{"id":62865,"date":"2026-02-02T13:00:51","date_gmt":"2026-02-02T10:00:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/?p=62865"},"modified":"2026-02-02T09:35:38","modified_gmt":"2026-02-02T06:35:38","slug":"how-much-further-can-bitcoin-fall-analysts-weigh-in","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/how-much-further-can-bitcoin-fall-analysts-weigh-in\/","title":{"rendered":"How Much Further Can Bitcoin Fall? Analysts Weigh In!"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-start=\"81\" data-end=\"455\">The sharp decline in <strong>Bitcoin<\/strong> price over the weekend has reignited an old but critical debate across crypto markets: has the bottom finally been reached, or is there more downside ahead? On Saturday, Bitcoin dropped nearly 7%, briefly touching the $77,000 level. While some analysts see this move as the deepest <a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/correction-across-gold-silver-and-precious-metals-markets\/\"><strong>correction<\/strong> <\/a>of the current bull cycle, others remain cautious.<\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_71 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 eztoc-toggle-hide-by-default' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/how-much-further-can-bitcoin-fall-analysts-weigh-in\/#%E2%80%9CThis_Could_Be_the_Deepest_Pullback_of_the_Cycle%E2%80%9D\" title=\"\u201cThis Could Be the Deepest Pullback of the Cycle\u201d\">\u201cThis Could Be the Deepest Pullback of the Cycle\u201d<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/how-much-further-can-bitcoin-fall-analysts-weigh-in\/#Weekend_Volatility_A_Word_of_Caution\" title=\"Weekend Volatility: A Word of Caution\">Weekend Volatility: A Word of Caution<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/how-much-further-can-bitcoin-fall-analysts-weigh-in\/#Is_a_Deeper_Decline_Still_Possible\" title=\"Is a Deeper Decline Still Possible?\">Is a Deeper Decline Still Possible?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/how-much-further-can-bitcoin-fall-analysts-weigh-in\/#A_Market_at_a_Crossroads\" title=\"A Market at a Crossroads\">A Market at a Crossroads<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h3 data-start=\"457\" data-end=\"510\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"%E2%80%9CThis_Could_Be_the_Deepest_Pullback_of_the_Cycle%E2%80%9D\"><\/span>\u201cThis Could Be the Deepest Pullback of the Cycle\u201d<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"512\" data-end=\"743\">Bitcoin analyst PlanC argues that the recent decline may represent a significant cyclical low. According to his assessment, the current price structure closely resembles major capitulation phases observed in previous market cycles.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"745\" data-end=\"1155\">PlanC points to historical moments such as the 2018 bear market, when Bitcoin fell to around $3,000, the March 2020 pandemic-driven crash near $5,100, and the FTX collapse that pushed prices down to roughly $15,500. In his view, the market may once again be undergoing a similar \u201ccapitulation\u201d process. Based on these comparisons, PlanC believes the ultimate bottom could form within the $75,000\u2013$80,000 range.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1157\" data-end=\"1313\">At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading near $78,690. This places the asset approximately 38% below its all-time high of $126,100, recorded on October 5.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1157\" data-end=\"1313\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-194272 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/btc.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1043\" height=\"441\" \/><\/p>\n<h3 data-start=\"1315\" data-end=\"1356\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Weekend_Volatility_A_Word_of_Caution\"><\/span>Weekend Volatility: A Word of Caution<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"1358\" data-end=\"1583\">Bitcoin advocate and financial accountant Rajat Soni has drawn attention to the timing of the move. He emphasizes that weekends are among the most volatile periods for crypto markets, often producing exaggerated price swings.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1585\" data-end=\"1877\">Soni warns that sharp weekend rallies or sell-offs can be misleading and advises traders not to overreact. Historically, Bitcoin has tended to recover at moments when market sentiment is at its weakest, making emotionally driven decisions particularly risky during periods of heightened fear.<\/p>\n<h3 data-start=\"1879\" data-end=\"1918\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Is_a_Deeper_Decline_Still_Possible\"><\/span>Is a Deeper Decline Still Possible?<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"1920\" data-end=\"2210\">Despite the argument for a local bottom, several market observers remain skeptical. Veteran trader Peter Brandt has suggested that Bitcoin could still fall as low as $60,000 by the third quarter of 2026. His outlook is based on longer-term chart structures rather than short-term sentiment.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2212\" data-end=\"2439\">Crypto analyst Benjamin Cowen shares a similarly cautious stance, projecting that the true market cycle low may emerge in early October. However, he also notes that multiple relief rallies are likely to occur before that point.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2441\" data-end=\"2684\">Adding to the cautious outlook, Fidelity\u2019s Director of Global Macro Research, Jurrien Timmer, has described 2026 as a potential \u201cpause year\u201d for Bitcoin. In this scenario, prices could drift toward the $65,000 level as the market consolidates.<\/p>\n<h3 data-start=\"2686\" data-end=\"2714\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"A_Market_at_a_Crossroads\"><\/span>A Market at a Crossroads<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"2716\" data-end=\"3026\">While the $77,000 region is seen by some as a strong support zone, the broader outlook remains uncertain. With conflicting analyst views and elevated volatility, Bitcoin appears to be at a critical juncture. The coming months are likely to test investor patience as the market searches for a clearer direction.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3028\" data-end=\"3081\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\"><em data-start=\"3028\" data-end=\"3081\" data-is-last-node=\"\">This content does not constitute investment advice.<\/em><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3028\" data-end=\"3081\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\">A<em class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_processed\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">lso, you can freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, please follow us on our\u00a0<span class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_processed\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\"><a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/coinengineernews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">Telegram,\u00a0<\/a><\/span><a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@CoinEngineer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\"><span class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_processed\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">YouTube\u00a0<\/span><\/a>and\u00a0<span class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_processed\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\"><a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/coinengineers\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">Twitter<\/a>\u00a0<\/span>channels for the latest\u00a0<span class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_processed\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\"><a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" title=\"News\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/news\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"7\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">news<\/a><\/span>\u00a0and updates.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The sharp decline in Bitcoin price over the weekend has reignited an old but critical debate across crypto markets: has the bottom finally been reached, or is there more downside ahead? On Saturday, Bitcoin dropped nearly 7%, briefly touching the $77,000 level. While some analysts see this move as the deepest correction of the current<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":29,"featured_media":56879,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,2],"tags":[9176,15232,61,60,1589,22690],"class_list":["post-62865","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-crypto-news","category-news","tag-analyze","tag-bear","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-bull","tag-fall"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>How Much Further Can Bitcoin Fall? 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