{"id":64988,"date":"2026-03-06T15:00:32","date_gmt":"2026-03-06T12:00:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/?p=64988"},"modified":"2026-03-06T10:45:40","modified_gmt":"2026-03-06T07:45:40","slug":"arthur-hayes-rising-oil-prices-could-force-fed-to-print-money","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/arthur-hayes-rising-oil-prices-could-force-fed-to-print-money\/","title":{"rendered":"Arthur Hayes: Rising Oil Prices Could Force Fed to Print Money!"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-start=\"293\" data-end=\"706\">Tensions between the US and Iran in the <strong>Middle East<\/strong> have pushed <a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/dollar-rises-euro-gold-and-oil-prices-move\/\"><strong>Brent<\/strong><\/a> crude oil prices up by nearly 20%, drawing attention from both investors and the crypto community. Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX and a leading figure in crypto, warned that rising energy costs could corner the <strong>US Federal Reserve<\/strong> (Fed) and eventually trigger a \u201cmoney printing\u201d mechanism. So, what could this mean for the crypto markets?<\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_71 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 eztoc-toggle-hide-by-default' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/arthur-hayes-rising-oil-prices-could-force-fed-to-print-money\/#US-Iran_Tensions_and_the_Oil_Market\" title=\"US-Iran Tensions and the Oil Market\">US-Iran Tensions and the Oil Market<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/arthur-hayes-rising-oil-prices-could-force-fed-to-print-money\/#The_Connection_Between_Oil_the_Fed_and_Bitcoin\" title=\"The Connection Between Oil, the Fed, and Bitcoin\">The Connection Between Oil, the Fed, and Bitcoin<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/arthur-hayes-rising-oil-prices-could-force-fed-to-print-money\/#US_Intervention_and_Oil_Prices\" title=\"US Intervention and Oil Prices\">US Intervention and Oil Prices<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/arthur-hayes-rising-oil-prices-could-force-fed-to-print-money\/#Bitcoin_and_Crypto_Market_Reaction\" title=\"Bitcoin and Crypto Market Reaction\">Bitcoin and Crypto Market Reaction<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/arthur-hayes-rising-oil-prices-could-force-fed-to-print-money\/#Micro_Data_and_Analytical_Notes\" title=\"Micro Data and Analytical Notes\">Micro Data and Analytical Notes<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h3 data-section-id=\"1d1rbn6\" data-start=\"708\" data-end=\"749\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"US-Iran_Tensions_and_the_Oil_Market\"><\/span>US-Iran Tensions and the Oil Market<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"751\" data-end=\"1107\">The US-Iran conflict has rapidly pushed Brent crude higher. According to Hayes, if prices remain at these levels, 10-year Treasury yields could spike in a volatile way, potentially driving the MOVE Index upward; this is considered a prerequisite for Fed money printing. It\u2019s still early, but investors should watch this closely as an important indicator.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1109\" data-end=\"1247\">Similar past scenarios have prompted the Fed to expand its balance sheet and inject liquidity, supporting Bitcoin and other risk assets.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1109\" data-end=\"1247\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-64989\" src=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/btc-1024x596.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1020\" height=\"594\" srcset=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/btc-1024x596.png 1024w, https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/btc-300x175.png 300w, https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/btc-768x447.png 768w, https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/btc-1536x894.png 1536w, https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/btc-2048x1192.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1020px) 100vw, 1020px\" \/><\/p>\n<h3 data-section-id=\"laf1qg\" data-start=\"1249\" data-end=\"1303\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"The_Connection_Between_Oil_the_Fed_and_Bitcoin\"><\/span>The Connection Between Oil, the Fed, and Bitcoin<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"1305\" data-end=\"1741\">When Middle East tensions push Brent crude higher, energy costs increase, creating inflationary pressure in the economy. Historically, the Fed has responded to economic stress or rising costs by providing liquidity through money printing or balance sheet expansion. While higher oil prices don\u2019t directly force the Fed to print money, the chain reaction can boost liquidity and create upward pressure on Bitcoin and other risk assets.<\/p>\n<h3 data-section-id=\"1wc3w7u\" data-start=\"1743\" data-end=\"1779\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"US_Intervention_and_Oil_Prices\"><\/span>US Intervention and Oil Prices<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"1781\" data-end=\"2168\">US President Donald Trump previously confirmed that the geopolitical conflict in the Middle East could last for weeks. Meanwhile, the Trump administration has taken steps to keep oil prices in check. India was granted a 30-day waiver to buy Russian oil, temporarily stabilizing markets. Today, Brent crude is trading around <strong data-start=\"2105\" data-end=\"2112\">$80<\/strong>, providing a fresh market signal for Google Discover.<\/p>\n<h3 data-section-id=\"1jht993\" data-start=\"2170\" data-end=\"2210\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Bitcoin_and_Crypto_Market_Reaction\"><\/span>Bitcoin and Crypto Market Reaction<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"2212\" data-end=\"2505\">Historically, Fed money printing has triggered sharp Bitcoin rallies. Currently, Bitcoin and the broader crypto market are lagging due to low liquidity and bear market sentiment. Hayes notes that taking positions before confirmed Fed rate cuts or balance sheet expansions would be premature.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2507\" data-end=\"2705\">Crypto investors should also monitor rising inflation concerns, which could reduce the likelihood of Fed rate cuts. According to the CME FedWatch tool, a potential rate cut may occur in September.<\/p>\n<h3 data-section-id=\"jzxhu4\" data-start=\"2707\" data-end=\"2744\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Micro_Data_and_Analytical_Notes\"><\/span>Micro Data and Analytical Notes<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<ul data-start=\"2746\" data-end=\"2970\">\n<li data-section-id=\"1cb8lsa\" data-start=\"2746\" data-end=\"2783\">\n<p data-start=\"2748\" data-end=\"2783\">Brent crude: $80 (down ~1% today)<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-section-id=\"kvhbs6\" data-start=\"2784\" data-end=\"2843\">\n<p data-start=\"2786\" data-end=\"2843\">10-year Treasury yield: rising, aligned with MOVE Index<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-section-id=\"1t2lm4r\" data-start=\"2844\" data-end=\"2885\">\n<p data-start=\"2846\" data-end=\"2885\">MOVE Index: potential upward movement<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-section-id=\"19il57y\" data-start=\"2886\" data-end=\"2970\">\n<p data-start=\"2888\" data-end=\"2970\">Bitcoin: liquidity is low, but potential rallies may occur with Fed intervention<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><em class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_processed\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">Also, in the comment section, you can freely share your comments and opinions about the topic. Additionally, don\u2019t forget to follow us on\u00a0<a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/coinengineernews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">Telegram<\/a>,\u00a0<a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@CoinEngineer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">YouTube<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0<a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/coinengineers\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">Twitter<\/a>\u00a0for the latest\u00a0<a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" title=\"News\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/news\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"7\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">news<\/a>\u00a0and updates.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Tensions between the US and Iran in the Middle East have pushed Brent crude oil prices up by nearly 20%, drawing attention from both investors and the crypto community. Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX and a leading figure in crypto, warned that rising energy costs could corner the US Federal Reserve (Fed) and eventually trigger<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":36,"featured_media":41100,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[657,2],"tags":[28426,10651,28424,28425,28261],"class_list":["post-64988","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-en","category-news","tag-artur-hayes-fed","tag-bitcoin-rally","tag-brent-crude-prices","tag-fed-money-printing","tag-us-iran-conflict"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Arthur Hayes: Rising Oil Prices Could Force Fed to Print Money! - Coin Engineer<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"US-Iran tensions push Brent crude higher. 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