{"id":63369,"date":"2026-02-10T14:00:30","date_gmt":"2026-02-10T11:00:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/?p=63369"},"modified":"2026-02-10T10:27:49","modified_gmt":"2026-02-10T07:27:49","slug":"analysts-warn-bitcoin-downtrend-may-persist-longer-than-expected","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/analysts-warn-bitcoin-downtrend-may-persist-longer-than-expected\/","title":{"rendered":"Analysts Warn Bitcoin Downtrend May Persist Longer Than Expected"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-start=\"442\" data-end=\"803\"><strong>Bitcoin<\/strong> (BTC) continues to struggle to regain momentum as it trades near the $68,000 level, with technical indicators suggesting that downside risks have not yet fully dissipated. While short-term relief rallies remain possible, <a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/is-polymarket-launching-a-token-poly-goes-official\/\">market<\/a> analysts increasingly agree that broader conditions point to sustained pressure before any meaningful recovery can take hold.<\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_71 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 eztoc-toggle-hide-by-default' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/analysts-warn-bitcoin-downtrend-may-persist-longer-than-expected\/#Bitcoin_Long-Term_Technical_Levels_Signal_Caution\" title=\"Bitcoin Long-Term Technical Levels Signal Caution\">Bitcoin Long-Term Technical Levels Signal Caution<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/analysts-warn-bitcoin-downtrend-may-persist-longer-than-expected\/#Rising_Share_of_Investors_in_Loss\" title=\"Rising Share of Investors in Loss\">Rising Share of Investors in Loss<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/analysts-warn-bitcoin-downtrend-may-persist-longer-than-expected\/#Persistent_Selling_Pressure_Limits_Upside\" title=\"Persistent Selling Pressure Limits Upside\">Persistent Selling Pressure Limits Upside<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/analysts-warn-bitcoin-downtrend-may-persist-longer-than-expected\/#Volume_Spike_Fuels_Bottom_Speculation\" title=\"Volume Spike Fuels Bottom Speculation\">Volume Spike Fuels Bottom Speculation<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/analysts-warn-bitcoin-downtrend-may-persist-longer-than-expected\/#Bitcoin_70000_Level_Lost_Again\" title=\"Bitcoin $70,000 Level Lost Again\">Bitcoin $70,000 Level Lost Again<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h3 data-start=\"805\" data-end=\"850\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Bitcoin_Long-Term_Technical_Levels_Signal_Caution\"><\/span>Bitcoin Long-Term Technical Levels Signal Caution<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"852\" data-end=\"1136\">From a structural perspective, Bitcoin has now closed below its 100-week moving average for three consecutive weeks and has remained under this critical trend line for 13 straight days. Historically, this level has acted as a key demarcation between bullish and bearish market phases.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1138\" data-end=\"1577\">Looking at previous market cycles, Bitcoin has spent an average of 267 days below the 100-week moving average during prolonged downturns. The shortest deviation occurred during the March 2020 pandemic-driven crash, when prices recovered after roughly 34 days. While the current situation does not rule out a temporary rebound, historical patterns suggest that extended consolidation below this level is more probable than a swift recovery.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1138\" data-end=\"1577\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-195444 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/BTCUSD_2026-02-10_10-20-16.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1281\" height=\"611\" \/><\/p>\n<h3 data-start=\"1579\" data-end=\"1616\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Rising_Share_of_Investors_in_Loss\"><\/span>Rising Share of Investors in Loss<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"1618\" data-end=\"1905\">On-chain data further reinforces the cautious outlook. The proportion of Bitcoin supply currently held at a loss has increased significantly, reaching levels typically observed only during deep bear market phases. Similar conditions were recorded near cycle lows in 2015, 2018, and 2022.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1907\" data-end=\"2124\">Although some analysts view these environments as long-term accumulation opportunities for patient investors, the growing share of unrealized losses also indicates that short-term selling pressure may remain elevated.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1907\" data-end=\"2124\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-195445 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/bitcoin-growth-scaled.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1440\" \/><\/p>\n<h3 data-start=\"2126\" data-end=\"2171\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Persistent_Selling_Pressure_Limits_Upside\"><\/span>Persistent Selling Pressure Limits Upside<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"2173\" data-end=\"2527\">Market participants note that ongoing distribution has made it difficult for Bitcoin to establish a sustained upward trend. Without a clear improvement in demand dynamics, leveraged moves or sharp relief rallies are likely to remain limited. Analysts emphasize that a healthier market structure is needed before large-scale buyers return with conviction.<\/p>\n<h3 data-start=\"2529\" data-end=\"2570\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Volume_Spike_Fuels_Bottom_Speculation\"><\/span>Volume Spike Fuels Bottom Speculation<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"2572\" data-end=\"2881\">During the recent decline toward the $60,000 level, trading volume surged to one of its highest readings since the 2022 market bottom. Historically, such volume spikes have often coincided with major inflection points, raising questions about whether the $60,000 area could represent a potential local bottom.<\/p>\n<h3 data-start=\"2883\" data-end=\"2911\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Bitcoin_70000_Level_Lost_Again\"><\/span>Bitcoin $70,000 Level Lost Again<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"2913\" data-end=\"3313\">Bitcoin briefly attempted to reclaim the $70,000 level earlier in the week but failed twice, slipping back toward $69,000 during the Asian trading session. Following the sharp drop to $60,000 on Friday, BTC has entered a period of sideways movement and now trades approximately 44% below its recent peak. Overall, current conditions suggest that downside risks remain firmly in play in the near term.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3315\" data-end=\"3368\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\"><em data-start=\"3315\" data-end=\"3368\" data-is-last-node=\"\">This content does not constitute investment advice.<\/em><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3315\" data-end=\"3368\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\"><em>You can also freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, don\u2019t forget to follow us on our\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/coinengineernews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Telegram,\u00a0<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@CoinEngineer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">YouTube<\/a>,\u00a0and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/coinengineers\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Twitter<\/a>\u00a0channels for the latest\u00a0<a title=\"News\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/news\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"7\">news<\/a> and updates.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin (BTC) continues to struggle to regain momentum as it trades near the $68,000 level, with technical indicators suggesting that downside risks have not yet fully dissipated. While short-term relief rallies remain possible, market analysts increasingly agree that broader conditions point to sustained pressure before any meaningful recovery can take hold. Bitcoin Long-Term Technical Levels<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":29,"featured_media":56879,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,2],"tags":[15232,61,60,2352,22690,4110],"class_list":["post-63369","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-crypto-news","category-news","tag-bear","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-data","tag-fall","tag-santiment"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Analysts Warn Bitcoin Downtrend May Persist Longer Than Expected - Coin Engineer<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin struggling around the 68K mark suggests that technical indicators indicate that downside risks have not yet completely disappeared.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/analysts-warn-bitcoin-downtrend-may-persist-longer-than-expected\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Analysts Warn Bitcoin Downtrend May Persist Longer Than Expected - 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