{"id":63684,"date":"2026-02-15T13:30:48","date_gmt":"2026-02-15T10:30:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/?p=63684"},"modified":"2026-02-15T11:20:55","modified_gmt":"2026-02-15T08:20:55","slug":"why-isnt-crypto-rising-fed-minutes-and-pce-hold-the-key","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/why-isnt-crypto-rising-fed-minutes-and-pce-hold-the-key\/","title":{"rendered":"Why Isn\u2019t Crypto Rising? Fed Minutes and PCE Hold the Key"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-start=\"240\" data-end=\"628\">As crypto markets head into the week of February 15, 2026, global investors are bracing for an intense concentration of macro data. Minutes from the Federal Reserve, the PCE inflation report, and a pending <strong>U.S. tariff<\/strong> ruling are all landing on the same calendar. <strong>Rate-cut<\/strong> expectations are being repriced, while investors closely monitor both inflation direction and signals from the trade front.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"630\" data-end=\"787\">Some assets remain calm, others shift direction on a single headline. This week\u2019s numbers could push the expected rate path further out than many anticipate.<\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_71 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 eztoc-toggle-hide-by-default' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/why-isnt-crypto-rising-fed-minutes-and-pce-hold-the-key\/#Why_Crypto_Still_Feels_Cautious\" title=\"Why Crypto Still Feels Cautious\">Why Crypto Still Feels Cautious<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/why-isnt-crypto-rising-fed-minutes-and-pce-hold-the-key\/#Banks_See_Sticky_Inflation\" title=\"Banks See Sticky Inflation\">Banks See Sticky Inflation<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/why-isnt-crypto-rising-fed-minutes-and-pce-hold-the-key\/#Why_Rate-Cut_Hopes_Are_Slipping\" title=\"Why Rate-Cut Hopes Are Slipping\">Why Rate-Cut Hopes Are Slipping<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/why-isnt-crypto-rising-fed-minutes-and-pce-hold-the-key\/#The_Number_Markets_Are_Stuck_On\" title=\"The Number Markets Are Stuck On\">The Number Markets Are Stuck On<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2 data-start=\"794\" data-end=\"828\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Why_Crypto_Still_Feels_Cautious\"><\/span>Why Crypto Still Feels Cautious<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"830\" data-end=\"1272\">Why can\u2019t cryptocurrencies gain upside momentum? The answer isn\u2019t found only in charts or <a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/what-happened-in-crypto-over-the-weekend\/\">whale<\/a> activity. This week\u2019s incoming data wave is reshaping macro expectations and once again putting the long-discussed rally narrative to the test. Even a small deviation in the PCE print could shelve the rate-cut timeline. That\u2019s why understanding why markets may be forced to accept a \u201chigher for longer\u201d scenario is becoming increasingly critical.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"1279\" data-end=\"1308\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Banks_See_Sticky_Inflation\"><\/span>Banks See Sticky Inflation<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"1310\" data-end=\"1492\">Major banks still don\u2019t see a comforting picture in core PCE. Goldman Sachs points to core PCE tracking near 3% year over year \u2014 a level that keeps distance from the Fed\u2019s 2% target.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1494\" data-end=\"1731\">Bank of America echoes that view, flagging near-term inflation stickiness. The shared takeaway is clear: without convincing cooling, policymakers are unlikely to move quickly. That keeps the risk of delayed rate cuts firmly on the table.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"1738\" data-end=\"1772\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Why_Rate-Cut_Hopes_Are_Slipping\"><\/span>Why Rate-Cut Hopes Are Slipping<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"1774\" data-end=\"2073\">It\u2019s not just inflation making markets uneasy \u2014 the legal front is tense as well. A true data deluge lies ahead. The PCE price index and Fed minutes will offer clues on disinflation momentum, while the Supreme Court of the United States is expected to deliver a key ruling tied to Trump-era tariffs.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2075\" data-end=\"2293\">That case adds another layer of uncertainty to trade policy. If the Court narrows presidential authority, pressure on import costs could ease over time \u2014 though any inflation impact would likely take longer to surface.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"2300\" data-end=\"2334\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"The_Number_Markets_Are_Stuck_On\"><\/span>The Number Markets Are Stuck On<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"2336\" data-end=\"2621\">Persistently elevated core PCE reinforces the \u201chigher for longer\u201d narrative. Financial conditions have become increasingly sensitive to every incremental data point. On the trade side, the future of tariffs remains pivotal, especially for sectors already operating under cost pressure.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2623\" data-end=\"2867\">Some economists push back on claims that rolling back emergency tariffs would trigger economic disaster. Instead, many argue that businesses are already grappling with high input costs \u2014 and that uncertainty itself has become a separate burden.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2869\" data-end=\"3128\">With the macro calendar packed, crypto markets remain fragile. At the time of writing, Bitcoin was fluctuating around the $69,000 level, with volatility staying elevated. Risk sentiment from traditional markets continues to spill directly into digital assets.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3130\" data-end=\"3350\">If rate-cut expectations slide further, pressure on risk assets could intensify in the short term. That\u2019s why investors are watching Fed minutes and PCE not just for bonds and equities \u2014 but for crypto direction as well.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"4719\" data-end=\"4745\"><em class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_processed\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">You can also freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, don\u2019t forget to follow us on our\u00a0<a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/coinengineernews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">Telegram,\u00a0<\/a><a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@CoinEngineer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">YouTube<\/a>,\u00a0and\u00a0<a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/coinengineers\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">Twitter<\/a>\u00a0channels for\u00a0<\/em><em class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_processed\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">the latest\u00a0<a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" title=\"News\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/news\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"7\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">news<\/a>\u00a0and updates.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As crypto markets head into the week of February 15, 2026, global investors are bracing for an intense concentration of macro data. Minutes from the Federal Reserve, the PCE inflation report, and a pending U.S. tariff ruling are all landing on the same calendar. Rate-cut expectations are being repriced, while investors closely monitor both inflation<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":36,"featured_media":54858,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[657,2],"tags":[27027,5367,27906,13533,17851,27905],"class_list":["post-63684","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-en","category-news","tag-bitcoin-price-pressure","tag-fed-minutes","tag-global-market-volatility","tag-pce-inflation","tag-rate-cut-expectations","tag-why-crypto-isnt-rising"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Why Isn\u2019t Crypto Rising? 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