{"id":63713,"date":"2026-02-16T16:00:23","date_gmt":"2026-02-16T13:00:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/?p=63713"},"modified":"2026-02-16T11:02:32","modified_gmt":"2026-02-16T08:02:32","slug":"will-the-chinese-new-year-trigger-a-sell-off-in-bitcoin","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/will-the-chinese-new-year-trigger-a-sell-off-in-bitcoin\/","title":{"rendered":"Will The Chinese New Year Trigger a Sell-Off in Bitcoin?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-start=\"53\" data-end=\"388\"><strong>Bitcoin<\/strong> is currently stabilizing around the $68,500 level as traders evaluate whether the <a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/major-move-from-chinese-exchange-founder-1-billion-ethereum-purchase-on-the-way\/\"><strong>Chinese New Year<\/strong><\/a> period could introduce short-term volatility into the market. In previous cycles, this seasonal window has occasionally aligned with temporary liquidity shifts in crypto assets, prompting renewed debate about its potential impact.<\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_71 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 eztoc-toggle-hide-by-default' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/will-the-chinese-new-year-trigger-a-sell-off-in-bitcoin\/#Seasonal_Pattern_or_Market_Myth\" title=\"Seasonal Pattern or Market Myth?\">Seasonal Pattern or Market Myth?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/will-the-chinese-new-year-trigger-a-sell-off-in-bitcoin\/#What_the_Technical_Picture_Reveals_for_Bitcoin\" title=\"What the Technical Picture Reveals for Bitcoin\">What the Technical Picture Reveals for Bitcoin<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2 data-start=\"390\" data-end=\"426\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Seasonal_Pattern_or_Market_Myth\"><\/span>Seasonal Pattern or Market Myth?<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"428\" data-end=\"825\">There is a recurring narrative that Bitcoin and the broader crypto market sometimes experience weakness ahead of the Lunar New Year. The reasoning behind this theory suggests that Asia-based investors may reduce exposure before the holiday to increase cash holdings, creating short-term selling pressure. In certain past cycles, BTC did post pullbacks in the days leading up to the holiday period.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"827\" data-end=\"1221\">However, this pattern has not been consistent. In several instances, Bitcoin prices moved higher shortly after the celebrations concluded. Moreover, today\u2019s crypto market structure is far more globally diversified than in earlier years. With capital flows distributed across multiple regions, it is increasingly unlikely that a single regional holiday alone can dictate overall price direction.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1223\" data-end=\"1616\">At the same time, retail investor behavior presents a contrasting dynamic. Recent data indicates that February balances for BTC and ETH are equal to or higher than December levels, suggesting that many individual investors are continuing to accumulate during dips rather than exiting positions. If this accumulation trend persists, it could help absorb any temporary seasonal selling pressure.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1223\" data-end=\"1616\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-196317 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/cin-yeni-yili-bitcoin.webp\" alt=\"\" width=\"1440\" height=\"810\" \/><\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"1618\" data-end=\"1656\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_the_Technical_Picture_Reveals_for_Bitcoin\"><\/span>What the Technical Picture Reveals for Bitcoin<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"1658\" data-end=\"1966\">On the daily timeframe, Bitcoin remains below its 50-day simple moving average near $83,900, confirming that the short-term trend is still tilted to the downside. Since peaking in the mid-$90,000 range in January, price action has formed a sequence of lower highs, reinforcing the technically weak structure.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1968\" data-end=\"2212\">The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering around 35, having rebounded from deeply oversold levels near 20 earlier this month. While this recovery signals that selling momentum has cooled, it does not yet confirm a definitive trend reversal.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2214\" data-end=\"2631\">Immediate support sits near $65,000, with a stronger demand zone between $60,000 and $62,000. On the upside, resistance is seen around $72,000, followed by a heavier supply area between $76,000 and $80,000. A break below $65,000 could open the door to further downside toward $60,000, whereas a sustained move above $72,000 would indicate that bullish momentum is regaining traction\u2014regardless of seasonal narratives.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2633\" data-end=\"2673\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\"><em data-start=\"2633\" data-end=\"2673\" data-is-last-node=\"\">This content is not investment advice.<\/em><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2633\" data-end=\"2673\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\"><em>You can also freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, don\u2019t forget to follow us on our\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/coinengineernews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Telegram,\u00a0<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@CoinEngineer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">YouTube<\/a>,\u00a0and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/coinengineers\">Twitter<\/a>\u00a0channels for the latest news and updates.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin is currently stabilizing around the $68,500 level as traders evaluate whether the Chinese New Year period could introduce short-term volatility into the market. In previous cycles, this seasonal window has occasionally aligned with temporary liquidity shifts in crypto assets, prompting renewed debate about its potential impact. Seasonal Pattern or Market Myth? There is a<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":29,"featured_media":63714,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,2],"tags":[61,60,6439,1205,26826,6440,10955],"class_list":["post-63713","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-crypto-news","category-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-buy","tag-china","tag-new-year","tag-sell","tag-sell-off"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Will The Chinese New Year Trigger a Sell-Off in Bitcoin? - Coin Engineer<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin is currently stabilizing around the $68K level as traders evaluate whether the New Year period could introduce the volatility.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/will-the-chinese-new-year-trigger-a-sell-off-in-bitcoin\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Will The Chinese New Year Trigger a Sell-Off in Bitcoin? 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