{"id":65334,"date":"2026-03-12T14:00:53","date_gmt":"2026-03-12T11:00:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/?p=65334"},"modified":"2026-03-12T09:38:11","modified_gmt":"2026-03-12T06:38:11","slug":"bitcoin-priced-in-the-march-inflation-before-the-data-release","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/bitcoin-priced-in-the-march-inflation-before-the-data-release\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Priced in the March Inflation Before the Data Release?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-start=\"328\" data-end=\"841\">Actually, the market picture looks somewhat complex, but this is reflected in <strong>Bitcoin<\/strong> slipping below the $70,000 barrier. According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), prices have risen across nearly every category, from healthcare to airline tickets, clothing, and energy. 21Shares analysts note that the high <strong>CPI<\/strong> expected for March may have already been priced into crypto assets. Meanwhile, only five days remain until the March 17\u201318 Fed meeting, and <a href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/what-are-gold-silver-and-oil-prices-today\/\"><strong>Brent crude<\/strong><\/a> has surpassed $100 per barrel.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"843\" data-end=\"1074\">At this point, investors are wondering: Which direction will the Fed\u2019s upcoming policy decisions push the market in the short term? The market seems to be pricing in possible scenarios already, but the outcomes are still unclear.<\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_71 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 eztoc-toggle-hide-by-default' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/bitcoin-priced-in-the-march-inflation-before-the-data-release\/#February_CPI_Data_and_Market_Reaction\" title=\"February CPI Data and Market Reaction\">February CPI Data and Market Reaction<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/bitcoin-priced-in-the-march-inflation-before-the-data-release\/#What_Does_This_Scenario_Mean_for_Bitcoin\" title=\"What Does This Scenario Mean for Bitcoin?\">What Does This Scenario Mean for Bitcoin?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/bitcoin-priced-in-the-march-inflation-before-the-data-release\/#Oil_Attacks_and_Stagflation_Concerns\" title=\"Oil Attacks and Stagflation Concerns\">Oil Attacks and Stagflation Concerns<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h3 data-section-id=\"vgxyp2\" data-start=\"1081\" data-end=\"1124\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"February_CPI_Data_and_Market_Reaction\"><\/span>February CPI Data and Market Reaction<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"1126\" data-end=\"1156\">BLS data for February shows:<\/p>\n<ul data-start=\"1158\" data-end=\"1281\">\n<li data-section-id=\"1cfpn31\" data-start=\"1158\" data-end=\"1183\">\n<p data-start=\"1160\" data-end=\"1183\">Housing costs up 0.2%<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-section-id=\"zrbf32\" data-start=\"1184\" data-end=\"1207\">\n<p data-start=\"1186\" data-end=\"1207\">Food prices up 0.4%<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-section-id=\"145k3ve\" data-start=\"1208\" data-end=\"1232\">\n<p data-start=\"1210\" data-end=\"1232\">Energy costs up 0.6%<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li data-section-id=\"11tidgs\" data-start=\"1233\" data-end=\"1281\">\n<p data-start=\"1235\" data-end=\"1281\">Core CPI (excluding food and energy) up 0.2%<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-start=\"1283\" data-end=\"1331\">Stephen Coltman, macro head at 21Shares, said:<\/p>\n<blockquote data-start=\"1333\" data-end=\"1418\">\n<p data-start=\"1335\" data-end=\"1418\">\u201cWill the Fed ignore this temporary shock, or will it maintain a hawkish stance?\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p data-start=\"1420\" data-end=\"1603\">Despite February CPI, crypto markets remained resilient. Total crypto market capitalization indicators, excluding Bitcoin, confirm this. BTC traded around $69,468 and ETH at $2,028.<\/p>\n<h3 data-section-id=\"1r8ufse\" data-start=\"1610\" data-end=\"1657\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_Does_This_Scenario_Mean_for_Bitcoin\"><\/span>What Does This Scenario Mean for Bitcoin?<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"1659\" data-end=\"1944\">Matt Mena, crypto research strategist at 21Shares, noted that Bitcoin is likely to remain within the $68,000\u2013$74,000 range in the short term. However, the $75,000 resistance level is approaching, and surpassing it could signal a medium-term consolidation between $75,000 and $80,000.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1946\" data-end=\"2180\">Historical price data supports this scenario: after geopolitical shocks, BTC typically rebounds by 15% or more. This suggests potential price growth to the $77,000\u2013$80,000 range, serving as a key indicator for investor expectations.<\/p>\n<h3 data-section-id=\"1v83s9t\" data-start=\"2187\" data-end=\"2229\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Oil_Attacks_and_Stagflation_Concerns\"><\/span>Oil Attacks and Stagflation Concerns<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-start=\"2231\" data-end=\"2483\">According to CME FedWatch, only 0.6% of investors expect a rate cut at the March 18 meeting. Following attacks on oil tankers in Iraqi waters, Brent crude surpassed $100 per barrel. A short-lived relief rally faded, and Bitcoin slipped below $70,000.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2485\" data-end=\"2735\">On-chain data indicates sustained selling pressure due to stagflation fears triggered by geopolitical tensions and declining short-term rate cut expectations. High oil prices complicate ignoring stagflation scenarios and make rate cuts less likely.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2485\" data-end=\"2735\"><em class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_processed\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">Also, you can freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, please follow us on our\u00a0<a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/coinengineernews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">Telegram,\u00a0<\/a><a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@CoinEngineer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">YouTube<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0<a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/coinengineers\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">Twitter<\/a>\u00a0channels for the latest news and updates.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Actually, the market picture looks somewhat complex, but this is reflected in Bitcoin slipping below the $70,000 barrier. According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), prices have risen across nearly every category, from healthcare to airline tickets, clothing, and energy. 21Shares analysts note that the high CPI expected for March may have already<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":36,"featured_media":65102,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,2],"tags":[13714,28540,6738,28539],"class_list":["post-65334","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-crypto-news","category-news","tag-bitcoin-price-forecast","tag-btc-70k","tag-crypto-market-analysis","tag-march-cpi-2026"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin Priced in the March Inflation Before the Data Release? - Coin Engineer<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"March CPI hasn\u2019t been released yet, but Bitcoin dropped below $70K. 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