{"id":65113,"date":"2026-03-09T17:00:53","date_gmt":"2026-03-09T14:00:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/?p=65113"},"modified":"2026-03-09T10:35:41","modified_gmt":"2026-03-09T07:35:41","slug":"can-bitcoin-reach-500000-new-cycle-being-discussed","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/can-bitcoin-reach-500000-new-cycle-being-discussed\/","title":{"rendered":"Can Bitcoin Reach $500,000? New Cycle Being Discussed"},"content":{"rendered":"<p dir=\"auto\">Discussions about how high <strong>Bitcoin<\/strong> can go in the current market <a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/where-is-the-bottom-according-to-the-bitcoin-cycle\/\"><strong>cycle<\/strong> <\/a>have flared up again in the cryptocurrency market. In particular, some analysts argue that Bitcoin could reach quite high price levels in the 2024\u20132028 halving cycle. One of the names defending this view is the analyst PlanB, known for the Stock-to-Flow model.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"auto\">According to PlanB, considering Bitcoin\u2019s supply structure and past market cycles, much higher price levels appear theoretically possible in this cycle. This assessment is based on economic models relying on Bitcoin\u2019s limited supply.<\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_71 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 eztoc-toggle-hide-by-default' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/can-bitcoin-reach-500000-new-cycle-being-discussed\/#What_Does_the_Stock-to-Flow_Model_Say\" title=\"What Does the Stock-to-Flow Model Say?\">What Does the Stock-to-Flow Model Say?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/can-bitcoin-reach-500000-new-cycle-being-discussed\/#There_Are_Also_More_Cautious_Forecasts\" title=\"There Are Also More Cautious Forecasts\">There Are Also More Cautious Forecasts<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/can-bitcoin-reach-500000-new-cycle-being-discussed\/#Short-Term_Outlook_for_Bitcoin\" title=\"Short-Term Outlook for Bitcoin\">Short-Term Outlook for Bitcoin<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2 dir=\"auto\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_Does_the_Stock-to-Flow_Model_Say\"><\/span>What Does the Stock-to-Flow Model Say?<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p dir=\"auto\">At the core of PlanB\u2019s analysis lies the Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model. This model attempts to measure scarcity by comparing an asset\u2019s existing stock with the rate of new production. For assets with limited supply like Bitcoin, this approach provides a framework for understanding potential value increases.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"auto\">The \u201chalving\u201d event that occurs approximately every four years in the Bitcoin network halves the block reward miners receive. This mechanism reduces the amount of newly produced Bitcoin while also restricting the new supply entering the market. If demand remains the same or increases, this scarcity can create upward pressure on the price.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"auto\">According to PlanB\u2019s calculations, in the current cycle Bitcoin\u2019s price could trade in a range between $250,000 and $1 million. The analyst suggests that the average value of this range could be around $500,000. However, he particularly emphasizes that this forecast does not represent a specific peak price, but rather the average levels that could form throughout the cycle.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"auto\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-188208 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/coinmuhendisi.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/bitcoin-halving-nedir-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"685\" \/><\/p>\n<h2 dir=\"auto\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"There_Are_Also_More_Cautious_Forecasts\"><\/span>There Are Also More Cautious Forecasts<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p dir=\"auto\">That said, not all analysts share such high price predictions. While some market experts acknowledge significant upside potential for Bitcoin, they set more measured targets.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"auto\">Crypto analyst Bobby A believes Bitcoin could experience a strong rise in the current market cycle, but more realistic targets would likely fall in the $200,000 to $250,000 range. According to him, these levels could be seen as the market cycle matures in 2026 or 2027.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"auto\">Bobby A also argues that models like Stock-to-Flow should be evaluated more as theoretical tools that help understand long-term trends rather than tools that produce precise price predictions.<\/p>\n<h2 dir=\"auto\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Short-Term_Outlook_for_Bitcoin\"><\/span>Short-Term Outlook for Bitcoin<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p dir=\"auto\">In the short term, Bitcoin\u2019s price continues to follow a volatile path. Recently approaching the $74,000 level, the price then experienced some pullback. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $67,300. Although a slight decline was observed in the last 24 hours, a limited increase stands out on a weekly basis.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"auto\">Various factors lie behind this volatility in the market. Geopolitical developments in the Middle East and changes in investment flows into spot Bitcoin ETFs are among the main elements influencing price movements.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"auto\">Nevertheless, many analysts believe that after the strong rally that pushed Bitcoin above $72,000 earlier in the year, the market is currently in more of a consolidation phase. This period is regarded as a time when the market is trying to balance itself before determining a new direction.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"auto\"><em class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_processed\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">Also, you can freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, please follow us on our\u00a0<a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/coinengineernews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">Telegram,\u00a0<\/a><a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@CoinEngineer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">YouTube\u00a0<\/a>and\u00a0<a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/coinengineers\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">Twitter<\/a>\u00a0channels for the latest\u00a0<a title=\"News\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/news\/\" data-internallinksmanager029f6b8e52c=\"7\">news<\/a>\u00a0and updates.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Discussions about how high Bitcoin can go in the current market cycle have flared up again in the cryptocurrency market. In particular, some analysts argue that Bitcoin could reach quite high price levels in the 2024\u20132028 halving cycle. One of the names defending this view is the analyst PlanB, known for the Stock-to-Flow model. According<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":29,"featured_media":54050,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,2],"tags":[2476,4619,61,60,3258],"class_list":["post-65113","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-crypto-news","category-news","tag-analysis","tag-ath","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-halving"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Can Bitcoin Reach $500,000? 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