rate-cuts-could-the-fed-deliver-this-year\/#Wells_Fargo_Earlier_But_Limited_Easing\" title=\"Wells Fargo: Earlier, But Limited Easing\">Wells Fargo: Earlier, But Limited Easing<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-6\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/how-many-rate-cuts-could-the-fed-deliver-this-year\/#A_Divided_Outlook_One_Common_Theme\" title=\"A Divided Outlook, One Common Theme\">A Divided Outlook, One Common Theme<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h3 data-start=\"527\" data-end=\"578\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"The_Feds_Core_Message_Patience_and_Data_First\"><\/span>The Fed\u2019s Core Message: Patience and Data First<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"580\" data-end=\"976\">The prevailing interpretation of the latest decision is that the Fed wants to observe the full impact of the three rate cuts implemented previously. Inflation has moderated but remains above target, while the labor market shows resilience without clear signs of deterioration. This backdrop supports a \u201cwait-and-see\u201d approach from Fed Chair Jerome Powell, signaling restraint rather than urgency.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"580\" data-end=\"976\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-94046 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/powell.jpg\" alt=\"fed ba\u015fkan\u0131\" width=\"1200\" height=\"799\" \/><\/p>\n<h3 data-start=\"983\" data-end=\"1044\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Barclays_and_Bank_of_America_Cuts_Expected_but_Not_Soon\"><\/span>Barclays and Bank of America: Cuts Expected, but Not Soon<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"1046\" data-end=\"1338\">Barclays anticipates a total of 50 basis points in rate cuts during 2026. According to the bank, these moves could materialize in June and December. Its outlook suggests that downside risks to employment and upside risks to inflation are now more balanced, reducing the need for rapid easing.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1340\" data-end=\"1611\">Bank of America shares the 50-basis-point view but differs on timing. It expects cuts to arrive earlier, potentially in June and July. The bank also notes that current market pricing could leave room for a relatively dovish surprise from the Fed if incoming data softens.<\/p>\n<h3 data-start=\"1618\" data-end=\"1660\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Citigroup_A_Normalization-Driven_Path\"><\/span>Citigroup: A Normalization-Driven Path<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"1662\" data-end=\"2057\">Citigroup continues to project 50 basis points of easing, likely split between June and September. However, Citi frames these cuts as part of a gradual normalization process rather than a reaction to immediate economic stress. For this scenario to play out, clearer and more sustained progress on inflation would be required, alongside broader consensus within the Federal Open Market Committee.<\/p>\n<h3 data-start=\"2064\" data-end=\"2100\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"JPMorgan_No_Cuts_on_the_Horizon\"><\/span>JPMorgan: No Cuts on the Horizon<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"2102\" data-end=\"2466\">JPMorgan Chase stands out with the most conservative view. The bank does not expect any rate cuts in 2026. Its analysts argue that after three precautionary cuts, many policymakers may see a prolonged pause as the most prudent option. Powell is also expected to emphasize that the current policy stance is sufficient to manage risks tied to the Fed\u2019s dual mandate.<\/p>\n<h3 data-start=\"2473\" data-end=\"2517\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Wells_Fargo_Earlier_But_Limited_Easing\"><\/span>Wells Fargo: Earlier, But Limited Easing<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"2519\" data-end=\"2843\">Wells Fargo takes a middle-ground approach, forecasting 50 basis points of cuts in March and June. The bank cautions that the longer the Fed waits, the higher the economic threshold becomes for justifying additional easing. While an early signal of accommodation is possible, Wells Fargo does not expect aggressive guidance.<\/p>\n<h3 data-start=\"2850\" data-end=\"2889\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"A_Divided_Outlook_One_Common_Theme\"><\/span>A Divided Outlook, One Common Theme<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"2891\" data-end=\"3245\">Despite varying forecasts, a common thread runs through all projections: the Fed is unlikely to rush. Markets may be forced to remain patient, parsing each data release and policy signal carefully. Whether 2026 brings multiple rate cuts, a modest adjustment, or none at all, communication and tone will be just as influential as the decisions themselves.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2891\" data-end=\"3245\"><em>You can also freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, don\u2019t forget to follow us on our\u00a0<a class=\"customize-unpreviewable\" href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/coinengineernews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Telegram,\u00a0<\/a><a class=\"customize-unpreviewable\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@CoinEngineer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">YouTube<\/a>,\u00a0and\u00a0<a class=\"customize-unpreviewable\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/coinengineers\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Twitter<\/a>\u00a0channels for the latest\u00a0<a title=\"News\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/news\/?customize_changeset_uuid=be1efbb0-2294-4eb4-ac39-79378ec03e3b&amp;customize_messenger_channel=preview-0\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"7\">news<\/a>\u00a0and updates.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>After the US Federal Reserve (Fed) left interest rates unchanged in line with expectations, market attention has shifted decisively toward the policy outlook for 2026. Leading Wall Street institutions have begun to outline their scenarios on whether the Fed will cut rates this year \u2014 and if so, when. While there is broad agreement that<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":29,"featured_media":53170,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10,2],"tags":[61,640,2087,2297,8132,1814,7749],"class_list":["post-62645","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economy-news","category-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-fed","tag-jpmorgan","tag-powell","tag-rate-cut","tag-wall-street","tag-wells-fargo"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>How Many Rate Cuts Could the Fed Deliver This Year? - Coin Engineer<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Fed kept its policy interest rate unchanged, in line with expectations, market attention has now turned to the interest rate path for 2026.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/how-many-rate-cuts-could-the-fed-deliver-this-year\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"How Many Rate Cuts Could the Fed Deliver This Year? 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