{"id":65434,"date":"2026-03-13T13:11:47","date_gmt":"2026-03-13T10:11:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/?p=65434"},"modified":"2026-03-13T13:11:47","modified_gmt":"2026-03-13T10:11:47","slug":"different-directions-in-bitcoin-and-gold-etfs-after-the-iran-war","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/different-directions-in-bitcoin-and-gold-etfs-after-the-iran-war\/","title":{"rendered":"Different Directions in Bitcoin and Gold ETFs After the Iran War!"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span class=\"bzpyqfadein\">According to a new report published by <strong>JPMorgan<\/strong> analysts, a clear divergence in capital flows has emerged between Bitcoin and gold ETFs following the start of the Iran war. The report states that investor positions have shifted in different directions between the two assets, leading to a noticeable change in ETF flows. While inflows into Bitcoin ETFs have started to regain momentum, gold ETFs have experienced limited outflows. According to analysts, this development suggests that investors are rebalancing their portfolios in response to geopolitical developments and market uncertainty. At the same time, the recent increase in institutional interest in crypto assets and the fact that Bitcoin ETFs provide investors with a regulated investment vehicle are also considered key factors behind this shift in flows.<\/span><\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_71 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 eztoc-toggle-hide-by-default' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/different-directions-in-bitcoin-and-gold-etfs-after-the-iran-war\/#Outflows_in_Gold_ETFs_Inflows_in_Bitcoin_ETFs\" title=\"Outflows in Gold ETFs, Inflows in Bitcoin ETFs\">Outflows in Gold ETFs, Inflows in Bitcoin ETFs<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/different-directions-in-bitcoin-and-gold-etfs-after-the-iran-war\/#Institutional_Investor_Positions\" title=\"Institutional Investor Positions\">Institutional Investor Positions<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/coinengineer.net\/blog\/different-directions-in-bitcoin-and-gold-etfs-after-the-iran-war\/#Signals_of_Volatility_Compression_in_Bitcoin\" title=\"Signals of Volatility Compression in Bitcoin\">Signals of Volatility Compression in Bitcoin<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2 data-section-id=\"tibx3o\" data-start=\"828\" data-end=\"877\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Outflows_in_Gold_ETFs_Inflows_in_Bitcoin_ETFs\"><\/span><span class=\"bzpyqfadein\">Outflows in Gold ETFs, Inflows in Bitcoin ETFs<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"879\" data-end=\"1386\"><span class=\"bzpyqfadein\">According to JPMorgan analysts, since the start of the war, the largest gold ETF, SPDR Gold Shares (GLD), has seen outflows equivalent to approximately 2.7% of its assets under management. In contrast, BlackRock\u2019s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), a spot Bitcoin ETF, recorded inflows equal to roughly 1.5% of its assets during the same period. These figures indicate that investors have been rebalancing their portfolios after geopolitical developments, with some shifting from gold to Bitcoin. <\/span><span class=\"bzpyqfadein\">Analysts also noted that the divergence in flows observed since February 27 has largely reversed the advantage that gold ETFs had over Bitcoin ETFs earlier this year.<\/span><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1560\" data-end=\"1627\"><span class=\"bzpyqfadein\">JPMorgan analysts included the following statement in their report:<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p data-start=\"1631\" data-end=\"1780\"><span class=\"bzpyqfadein\">\u201cRecent fund flows indicate that investor positions are being redistributed between Bitcoin and gold, creating a clear divergence in the ETF market.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<h2 data-section-id=\"m1s720\" data-start=\"1782\" data-end=\"1817\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Institutional_Investor_Positions\"><\/span><span class=\"bzpyqfadein\">Institutional Investor Positions<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"1819\" data-end=\"2229\"><span class=\"bzpyqfadein\">The JPMorgan report also reveals significant changes in institutional investor positions in recent months. According to analysts, short interest in IBIT has increased, while short interest in the gold ETF GLD has declined. This suggests that hedge funds and other large investors have at times reduced their Bitcoin exposure and shifted toward gold, which is traditionally viewed as a safe-haven asset. <\/span><span class=\"bzpyqfadein\">However, analysts also note that due to gold\u2019s long-standing investment history and broader institutional adoption, short positions in gold generally remain lower compared to Bitcoin.<\/span><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2416\" data-end=\"2837\"><span class=\"bzpyqfadein\">Data from the options market points to a similar trend. The put-to-call ratio for the IBIT ETF rising above that of GLD indicates that investors are implementing more hedging strategies against downside risk in Bitcoin. According to analysts, this shows that institutional investors are adopting a more cautious approach toward Bitcoin and are actively using hedging strategies against potential price volatility. <\/span><span class=\"bzpyqfadein\">Additionally, the increase in options usage suggests that the Bitcoin ETF market is becoming more sophisticated, with more advanced financial instruments being used and the market structure gradually maturing.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2 data-section-id=\"1hlmq4d\" data-start=\"3054\" data-end=\"3101\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Signals_of_Volatility_Compression_in_Bitcoin\"><\/span><span class=\"bzpyqfadein\">Signals of Volatility Compression in Bitcoin<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"3103\" data-end=\"3515\"><span class=\"bzpyqfadein\">Another notable point in the report concerns the changing volatility profile of Bitcoin. JPMorgan analysts stated that with deeper institutional ownership and increasing market liquidity, Bitcoin\u2019s volatility is showing signs of compression. In contrast, implied volatility in gold ETF options has increased more rapidly in recent months, indicating that investors expect larger price swings in gold. <\/span><span class=\"bzpyqfadein\">According to JPMorgan\u2019s assessment, the divergence in capital flows between Bitcoin and gold ETFs after the Iran war highlights a shift in investor portfolio allocation. While inflows into Bitcoin ETFs support market confidence, outflows from gold ETFs point to a short-term change in investor preferences. <\/span><span class=\"bzpyqfadein\">In the long term, however, analysts maintain their positive outlook on the crypto market. In previous evaluations, JPMorgan reiterated its long-term Bitcoin price target of $266,000, based on volatility-adjusted valuation models.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_processed\" data-start=\"2485\" data-end=\"2735\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\"><em class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_processed\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">Also, you can freely share your thoughts and comments about the topic in the comment section. Additionally, please follow us on our\u00a0<a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/coinengineernews\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">Telegram,\u00a0<\/a><a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@CoinEngineer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">YouTube<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0<a class=\"darkmysite_style_txt_border darkmysite_style_link darkmysite_processed\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/coinengineers\" data-darkmysite_alpha_bg=\"rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\">Twitter<\/a>\u00a0channels for the latest news and updates.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>According to a new report published by JPMorgan analysts, a clear divergence in capital flows has emerged between Bitcoin and gold ETFs following the start of the Iran war. The report states that investor positions have shifted in different directions between the two assets, leading to a noticeable change in ETF flows. While inflows into<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":37,"featured_media":53467,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,2],"tags":[61,1766,60,393,840,847,336,58,5760,2087],"class_list":["post-65434","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-crypto-news","category-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin-btc","tag-btc","tag-crypto","tag-crypto-market","tag-crypto-news","tag-cryptocurrencies","tag-cryptocurrency","tag-digital-assets","tag-jpmorgan"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v22.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Different Directions in Bitcoin and Gold ETFs After the Iran War!<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"JPMorgan analysts, a clear divergence in capital flows has emerged between Bitcoin and gold ETFs following the start of the Iran war.\" \/>\n<meta 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