{"id":63595,"date":"2026-02-13T14:30:30","date_gmt":"2026-02-13T11:30:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/?p=63595"},"modified":"2026-02-13T10:56:59","modified_gmt":"2026-02-13T07:56:59","slug":"bitcoin-slips-as-bitwise-cio-signals-bullish-turn","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/bitcoin-slips-as-bitwise-cio-signals-bullish-turn\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Slips as Bitwise CIO Signals Bullish Turn"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-start=\"376\" data-end=\"684\"><strong>Bitcoin<\/strong> fell to around $65,500 during the morning hours of February 13, posting an approximate 2% decline over the past 24 hours. Funding rates across major exchanges turned sharply negative, while short positions in futures markets increased rapidly and open interest began to show signs of imbalance.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"686\" data-end=\"1090\">At first glance, the picture looks bleak. But when on-chain data is read alongside <a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/bitcoin-and-ethereums-3-billion-options-day\/\">derivatives<\/a> markets, a more complex story emerges. Institutional announcements over the past 48 hours suggest that structural momentum may be building even as spot demand remains weak. A similar funding\u2013price divergence last appeared in August 2024, after which Bitcoin rallied roughly 83% over the following four months.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1092\" data-end=\"1341\">Speaking against this backdrop, <span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">Matt Hougan<\/span><\/span>, CIO of Bitwise Asset Management, says that despite the current downturn, four core themes are quietly forming beneath the surface that could fuel the next Bitcoin bull cycle.<\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_71 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 eztoc-toggle-hide-by-default' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/bitcoin-slips-as-bitwise-cio-signals-bullish-turn\/#Four_Critical_Trends_on_Hougans_Radar\" title=\"Four Critical Trends on Hougan\u2019s Radar\">Four Critical Trends on Hougan\u2019s Radar<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/bitcoin-slips-as-bitwise-cio-signals-bullish-turn\/#Santiment_Short_Squeeze_Risk_Is_Rising\" title=\"Santiment: Short Squeeze Risk Is Rising\">Santiment: Short Squeeze Risk Is Rising<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/bitcoin-slips-as-bitwise-cio-signals-bullish-turn\/#El_Salvador_and_Macro_Pressure_Add_to_the_Backdrop\" title=\"El Salvador and Macro Pressure Add to the Backdrop\">El Salvador and Macro Pressure Add to the Backdrop<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2 data-start=\"1348\" data-end=\"1389\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Four_Critical_Trends_on_Hougans_Radar\"><\/span>Four Critical Trends on Hougan\u2019s Radar<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"1391\" data-end=\"1503\">According to Hougan, markets may appear fragile, but a silent build-out is underway at the infrastructure level.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1505\" data-end=\"1962\">The first inflection point is so-called <em data-start=\"1545\" data-end=\"1562\">agentic finance<\/em>\u2014autonomous software agents capable of executing on-chain activity. Hougan points to the Agentic Wallets framework recently announced by <span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">Coinbase<\/span><\/span>. The system allows agents to hold identity on-chain, manage funds, and transact without human intervention. Spending can be programmed, permissioned execution is supported, and transfers on Base can be completed gas-free.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1964\" data-end=\"2338\">The second theme is accelerating institutional DeFi adoption. Hougan highlights <span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">BlackRock<\/span><\/span>\u2019s plan to bring its BUIDL token to the <span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">Uniswap<\/span><\/span> ecosystem. The move is expected to include UNI purchases as part of the rollout. While still early, Wall Street capital moving on-chain signals a gradual behavioral shift.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2340\" data-end=\"2699\">The third factor is more technical: preparation for quantum risk. With Bitcoin Improvement Proposal 360 entering the official BIP repository, the network has taken its first concrete steps toward strengthening resilience against future quantum threats. It remains early-stage, but addressing this at the protocol level already matters for long-term investors.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2701\" data-end=\"3026\">The fourth\u2014and perhaps quietest\u2014trend is tokenization. Just last week, new initiatives were announced by <span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">CME Group<\/span><\/span>, <span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">Broadridge Financial Solutions<\/span><\/span>, and <span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">UBS<\/span><\/span>. The migration of traditional assets onto blockchain rails continues to expand steadily.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3028\" data-end=\"3196\">Hougan\u2019s view is straightforward: price pressure may be temporary, but these four developments are laying the groundwork for a new wave of liquidity in the medium term.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"3203\" data-end=\"3273\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Santiment_Short_Squeeze_Risk_Is_Rising\"><\/span><span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">Santiment<\/span><\/span>: Short Squeeze Risk Is Rising<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"3275\" data-end=\"3453\">Another notable signal is emerging from derivatives markets. Analytics platform Santiment reports that funding rates across exchanges have dropped into deeply negative territory.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3455\" data-end=\"3649\">What does this mean? In perpetual futures markets, short positions have become so crowded that they are now paying longs\u2014an indication that much of the market is positioned for further downside.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3651\" data-end=\"3892\">Santiment notes that funding rates last reached comparable levels in August 2024. At that time, traders increased bearish exposure. Shortly afterward, price direction reversed. Bitcoin went on to gain more than 80% over the following months.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3894\" data-end=\"4104\">Such imbalances tend to resolve quickly. As prices begin to rise, leveraged shorts are forced into liquidation. Exchanges close these positions, triggering cascading buy orders\u2014a classic short squeeze scenario.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"4106\" data-end=\"4398\">Santiment also references a liquidation event on <span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">Binance<\/span><\/span> on October 10, 2025. That episode saw long positions wiped out first, followed by a sharp rise in short interest. Current funding data suggests a similar psychological imbalance across exchanges today.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"4405\" data-end=\"4458\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"El_Salvador_and_Macro_Pressure_Add_to_the_Backdrop\"><\/span>El Salvador and Macro Pressure Add to the Backdrop<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"4460\" data-end=\"4797\">Macro headwinds remain significant. According to <span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">Bloomberg<\/span><\/span>, Bitcoin\u2019s latest pullback has resulted in roughly $300 million in paper losses on El Salvador\u2019s holdings. President <span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">Nayib Bukele<\/span><\/span> continues to buy Bitcoin, but the strategy is increasing the country\u2019s credit risk.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"4799\" data-end=\"5049\">Meanwhile, negotiations with the <span class=\"hover:entity-accent entity-underline inline cursor-pointer align-baseline\"><span class=\"whitespace-normal\">International Monetary Fund<\/span><\/span> over a $1.4 billion loan package have grown more complex. Upcoming debt payments, delayed pension reforms, and continued crypto purchases are weighing on investor sentiment.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"5051\" data-end=\"5099\">This, in turn, is limiting global risk appetite.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"5106\" data-end=\"5342\">In summary: Bitcoin prices are weak, spot demand remains fragile, and short exposure dominates derivatives markets. At the same time, agentic finance, institutional DeFi, quantum security efforts, and tokenization are quietly advancing.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"5344\" data-end=\"5488\">Bull markets often begin when headlines are pessimistic. What we\u2019re seeing now fits that pattern\u2014selling on the surface, preparation underneath.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"5344\" data-end=\"5488\"><em>In the comment section, you can freely share your comments about the topic. Additionally, don\u2019t forget to follow us on\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/coinengineernews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">Telegram,\u00a0<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@CoinEngineer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">YouTube<\/a>,\u00a0and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/coinengineers\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Twitter<\/a>\u00a0for the latest\u00a0<a title=\"News\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/news\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"7\">news<\/a>\u00a0and updates.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin fell to around $65,500 during the morning hours of February 13, posting an approximate 2% decline over the past 24 hours. Funding rates across major exchanges turned sharply negative, while short positions in futures markets increased rapidly and open interest began to show signs of imbalance. At first glance, the picture looks bleak. But<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":36,"featured_media":63148,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,2],"tags":[25004,27873,10425,27876,14084,27874,27875],"class_list":["post-63595","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-crypto-news","category-news","tag-agentic-finance","tag-bitcoin-bullish-signals","tag-bitcoin-price-drop","tag-crypto-futures-market","tag-institutional-defi","tag-negative-funding-rates","tag-short-squeeze-risk"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin Slips as Bitwise CIO Signals Bullish Turn - Coin Engineer<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin drops to $65,500 as Bitwise CIO flags four bullish signals. 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