{"id":64632,"date":"2026-03-02T11:00:04","date_gmt":"2026-03-02T08:00:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/?p=64632"},"modified":"2026-03-02T09:13:14","modified_gmt":"2026-03-02T06:13:14","slug":"hayes-the-fed-may-print-money-to-offset-rising-geopolitical-tensions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/hayes-the-fed-may-print-money-to-offset-rising-geopolitical-tensions\/","title":{"rendered":"Hayes: The Fed May Print Money to Offset Rising Geopolitical Tensions"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-start=\"74\" data-end=\"433\">BitMEX co-founder Arthur <a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/arthur-hayes-reveals-the-4-cryptocurrencies-in-his-portfolio\/\"><strong>Hayes<\/strong> <\/a>argues that escalating military tensions between the United States and Iran could have meaningful implications for monetary policy. According to Hayes, if President Donald Trump commits to a prolonged and costly engagement in Iran, the likelihood increases that the Federal Reserve (<strong>Fed<\/strong>) will pivot toward a more accommodative stance.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"435\" data-end=\"774\">Hayes frames the issue through a macro-historical lens, suggesting that large-scale US military operations have often coincided with looser monetary conditions. In his view, extended geopolitical commitments tend to place fiscal pressure on Washington, creating an environment where expanding liquidity becomes a practical policy response.<\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_71 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 eztoc-toggle-hide-by-default' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/hayes-the-fed-may-print-money-to-offset-rising-geopolitical-tensions\/#Historical_Examples_Wars_and_Fed_Money_Printing\" title=\"Historical Examples: Wars and Fed Money Printing\">Historical Examples: Wars and Fed Money Printing<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/hayes-the-fed-may-print-money-to-offset-rising-geopolitical-tensions\/#A_Wait-and-See_Approach\" title=\"A Wait-and-See Approach\">A Wait-and-See Approach<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/hayes-the-fed-may-print-money-to-offset-rising-geopolitical-tensions\/#Markets_Remain_Measured\" title=\"Markets Remain Measured\">Markets Remain Measured<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h3 data-start=\"776\" data-end=\"829\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Historical_Examples_Wars_and_Fed_Money_Printing\"><\/span>Historical Examples: Wars and Fed Money Printing<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"831\" data-end=\"1182\">Looking back at post-1985 conflicts in the Middle East, Hayes highlights several episodes where military involvement was followed by rate cuts or monetary easing. The 1990 Gulf War, the global war on terror after the September 11 attacks in 2001, and the 2009 troop surge in Afghanistan all occurred alongside periods of Federal Reserve accommodation.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1184\" data-end=\"1590\">His argument is that financing large-scale geopolitical strategies frequently requires supportive monetary conditions. If the US were to embark on a long-term and expensive political restructuring effort in Iran, similar dynamics could re-emerge. In such a scenario, lower interest rates and increased money supply would not only ease fiscal strain but also inject additional liquidity into global markets.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1592\" data-end=\"1773\">For digital assets, that liquidity expansion could serve as a tailwind. Historically, risk assets\u2014including cryptocurrencies\u2014have responded positively to periods of monetary easing.<\/p>\n<h3 data-start=\"1775\" data-end=\"1802\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"A_Wait-and-See_Approach\"><\/span>A Wait-and-See Approach<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"1804\" data-end=\"2129\">Despite outlining a potentially bullish framework for crypto markets, Hayes advises caution. The scale and duration of US involvement in Iran remain uncertain, as does the political tolerance for sustained financial and geopolitical costs. For now, he suggests monitoring developments rather than front-running policy shifts.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2131\" data-end=\"2307\">In his assessment, the optimal entry point for Bitcoin and higher-quality altcoins would materialize only after the Fed explicitly signals rate cuts or balance sheet expansion.<\/p>\n<h3 data-start=\"2309\" data-end=\"2336\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Markets_Remain_Measured\"><\/span>Markets Remain Measured<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"2338\" data-end=\"2668\">Although weekend airstrikes by the US and Israel on Iranian targets triggered heightened rhetoric on social media, broader financial markets have not displayed signs of systemic panic. US stock futures opened with only modest declines, oil prices retraced roughly half of their initial surge, and the S&amp;P 500 fell by less than 1%.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_198161\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-198161\" style=\"width: 1199px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-198161 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/fed-para-basma.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1199\" height=\"673\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-198161\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Crypto social media mentions of WWIII spiked.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p data-start=\"2670\" data-end=\"2909\">This muted reaction suggests that, at least for now, markets are not pricing in a full-scale global crisis. The key variable moving forward will be whether geopolitical escalation translates into a decisive shift in Federal Reserve policy.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2911\" data-end=\"2951\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\"><em data-start=\"2911\" data-end=\"2951\" data-is-last-node=\"\">This content is not investment advice.<\/em><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2911\" data-end=\"2951\" data-is-last-node=\"\" data-is-only-node=\"\"><em>Also, in the comment section, you can freely share your comments and opinions about the topic. Additionally, don\u2019t forget to follow us on\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/coinengineernews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Telegram<\/a>,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@CoinEngineer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">YouTube<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/coinengineers\">Twitter<\/a>\u00a0for the latest news and updates.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes argues that escalating military tensions between the United States and Iran could have meaningful implications for monetary policy. According to Hayes, if President Donald Trump commits to a prolonged and costly engagement in Iran, the likelihood increases that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will pivot toward a more accommodative stance. Hayes frames<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":29,"featured_media":53170,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10,2],"tags":[640,8776,1882,27753,24791,1219],"class_list":["post-64632","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economy-news","category-news","tag-fed","tag-iran","tag-israel","tag-money-printing","tag-qe","tag-us"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Hayes: The Fed May Print Money to Offset Rising Geopolitical Tensions - Coin Engineer<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Hayes suggested that the Federal Reserve (FED) might print money as a result of the escalating military tensions between the US and Iran!\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/hayes-the-fed-may-print-money-to-offset-rising-geopolitical-tensions\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Hayes: The Fed May Print Money to Offset Rising Geopolitical Tensions - 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