{"id":62702,"date":"2026-01-29T17:00:56","date_gmt":"2026-01-29T14:00:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/?p=62702"},"modified":"2026-01-29T14:52:36","modified_gmt":"2026-01-29T11:52:36","slug":"what-is-missing-for-bitcoins-rise","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/what-is-missing-for-bitcoins-rise\/","title":{"rendered":"What Is Missing for Bitcoin\u2019s Rise?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Despite short-term rebounds in recent weeks, <strong>Bitcoin<\/strong> (BTC) has struggled to decisively break out of its broader downtrend. Sudden price recoveries have failed to turn into a sustainable uptrend due to the lack of sufficient and consistent buying liquidity in the market. This indicates that investors remain cautious and that capital inflows are still limited. In its latest assessment, on-chain analytics firm Glassnode highlighted the key fundamental conditions required for a more meaningful and lasting Bitcoin rally, drawing attention to liquidity indicators.<\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_71 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 eztoc-toggle-hide-by-default' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/what-is-missing-for-bitcoins-rise\/#Focus_Shifts_to_Liquidity_in_Bitcoin\" title=\"Focus Shifts to Liquidity in Bitcoin\">Focus Shifts to Liquidity in Bitcoin<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/what-is-missing-for-bitcoins-rise\/#Key_Indicator_Realized_ProfitLoss_Ratio\" title=\"Key Indicator: Realized Profit\/Loss Ratio\">Key Indicator: Realized Profit\/Loss Ratio<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/what-is-missing-for-bitcoins-rise\/#Supply_Structure_May_Also_Add_Pressure\" title=\"Supply Structure May Also Add Pressure\">Supply Structure May Also Add Pressure<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/what-is-missing-for-bitcoins-rise\/#Liquidity_Is_Essential_for_a_Rally\" title=\"Liquidity Is Essential for a Rally\">Liquidity Is Essential for a Rally<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h3 data-start=\"607\" data-end=\"647\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Focus_Shifts_to_Liquidity_in_Bitcoin\"><\/span>Focus Shifts to Liquidity in Bitcoin<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"648\" data-end=\"1287\">According to Glassnode\u2019s analysis shared on the X platform, Bitcoin\u2019s ability to hold the critical support range between $80,700 and $83,400 in recent weeks has shifted market focus away from short-term price movements toward liquidity conditions. While defending this support zone has so far limited downside risk, it is not considered sufficient on its own to trigger a strong rally. The analysis emphasizes that a true trend reversal and sustainable price increase in BTC require fresh and persistent liquidity inflows. Otherwise, any recovery attempts may remain temporary, with price action continuing to move sideways within a range.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1289\" data-end=\"1357\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-62703 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/btcusdt1-300x152.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1062\" height=\"538\" srcset=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/btcusdt1-300x152.jpg 300w, https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/btcusdt1-1024x518.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/btcusdt1-768x389.jpg 768w, https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/btcusdt1.jpg 1280w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1062px) 100vw, 1062px\" \/><\/p>\n<h3 data-start=\"1359\" data-end=\"1404\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Key_Indicator_Realized_ProfitLoss_Ratio\"><\/span>Key Indicator: Realized Profit\/Loss Ratio<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"1405\" data-end=\"1834\">Glassnode highlights the 90-day moving average of the realized profit\/loss ratio as a crucial indicator for a sustainable uptrend. On-chain data show that strong and lasting price advances\u2014 including mid-cycle recoveries over the past two years\u2014have typically occurred when this ratio remained above the level of 5. This threshold is seen as a key reference point signaling healthy capital inflows and strengthened buying demand.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1836\" data-end=\"2124\">At present, however, these conditions have not yet materialized. According to Glassnode data, the realized profit\/loss ratio is currently around 2. This suggests that liquidity constraints persist and that recent price movements reflect limited rebounds rather than a robust upward trend.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1836\" data-end=\"2124\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-62704 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/btc3-300x169.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"957\" height=\"539\" srcset=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/btc3-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/btc3-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/btc3-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/btc3.jpg 1280w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 957px) 100vw, 957px\" \/><\/p>\n<h3 data-start=\"2126\" data-end=\"2168\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Supply_Structure_May_Also_Add_Pressure\"><\/span>Supply Structure May Also Add Pressure<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"2169\" data-end=\"2654\">Glassnode\u2019s analysis also points to Bitcoin\u2019s supply structure as a potential source of pressure. On-chain data indicate that roughly 22% of the circulating Bitcoin supply is currently at a loss. Historically, similar levels were observed during correction phases in Q1 2022 and Q2 2018. Analysts note that this indicates ongoing market fragility and suggest that if Bitcoin were to lose key support levels, the supply currently in loss could once again contribute to selling pressure.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2656\" data-end=\"3057\">That said, there are no strong signs of panic selling at the moment. According to a CryptoQuant analyst, Bitcoin inflows to Binance remain at historically low levels, indicating that investors are largely choosing to hold their positions rather than sell. This behavior suggests that potential pullbacks may remain short-lived and limited, and that a sharp distribution phase is not currently in play.<\/p>\n<h3 data-start=\"3059\" data-end=\"3097\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Liquidity_Is_Essential_for_a_Rally\"><\/span>Liquidity Is Essential for a Rally<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"3098\" data-end=\"3584\">According to Glassnode, short-term volatility in Bitcoin may persist for some time. However, a clear and lasting bullish trend will require a distinct and sustainable improvement in market liquidity. Analysts emphasize that a durable recovery in liquidity indicators would not only support higher prices but also strengthen investor confidence. As a result, liquidity flow data are expected to remain the key determinant of Bitcoin\u2019s next major, trend-defining move in the period ahead.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3056\" data-end=\"3162\"><em>You can also freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, don\u2019t forget to follow us on our\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/coinengineernews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Telegram,\u00a0<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@CoinEngineer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">YouTube<\/a>,\u00a0and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/coinengineers\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Twitter<\/a>\u00a0channels for the latest\u00a0<a title=\"News\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/news\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"7\">news<\/a>\u00a0and updates.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Despite short-term rebounds in recent weeks, Bitcoin (BTC) has struggled to decisively break out of its broader downtrend. Sudden price recoveries have failed to turn into a sustainable uptrend due to the lack of sufficient and consistent buying liquidity in the market. This indicates that investors remain cautious and that capital inflows are still limited.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":37,"featured_media":47933,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,2],"tags":[61,1766,393,840,847,336,58,5760],"class_list":["post-62702","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-crypto-news","category-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-btc","tag-crypto","tag-crypto-market","tag-crypto-news","tag-cryptocurrencies","tag-cryptocurrency","tag-digital-assets"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>What Is Missing for Bitcoin\u2019s Rise?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Despite short-term rebounds in recent weeks, Bitcoin (BTC) has struggled to decisively break out of its broader downtrend.\" \/>\n<meta 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